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Title: BYE BYE LUV - BYE BYE HAPPINESS - US stocks plunge in early trading after Chinese stock rout
Source: [None]
URL Source: http://www.vdare.com/articles/why-w ... jandro-mayorkas-for-corruption
Published: Aug 24, 2015
Author: By The Associated Press
Post Date: 2015-08-24 11:07:44 by HAPPY2BME-4UM
Keywords: MELTDOWN, CHINA, CRASH, STOCK MARKET
Views: 349
Comments: 14

NEW YORK (AP) — U.S. stock markets plunged in early trading Monday following a big drop in Chinese stocks.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell more than 1,000 points in early trading and the Standard & Poor's 500 index fell into correction territory, that's Wall Street jargon for a drop of 10 percent or more from a recent peak.

Treasuries surged as investors bought less risky assets.

Growing concerns about a slowdown in China had already shaken markets around the world on Friday, driving the U.S. stock market sharply lower. A big sell-off in Chinese stock on Monday caused the rout to continue.

The Dow was 668 points, or 4.1 percent, lower as of 9:57 a.m. Eastern time. The Standard & Poor's 500 index dropped 81 points, or 4.2 percent, to 1,889. The Nasdaq composite fell 211 points, or 4.4 percent, to 4,496 points.

China's main index sank 8.5 percent amid fears over the health of the world's second-largest economy.

Oil prices, commodities and the currencies of many developing countries also tumbled on concerns that a sharp slowdown in China might hurt economic growth around the globe.

The Shanghai index suffered its biggest percentage decline since February 2007, with many China-listed companies hitting their 10 percent downside limits. The benchmark has lost all of its gains for 2015, though it is still more than 40 percent above its level a year ago.

Underlying the gloom in China is the growing conviction that policymakers and regulators may lack the means to staunch the losses in that nation. The country is facing a slowdown in economic growth, the banking system is short of cash and investors are pulling money out of the country, experts note.

"There is a lot of fear in the markets," said Bernard Aw, market strategist at IG.

China's dimming outlook is drawing calls for more economic stimulus from Beijing, though earlier government efforts to stop the sell-off in stocks appear to have done little to stabilize markets.

The bloodletting spread across Asia earlier, where Japan's Nikkei fell 4.6 percent, its worst one-day drop since in over two and a half years. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index fell 5.2 percent, Australia's S&P ASX/200 slid 4.1 percent and South Korea's Kospi lost 2.5 percent.

Those declines followed tumbles over the weekend in emerging markets such as Egypt, Dubai and Saudi Arabia.

The panic has underscored the scale of the challenge for Chinese leaders in seeking to curb excess investment and guide the economy toward a more sustainable pace of growth.

"My biggest concern is that global growth momentum is very fragile. The most important step is to see China take further action to try to bring their economy to a 7 percent growth path," said Rajiv Biswas, Asia-Pacific chief economist for IHS.

In currency trading, the dollar was at 119.99 yen on Monday, down from 122.05 yen on Friday. The euro rose to $1.1517 from $1.1388. Currencies fell hard in developing economies — particularly those that rely heavily on the export of commodities and oil, both of which China is a big consumer. The Russian ruble dropped 2.3 percent to a seven-year low.

In commodity markets, benchmark U.S. crude dropped $2.14 to $38.29 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It fell 87 cents a barrel on Friday. Brent crude, a benchmark for international oils used by many U.S. refineries, fell $2.50 to $42.96 a barrel.

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#1. To: All (#0)

On Sunday evening, this happened:

  • BLOOMBERG COMMODITY INDEX SLIDES TO LOWEST LEVEL SINCE 1999

That’s right, Bloomberg’s commodity index cratered to its lowest level since 1999 or, said differently, the lowest level of the 21st century. That headline flashed just minutes after we highlighted Barclay’s take on the "long, slow, and painful" end of the commodities supercycle which is weighing heavily on emerging markets in the wake of China’s move to devalue the yuan. Here’s how we described the setup on Sunday evening:  

Emerging markets will remain in focus this week as the world watches anxiously to see if China’s move to devalue the yuan will ultimately transform an already precarious situation into an outright crisis.

 

Slowing demand from China has been the major concern for commodity exporters and indeed, wide open capital markets (thanks to ultra accommodative monetary policies across the globe) have served to keep struggling producers afloat, perpetuating a global deflationary supply glut.

 

Saudi Arabia’s attempt to squeeze the US shale complex has only exacerbated the problem, as persistently low crude prices put further pressure on the commodities space as well as on the FX reserves of oil producing countries. When China devalued the yuan,it validated the suspicions of those who had assumed that the country’s economy was in far worse shape than anyone at the NBS was willing to admit. Additionally, it marked a new escalation in the global currency wars and threatens to undermine the export competitiveness of many an emerging economy.

So that, in a nutshell, was where we stood going into the week and that rather abysmal backdrop (if you’re an EM) has prompted quite a few analysts and commentators to draw a comparison between what’s unfolding in EM FX markets and the Asian Financial Crisis of 1997/98. What’s amusing is that some of the same desks who rushed to make the comparison a week ago now look to be talking back their predictions, perhaps realizing that circulating such things might be adding fuel to the fire. 

But it is far too late for that - the genie is out of the bottle and indeed it was a bloodbath across EM overnight with currencies under continued pressure and the MSCI EM index falling 4.2% as Chinese stocks collapsed after the PBoC failed to slash RRR over the weekend. Here’s a survey of the carnage:

Here’s a look at some of the overnight chatter courtesy of Bloomberg:

BRL -1.72% at 3.5612 vs USD, dragged into EMFX selloff seen today as commodities meltdown leads to massive stops;

 

Rupee weakens for third day; India has sizable forex reserves and won’t hesitate to use them to curb volatility: RBI Governor Rajan; makes strong case for sticking to disinflation path, saying “rate cuts should not be seen as goodies that the RBI gives out stingily after much public pleading”

 

Malaysia’s 10-year bonds fall; nation’s foreign reserves fell to $94.5b as of Aug. 14 from $96.7b as of July 31; anti-graft agency says probe on 2.6b ringgit ($614m) fund is ongoing; 1MDB ready to assist Swiss authorities on probe related to it

 

Indonesia’s 10-year bonds drop; Bank Indonesia expects benchmark rate unchanged at 7.50% for next year, while undervalued rupiah needs joint policy effort: Governor Martowardojo

 

Won falls; Bank of Korea FX official Park declines to comment on speculation of market intervention, but says authorities aware of importance of market stability

 

Singapore’s dollar drops for second day; data today will show consumer prices dropped 0.2% from year earlier in July, smallest decline in seven months

 

USD/RUB is set to test YTD high at 71.8465 as Russia remains most vulnerable CEEMEA currency, hit both by global risk aversion and collapse in oil prices

 

Russian PM Medvedev said exporters will soon start selling hard currency for rubles, a form of indirect intervention

 

USD/TRY holding below last week’s blow-off top as market has discounted negative political situation; fall in U.S. yields, further drop in oil prices both supportive factors

 

ILS may outperform other EM peers as BoI likely to leave rates on hold at 0.1% today, as forecast by 15 out of 17 analysts in Bloomberg survey

 

USD/ZAR to remain volatile after spiking ~8% to record high in illiquid overnight Asia trading, key drivers now are ZAR traders’ P&L and risk-management concerns

 

EUR/PLN rises to fresh 6-mo. highs, PLN may remain under pressure despite strong domestic fundamentals as positions cleaned out on broad EM contagion

And a bit more from FT:

Fears over China’s decelerating growth have sent investors fleeing from the currencies of emerging markets, from South Africa to Malaysia, whose prospects have become twinned with the fortunes of the world’s second-largest economy.

 

Following an Asian session where markets went into meltdown after the Beijing government failed to meet widespread expectations that it would support its economy and stock market with either a major liquidity injection or an interest-rate cut, emerging market currencies are struggling to find any support.

 

Falling commodity prices are also affecting the finances of emerging markets, such as Indonesia and Russia, that produce raw materials for China’s slowing industrial engine, as well as the still-lacklustre economies of Europe.

 

The Malaysian ringgit has fallen 1.4 per cent to M$4.23 per dollar, a level not seen since the 1998 Asian crisis, when Kuala Lumpur pegged its currency at M$3.80 to the dollar before removing this control in 2005.

 

The Indonesian rupiah has lost 0.65 per cent to Rp14,030 per dollar, also its weakest since the late 1990s crisis.

 

The Thai baht is down 0.3 per cent to Bt35.74 per dollar, its lowest since 2009.

 

The Turkish lira is hovering around fresh record lows, down 1.1 per cent to TL2.95 per dollar.

 

The South African rand is 2.3 per cent lower at R13.2 per dollar, having briefly dropped to an all-time low of R14 per dollar earlier in the day.

 

The Russian rouble is 1.1 per cent weaker against the dollar, at Rb70.10, having not crossed the threshold of Rb70 for the first time since February.

U.S. Constitution - Article IV, Section 4: NO BORDERS + NO LAWS = NO COUNTRY

HAPPY2BME-4UM  posted on  2015-08-24   11:42:13 ET  (6 images) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: All (#1)

What Is Really Going On: Market Liquidity Worse Than During The Flash Crash; 4500 Crash Events; Constant Halts And Unhalts

Curious why few if any traders can actually execute any trades, whether buys or sells? The reason is that despite the relative calmness of the index prints, what is going on beneath the surface is an unprecedented wave of constant halt and unhalts as all stop levels were taken out, many in circuit breaker territory, making it virtually impossible for any matching enginge to, well, match buyers and sellers.

Here is a sample:

 

 

The resulting halts made it impossible for regular traders to step in, requiring central banks to buy via the CME's Central Bank Incentive Program, to restore some market stability.

And just to add to the pain, there is absolutely no liquidity in either stocks...

... Or bonds:

As the market breaks:

U.S. Constitution - Article IV, Section 4: NO BORDERS + NO LAWS = NO COUNTRY

HAPPY2BME-4UM  posted on  2015-08-24   11:43:37 ET  (1 image) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: All (#2)

During the flash crash of May 6, 2010, the 1000 plunge in the Dow Jones seems historic, unprecedented and surely unrepeatable - after all the regulators had "learned their lesson" and would never allow a move like this ever again, right? Wrong.

h/t CNN

U.S. Constitution - Article IV, Section 4: NO BORDERS + NO LAWS = NO COUNTRY

HAPPY2BME-4UM  posted on  2015-08-24   11:45:15 ET  (1 image) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: HAPPY2BME-4UM (#0)

This is wonderful news. Hopefully it will continue to be wonderful news. I would love to be a buyer of the Dow if the wonderful news continues and so I can buy the Dow at 1,000 or less.

DWornock  posted on  2015-08-24   12:30:08 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: DWornock (#4)

This is wonderful news. Hopefully it will continue to be wonderful news. I would love to be a buyer of the Dow if the wonderful news continues and so I can buy the Dow at 1,000 or less.

========================================================

What are you doing in Moscow?

U.S. Constitution - Article IV, Section 4: NO BORDERS + NO LAWS = NO COUNTRY

HAPPY2BME-4UM  posted on  2015-08-24   12:34:04 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: HAPPY2BME-4UM (#5)

What are you doing in Moscow?

Never been to Moscow, but it may be a wonderful place to go if I only knew the language since there is far more freedom in Russia than there is in the USA.

DWornock  posted on  2015-08-24   13:08:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: DWornock (#6)

Never been to Moscow, but it may be a wonderful place to go if I only knew the language since there is far more freedom in Russia than there is in the USA.

==================================================

The original Russian Capitol of Saint Petersburg is much more pleasant, as are the people.

I DO like Russia, and Russians.

U.S. Constitution - Article IV, Section 4: NO BORDERS + NO LAWS = NO COUNTRY

HAPPY2BME-4UM  posted on  2015-08-24   14:11:31 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: HAPPY2BME-4UM (#7)

Russian people seem to be lacking in something. Maybe empathy or even a soul, but there's something missing there. Maybe it's related to being ruled by bolsheviks for 80 years.

Obnoxicated  posted on  2015-08-24   14:35:11 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: Obnoxicated (#8)

Russian people seem to be lacking in something. Maybe empathy or even a soul, but there's something missing there. Maybe it's related to being ruled by bolsheviks for 80 years.

==========================================================

The Russians are REALISTS. They approach everything from that perspective and you won't see the emotional side of them until you get to know them personally, and you discover they are quite loving people.

Stalin killed tens of millions of them. His wife committed suicide when she found out. Stalin killed her whole family after she died.

Americans have no clue of what Russians have been through.

U.S. Constitution - Article IV, Section 4: NO BORDERS + NO LAWS = NO COUNTRY

HAPPY2BME-4UM  posted on  2015-08-24   15:16:01 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: HAPPY2BME-4UM (#9)

Nox is actually correct in a sense. The huge, extremely patriotic country was raped by Jew commies for most of the 20th century and it took the same toll it does everywhere, including here.

Russians have never been the sanest, most reality-oriented people. See (once again) Hedrick Smith's book The Russians on how they worshiped Lenin's memory at the height of the cold war. Tons of them want a return to Stalinism.

HOWEVER, whatever the Russian character or persona may be, there's no excuse for provoking, encircling, defaming or otherwise Americabusing them.

NeoconsNailed  posted on  2015-08-24   15:55:25 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: NeoconsNailed (#10)

+1

Obnoxicated  posted on  2015-08-24   16:40:32 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: HAPPY2BME-4UM (#7)

I don't know about that, but Russian women on average are prettier than American women.

DWornock  posted on  2015-08-24   21:53:29 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: DWornock (#12)

Slavic + Mongol does indeed make pretty.

U.S. Constitution - Article IV, Section 4: NO BORDERS + NO LAWS = NO COUNTRY

HAPPY2BME-4UM  posted on  2015-08-24   23:37:48 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#14. To: DWornock (#12)

Show us some of these dolls that don't clearly have nordic genes.

NeoconsNailed  posted on  2015-08-25   0:00:28 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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