Newsmax/John Zogby Strategies Poll: Trump Outperforming With Black Voters; Majority Supports BLM, Police (Getty Images)
By Newsmax Wires | Tuesday, 08 September 2020 07:35 AM
President Donald Trump receives 14% of the Black vote if the election were held today, according to a new Newsmax/John Zogby Strategies Poll.
The online poll of 600 Black likely voters nationwide was conducted Sept. 4-7 and has a margin of sampling error of +/- 4.1 percentage points.
Biden’s lead is across the board among this most loyal group of Democrat voters but there are some potential pitfalls for the former Vice President.
In 2008 and 2012, Barack Obama won 96% and 93% of the Black vote. Hillary Clinton’s 89% to Trump’s 9% victory among Blacks was not enough to win the presidency.
Also, low Black turnout in states like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania helped Trump.
If Trump’s 14% total holds into November, this could hurt the Democrat nominee again in must win in critical Rust Belt, along with Minnesota, Georgia, and Texas, which Biden hopes to win.
In the Newsmax/John Zogby Strategies Poll, Trump does best among Black Republicans (79% to Biden’s 19%), independents (20% to Biden’s 68%), self-described conservatives (42% to Biden’s 54%), those without any college education (19% to Biden’s 77%), 18-29 year olds (33% to Biden’s 62%), westerners (44% to Biden’s 55%), and men (21% to Biden’s 76%).
The president does especially well among young Blacks — 18-24 year olds — with 38% to Biden’s 61%.
When the names of the vice presidential nominees are added, the needle hardly moves at all.
And when a four-way battle is tested with the Libertarian candidate Dr. Jo Jorgensen and and Green nominee Howie Hawkins, Biden’s numbers drop to 79% to Trump’s holding at 14%, with the two smaller party candidates at 1% each.
Biden’s score also drops to 79% in a three-way match-up that includes rapper Kanye West, who receives just 1%. Trump maintains his 14% in all potential races. West’s best performance is among 18- 29 year olds at 4%.
Black voters are not enamored of the president who receives only a 15% personal approval rating and an 83% unfavorable rating.
Biden gets a ratio of 81%-17% (though only 51% are favorable and 44% unfavorable among 18-29 year olds), while running mate Kamala Harris has a healthy 76%-12% rating with 13% not sure.
In other findings:
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