4um: Global Temperature Is Dropping, Not Rising

Environmental doomsayers may still be claiming that we must radically reduce carbon-dioxide and other “greenhouse” gas emissions in order to prevent catastrophic global warming, but they cling to that position despite the fact that the warming they’ve been forecasting has not occurred. In fact, the average global temperature has gone down, not up, in recent years.

The graph at this link from icecap.us shows that the average global temperature has been dropping since at least 2002, even though the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere has been increasing.

A graph based on satellite temperature readings can be found at the appropriately named “algorelied” website. Here the data is put into a 30-year perspective. Markers indicate that the temperature has decreased by 0.74°F (0.39°C) since January 24, 2006. The significance of that date? That’s when Al Gore’s sci-fi-thriller An Inconvenient Truth was released at the Sundance Film Festival. The data showing this cooling trend was taken from thousands of satellite measurements encompassing the entire lower atmosphere of the Earth with an accuracy of 0.01°C. The satellite data is far more accurate than surface temperature measurements, which are limited to the 28 percent of the planet not covered by oceans. (Even in the United States, where one would expect the surface temperature measurements to be more accurate than elsewhere, a recent survey found that only 11 percent of the monitoring stations meet the National Weather Service’s siting requirements.

If we were to extrapolate the change in temperature in the last 42 months since Gore’s movie debut to the year 2100, we would forecast a decrease of 19.9°F (8.8°C) — temperatures not seen since the last Ice Age 12,000 years ago. Is such an extrapolation reliable? Of course not! But that’s the kind of extrapolation game global-warming alarmists like to play.

Still another look at global temperatures and alarmist predictions comes from EPA analyst Alan Carlin, who shows graphically in a March 2009 report (pdf) how IPCC temperature projections and reality diverge. Carlin’s graph is located on page four of his report. As he explains on the following page, the red, purple, and orange lines on his graph show IPCC temperature predictions assuming different emission scenarios; the yellow line shows what the IPCC claims would happen if the CO2 concentration were to remain the same; and the blue and green lines show the actual temperature records based on ground and satellite readings respectively. The blue and green lines — the lines reflecting the actual temperature records — are the only lines dropping instead of climbing on Carlin’s graph. In fact, the actual global temperature has fallen by 0.3°C in just the last three years according to the satellite data.

The EPA document also notes that the actual data conflict with the theory that CO2 causes temperature to rise:

And finally some climate tid-bits from the Climate Depot that keeps up with such things:

Why don’t global-warming alarmists address the issue of the recent decline in global temperatures? It raises questions about their real agenda, does it not?

Just remember that in the last 24 hours you discussed CO2 decreasing in modern times. Why the change of heart?

"This planet can easily sustain far more than 6.7 Billion people. It's a big planet. There's an endless supply of oil. More water than we need and ample room to grow all the food required plus more." -- wudidiz, circa July 12, 2009

LOL. No what I said was despite the recent increase we are at historic lows for the planet. We have about 100 ppmv putting us at 380+ ppmv but this is a drop in the bucket compared to past levels.

The planet's future: Climate change 'will cause civilisation to collapse'

Authoritative new study sets out a grim vision of shortages and violence – but amid all the gloom, there is some hope too

An effort on the scale of the Apollo mission that sent men to the Moon is needed if humanity is to have a fighting chance of surviving the ravages of climate change. The stakes are high, as, without sustainable growth, "billions of people will be condemned to poverty and much of civilisation will collapse".

This is the stark warning from the biggest single report to look at the future of the planet – obtained by The Independent on Sunday ahead of its official publication next month. Backed by a diverse range of leading organisations such as Unesco, the World Bank, the US army and the Rockefeller Foundation, the 2009 State of the Future report runs to 6,700 pages and draws on contributions from 2,700 experts around the globe. Its findings are described by Ban Ki-moon, Secretary-General of the UN, as providing "invaluable insights into the future for the United Nations, its member states, and civil society".

The impact of the global recession is a key theme, with researchers warning that global clean energy, food availability, poverty and the growth of democracy around the world are at "risk of getting worse due to the recession". The report adds: "Too many greedy and deceitful decisions led to a world recession and demonstrated the international interdependence of economics and ethics."

Although the future has been looking better for most of the world over the past 20 years, the global recession has lowered the State of the Future Index for the next 10 years. Half the world could face violence and unrest due to severe unemployment combined with scarce water, food and energy supplies and the cumulative effects of climate change.

And the authors of the report, produced by the Millennium Project – a think-tank formerly part of the World Federation of the United Nations Associations – set out a number of emerging environmental security issues. "The scope and scale of the future effects of climate change – ranging from changes in weather patterns to loss of livelihoods and disappearing states – has unprecedented implications for political and social stability."

But the authors suggest the threats could also provide the potential for a positive future for all. "The good news is that the global financial crisis and climate change planning may be helping humanity to move from its often selfish, self-centred adolescence to a more globally responsible adulthood... Many perceive the current economic disaster as an opportunity to invest in the next generation of greener technologies, to rethink economic and development assumptions, and to put the world on course for a better future."

Scientific and technological progress continues to accelerate. IBM promises a computer at 20,000 trillion calculations per second by 2011, which is estimated to be the speed of the human brain. And nanomedicine may one day rebuild damaged cells atom by atom, using nanobots the size of blood cells. But technological progress carries its own risks. "Globalisation and advanced technology allow fewer people to do more damage and in less time, so that possibly one day a single individual may be able to make and deploy a weapon of mass destruction."

The report also praises the web, which it singles out as "the most powerful force for globalisation, democratisation, economic growth, and education in history". Technological advances are cited as "giving birth to an interdependent humanity that can create and implement global strategies to improve the prospects for humanity".

The immediate problems are rising food and energy prices, shortages of water and increasing migrations "due to political, environmental and economic conditions", which could plunge half the world into social instability and violence. And organised crime is flourishing, with a global income estimated at $3 trillion – twice the military budgets of all countries in the world combined.

The effects of climate change are worsening – by 2025 there could be three billion people without adequate water as the population rises still further. And massive urbanisation, increased encroachment on animal territory, and concentrated livestock production could trigger new pandemics.

Although government and business leaders are responding more seriously to the global environmental situation, it continues to get worse, according to the report. It calls on governments to work to 10-year plans to tackle growing threats to human survival, targeting particularly the US and China, which need to apply the sort of effort and resources that put men on the Moon.

"This is not only important for the environment; it is also a strategy to increase the likelihood of international peace. Without some agreement, it will be difficult to get the kind of global coherence needed to address climate change seriously."

While the world has the resources to address its challenges, coherence and direction have been lacking. Recent meetings of the US and China, as well as of Nato and Russia, and the birth of the G20 plus the continued work of the G8 promise to improve global strategic collaboration, but "it remains to be seen if this spirit of co-operation can continue and if decisions will be made on the scale necessary to really address the global challenges discussed in this report".

Although the scale of the effects of climate change are unprecedented, the causes are generally known, and the consequences can largely be forecast. The report says, "coordination for effective and adequate action is yet incipient, and environmental problems worsen faster than response or preventive policies are being adopted".

Jerome Glenn, director of the Millennium Project and one of the report's authors, said: "There are answers to our global challenges, but decisions are still not being made on the scale necessary to address them. Three great transitions would help both the world economy and its natural environment – to shift as much as possible from freshwater agriculture to saltwater agriculture; produce healthier meat without the need to grow animals; and replace gasoline cars with electric cars."

Notice how the catch-phrase has had to change from global warming to climate change.

Yes, ice melts in the heat of the summer, and it reforms in the cold of the winter.

LOL ... obviously you aren't aware that the Arctic is now an island. Moreover, international trans-world shipping lanes between Europe and Canada are being planned. The Arctic is almost gone.

The only thing that will save you is O'boingo's taxes. Submit to the power of the One True Messiah! Pay up sucker!

And you better hurry up about it before all your trees end up kiln-dried while still in the ground.

Actually yes. According to NASA it was due to a change in ocean currents and wind. I can get you the links if you wish. Currently ice is increasing.

We are just coming out of the ice age that was caused by the flood. Nevermind you are just a taker of the lords name in vain.

Water as a liquid displaces less space than it does when frozen. Check your own freezer if you doubt this reality of physics.

First you will notice that they specifically address only West Antarctica. Why is that? Because ice is increasing in Antarctica because temps have been getting colder there. The ONLY place in Antarctica that has shown ANY warming is the western peninsula. The ice sheet that shattered there recently is in a horseshoe shaped bay and can not calve as most glaciers do. This builds up pressure when ice increases and it shatters like a piece of glass relieving the pressure. Check the satellite photos.

Yes, central and south Texas have stolen the rest of the world's heat this summer.

You don't seem to understand scientific fact much less common sense. Lets suppose you have an ice cube suspended above the surface of water in a bowl. As it melts (that is to say the height above the water level decreases) the overall water level increases.

What is a scientific study then? I mean can't computer models reveal treand analysis similar to mathematical statistical models which tie your automobile insurance rate of payment to your local area?

But I didn't say it floating. I said it was suspended above the surface of the water. Anartica's ice shelf lays on hard rock above the current level of the ocean.

If they knew everything to input and if they weren't guessing at half of what they input yes. But this is not the case.A prime example is the fact that the models didn't predict the recent cooling.

The sun drives our climate plain and simple. Recent solar activity has been the highest in 1000 years. Cycle 22 and 23 were extremely active. Cycle 24 is not and more closely matches cycles during the Dalton minimum.

I see by the weather map that Texas is being char broiled. Just maybe God is getting you Texas sinners prepared??????? hehehehehehehehehehe

Before hitting the Ignore Thread hammer here, thanks to everyone for all the information that is gathering about our planet.

The mystery remains: how can we have empirical evidence that we have been cooling for over ten years now, and also have empirical evidence that the ice-melting at both poles (and elsewhere) is accelerating?

For whatever reason, it seems that the various oceans and seas, are warming and causing the melts.

It was so hot and dry that the land would have cracks big enough for the cattle to step in and break a leg. The cattle that were not sold had to be hayed both summer and winter those years.

The peninsula sticks out into warm water. Like the arctic, ocean currents are the main cause of ice changes. Certainly there is some uncertainty. But there is no question that hundreds of years will be needed for any significant ice loss in either Greenland or Antarctica. The glaciers in Greenland are all now slowing down after spurting forward in the late 90's, particularly during the strong El Nino in 1998. The rate on the biggest glaciers is back to pre 1997. See for example http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2009/01/no-reporting-of-slowing-greenland-glaciers-shame-on-the-msm/

It is much wiser to wait 100 years or so and see if we need to do anything then.

Money problems do not come from a lack of money, but from living an excessive, unrealistic lifestyle

Glacier speed in Greenland is slowing greatly (see my previous link). It was one of the most ignored stories in all of climate study late last year.

Money problems do not come from a lack of money, but from living an excessive, unrealistic lifestyle

Actually the seas are starting to cool as well. ENSO and PDO are both in cooling phases.

There'd be a global governance to deal with global-cooling instead of global-warming

In 2007, the FBI reported on concern about white supremacists recruiting soldiers, saying "hundreds" of neo-Nazis were in the active military. But in April, a Department of Homeland Security report on extremism that reiterated much the same point was widely criticized by veterans groups and some conservative politicians as being unpatriotic, leading the Justice Department to retract the DHS report.

From there I won an all expense paid tour of Guam where it rained ten times a day and the humidity was 110 per cent.

You did what was 'required' at the time, you survived, and now you see the light.

Except that the Antarctic Ice Sheet is growing. The measured thickness of the Ice Sheet has increased over the last several years and is now back at 1970's levels. A few icebergs breaking off does not diminish that fact. Because the PsyOps media selectively plays pro-GloBULL Warming Sensationalism and selectively omits "Inconvenient Truths" is also a known fact.

GloBULL Warming is just that BULL. That is why you see all of the major Propaganda Outlets now touting "Global Climate Change" as the new Propaganda Tag. As always follow the money. The "Carbon Tax" money would go to the usual suspects - the Banksters who are already looting the treasury and Algore stands to make a lot of filthy lucre with his Carbon Trading Company - while real environmental problems - depletion of aquifers, toxic residues getting into the water table, sulfur and mercury emissions from coal fired power plants, etc., are buried under the phony premise that we are creating too much CO2 (which is used by plants in their respiratory cycle and more CO2 benefits farming and tree growth) which is a beneficial gas. Our atmospheric CO2 levels are at a historical low. During the Cretaceous and Tertiary Eras the CO2 levels were much higher.

"I think the subject which will be of most importance politically is Mass Psychology...It's importance has been enormously increased by the growth of modern methods of propaganda...Although this science will be diligently studied, it will be rigidly confined to the governing class. The populace will not be allowed to know how its convictions were generated." Bertrand Russel, Eugenicist and Logician

Global Temperature Is Dropping, Not Rising

The planet's future: Climate change 'will cause civilisation to collapse'

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