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Title: Deadly second wave of swine flu 'on its way', scientists warn
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URL Source: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art ... second-wave-swine-flu-way.html
Published: Sep 18, 2009
Author: Daniel Martin
Post Date: 2009-09-18 13:31:17 by Disgusted
Keywords: None
Views: 234
Comments: 12
By Daniel Martin A second wave of swine flu could be on its way, scientists warned last night after the number of new cases rose for the first time since July. The jump, from an estimated 3,000 to 5,000, comes a fortnight after children - key spreaders of the disease - returned to school. There have been outbreaks at six schools in England, but health chiefs repeated that there are no plans to close schools as it would do little to contain the disease. In another development, two sufferers are believed to have developed resistance to Tamiflu, the anti-viral drug which is the only line of defence to the disease before a vaccine is ready. Disruption: A woman walks through London with a surgical mask in an attempt to protect her from swine flu (file picture). Scientists fear the deadly second wave of swine flu is on its way Chief medical officer Sir Liam Donaldson however said the two cases were not of significance as there was no evidence these resistant viruses had been transmitted from person to person. Experts have been predicting a second wave of swine flu will hit in the winter months following a lull over the summer break, when children were not mixing as freely. Sir Liam said the figures 'begin to suggest swine flu is coming back'. And he admitted: 'We would naturally have hoped for a bit more breathing space before it started again.' There are 143 people in hospital in England, of whom 23 are in intensive care. The total of deaths linked to the virus stands at 67 in England and 79 across the UK. Sir Liam has revised NHS forecasts, saying that between 3,000 and 19,000 will die from the virus - down from the 65,000 worst case scenario outlined in July. The number of new cases have been falling since the peak of 110,000 a week reported in late July. Experts believe a second wave of the disease will be more deadly as it will coincide with winter, when flu is more virulent. Sir Liam said more than 1.3million people had been assessed via the National Pandemic Flu Service for England, with 522,890 collections of anti-viral drugs. Health Secretary Andy Burnham, left, and Chief Medical Officer Sir Liam Donaldson demonstrate how to sneeze, while reducing the risk of infecting others, during a visit to a North London school The schools affected by outbreaks are two in South Yorkshire, one in Carlisle, one in the North East and two in London. Sir Liam said there were no plans to close schools as the virus was circulating in the community, meaning such efforts would have little value. Tests on GlaxoSmithKline's flu vaccine has shown that a good immune response can be achieved with just one dose rather than two, he said. However, Sir Liam said the under-13s and over-65s may need two doses, although research was ongoing. The Health Protection Agency said two samples from UK patients have been shown to have the genetic change associated with Tamiflu resistance. Both were from patients with compromised immune systems. One has been proved to be resistant; the other is undergoing further tests to confirm resistance. A spokeswoman for the HPA said there was no question that the resistance could have been caused by overuse of Tamiflu, which has been prescribed to hundreds of thousands of people with suspected cases of the disease. 'We have seen this in other countries where there hasn't been mass prescription of Tamiflu,' she said. 'The cases are sporadic, and there is no evidence of onward transmission. This is to be expected and is not a cause for concern.' Deadly second wave of swine flu 'on its way', scientists warn
Last updated at 9:00 AM on 18th September 2009 
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#1. To: Disgusted (#0)
They seem to be having a tough time ginning much hysteria.
Er...um... Eek? Sorry. Guess I need more gin.
MapQuest really needs to start their directions on #5. Pretty sure I know how to get out of my neighborhood.
Bullshit, Tamiflu is and always has been utterly useless. Sambucol (now called Sambucus) is about the only thing that could possibly cure a flu of ANY type.
is that supposed to be safe?
"unripe berries, young bark and leaves contain the toxic glycoside d- sambunigrin which can produce hydrocyanic acid." It may work but like with any plant or animal or saltwater fish - before one ingests it - it's good to have knowledge. The article above has a lot of good info on its uses.
It's elderberry extract formulated by a virologist, and has been proven to be 100% effective against the bird flu virus. I'm not sure if it's been tested agaianst swine flu, but I would think it would work the same way. In laymen's terms, it not only boosts the immune system response to the flu virus, but it strips an enzyme from the virus itself, making it easier for the immune system to kill. In terms of safety, it's generally safe, except for a small segment of the population which may be allergic to elderberry, although it seems that's more in terms of the bark rather than the berries themselves. The extract is made from the berries, not the bark. Other than that, it is not toxic at all and has been used to make various cordials and liquors. Kinko, you are thinking of wild elderberries that haven't ripened, this is cultivated and harvested at the proper time. In a placebo-controlled, double-blind study, elderberry was shown to be effective for treating Influenza B.[3] People using the elderberry extract recovered much faster than those only on a placebo. This is partially due to the fact that Elderberry inhibits neuraminidase, the enzyme used by the virus to spread infection to host cells.[citation needed] A small study published five years ago showed that 93% of flu patients given extract were completely symptom-free within two days; those taking a placebo recovered in about six days. This current study shows that, indeed, it works for type A flu, reports lead researcher Erling Thom, with the University of Oslo in Norway.[4] Thom's findings were presented at the 15th Annual Conference on Antiviral Research. The study involved 60 patients who had been suffering with flu symptoms for 48 hours or less; 90% were infected with the A strain of the virus, 10% were infected with type B. Half the group took 15 milliliters of extract or and the other group took a placebo four times a day for five days. Patients in the extract group had "pronounced improvements" in flu symptoms after three days: Nearly 90% of patients had complete cure within two to three days. Also, the extract group had no drowsiness, the downside of many flu treatments. The placebo group didn't recover until at least day six; they also took more painkillers and nasal sprays. It's likely that antioxidants called flavonoids—which are contained in the extract—stimulate the immune system, writes Thom. Also, other compounds in elderberry, called anthocyanins, have an anti-inflammatory effect; this could explain the effect on aches, pains, and fever. Elderberry extract could be an "efficient and safe treatment" for flu symptoms in otherwise healthy people and for those with compromised immune systems, such as the elderly, Thom adds. Russell Greenfield, MD, a leading practitioner of integrative medicine and medical director of Carolinas Integrative Health, advocates treating flu with black elderberry, he says in a news release. "It can be given to children and adults, and with no known side effects or negative interactions," he says. "But don't expect grandma's elderberry jam" to ease flu symptoms like body aches, cough, and fever, he warns. "Extract is the only black elderberry preparation shown effective in clinical studies." More info on Black Elderberry. It is sold in the US under such brand names as Sambucus and Sambucol® Here's some info from the National Library of Medicine and National Institute of Health on Elderberry; Elderberry and elder flower (Sambucas nigra L.) Here's some info on its development as an anti-viral drug; The Sambucol line appears to have a wider range of products;
(((PING)))
I have one hell of a supply of it. I've been reading that Rose Hips is effective too.
formerly GJones.
Excellent info...and damaging to the profiteers and poison peddlers at Big Pharmaceutical Companies. Are ya' listenin' Rummy?
#2. To: Disgusted, Lod (#0)
#3. To: Lod (#1)
#4. To: SonOfLiberty (#3)
here's my recommendation -
#5. To: Disgusted (#0)
two sufferers are believed to have developed resistance to Tamiflu, the anti-viral drug which is the only line of defence to the disease before a vaccine is ready
"The real deal is this: the ‘royalty’ controlling the court, the ones with the power, the ones with the ability to make a difference, with the ability to change our course, the ones who will live in infamy if we pass the tipping points, are the captains of industry, CEOs in fossil fuel companies such as EXXON/Mobil, automobile manufacturers, utilities, all of the leaders who have placed short-term profit above the fate of the planet and the well-being of our children." - James Hansen
#6. To: FormerLurker (#5)
Sambucol (now called Sambucus)
#7. To: FormerLurker (#5)
(Edited)
http://www.purplesage.org.uk/profiles/elder.htm
#8. To: christine, KinkoTheKlown (#6)
(Edited)
is that supposed to be safe?
Medicinal Use
"The real deal is this: the ‘royalty’ controlling the court, the ones with the power, the ones with the ability to make a difference, with the ability to change our course, the ones who will live in infamy if we pass the tipping points, are the captains of industry, CEOs in fossil fuel companies such as EXXON/Mobil, automobile manufacturers, utilities, all of the leaders who have placed short-term profit above the fate of the planet and the well-being of our children." - James Hansen
#9. To: christine (#6)
"The real deal is this: the ‘royalty’ controlling the court, the ones with the power, the ones with the ability to make a difference, with the ability to change our course, the ones who will live in infamy if we pass the tipping points, are the captains of industry, CEOs in fossil fuel companies such as EXXON/Mobil, automobile manufacturers, utilities, all of the leaders who have placed short-term profit above the fate of the planet and the well-being of our children." - James Hansen
#10. To: TwentyTwelve, Original_Intent, wudidiz (#8)
"The real deal is this: the ‘royalty’ controlling the court, the ones with the power, the ones with the ability to make a difference, with the ability to change our course, the ones who will live in infamy if we pass the tipping points, are the captains of industry, CEOs in fossil fuel companies such as EXXON/Mobil, automobile manufacturers, utilities, all of the leaders who have placed short-term profit above the fate of the planet and the well-being of our children." - James Hansen
#11. To: FormerLurker (#5)
(Edited)
Sambucol (now called Sambucus) is about the only thing that could possibly cure a flu of ANY type.
#12. To: FormerLurker (#8)
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