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(s)Elections
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Title: Exit Polls: Mixed Bag For GOP, Dems
Source: Politico
URL Source: [None]
Published: Nov 4, 2009
Author: ERIKA LOVLEY
Post Date: 2009-11-04 19:39:31 by Brian S
Keywords: None
Views: 87
Comments: 3

Republicans scored big victories in both Virginia and New Jersey Tuesday, but the majority of voters in both states told poll takers that President Obama was not a factor when they cast their vote.

In New Jersey exit polls, 60 percent of voters said Obama did not figure into their decision, while 57 percent of the Virginia electorate echoed that sentiment, numbers that could potentially calm some Democrats' fears of a backlash against the administration heading into next year's mid-term elections.

The numbers also suggest that Obama's last minute lobbying blitzes for both New Jersey incumbent Governor Jon Corzine and Virginia Democrat Creigh Deeds had little sway with voters. Only 19 percent of Virginians and 18 percent of New Jersey voters said they voted to express support for Obama. A slightly bigger chunk of voters said they voted to express disapproval for the administration.

Independents in both states swung largely for the Republican candidates, according to the network exit polls, a clear difference from the 2008 election and another illustration of that group's place in the electorate as key swing voters.

Virginia winner Republican Bob McDonnell captured 62 percent of the independent vote, while Deeds received only 37 percent. Garden State former attorney general Chris Christie won 58 percent of the independent vote, while Corzine received only 31 percent. Meanwhile, Independent candidate Chris Daggett received only nine percent of the independent vote, a small showing from his support base.

Independents made up the smallest part of the electorate turnout in both states - contributing 29 percent of the total vote in Virginia and 28 percent in New Jersey.

The swing of independent support toward the GOP could potentially signal trouble for Democrats in 2010 races. Obama didn't capture independents by an enormous margin in 2008, but he did win them by four points in New Jersey and split them with the Republicans in Virginia, which helped him carry both states. Independents were also key to Democrats' recapturing of Congress in 2006.

The division between sexes was more pronounced in New Jersey than Virginia. Men were a key voting bloc for the Republican candidates, while women leaned more Democratic. Women in the Garden State supported Corzine by about 51 percent, the same percentage of men who supported Christie.

Interestingly, the female vote in Virginia tilted toward the Democrats by only two percentage points, despite the emergence of an old thesis paper by McDonnell that was uncomplimentary to women. A string of Deeds television ads that sought to pigeon-hole McDonnell over his thesis did little to sway voters, polls show. Most voters said the thesis was not a factor in their ballot choice.

As expected in an off year election, youth turnout was low in both states. Young adults ages 18 to 29 compromised only 8 percent of the total New Jersey voter turnout and 10 percent in Virginia.

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#2. To: Brian S (#0)

In New Jersey exit polls, 60 percent of voters said Obama did not figure into their decision, while 57 percent of the Virginia electorate echoed that sentiment

That means that 40% and 43% did think that Obama figured in their vote -- not good for Obama and the Zionist Jew Chicago cabal that controls him (Rahmbo Axlerode, two people of one Jew mind)!

your_neighbor  posted on  2009-11-08   19:30:54 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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