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War, War, War
See other War, War, War Articles

Title: Danger Room What's Next in National Security
Source: [None]
URL Source: [None]
Published: Aug 26, 2010
Author: http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2010/08/
Post Date: 2010-08-26 09:37:08 by tom007
Keywords: None
Views: 115
Comments: 6

Danger Room What's Next in National Security Previous post Troops Wonder: WTF Are We Doing In Afghanistan, Again?

* By Spencer Ackerman Email Author * August 26, 2010 | * 7:02 am | * Categories: Af/Pak *

BAGRAM AIR FIELD, Afghanistan — Two years ago, when I was last in Afghanistan, soldiers complained to me off the record that there weren’t enough of them to properly fight the war. This time around, in similarly candid moments, I heard a more fundamental complaint: the war doesn’t make sense.

>www.wired.com/dangerroom/2010/08/troops-wonder-wtf-are-we-doing-in-afghanistan-again/100816-f-8920c-073/">

To get the caveats out of the way: this post is based on an unrepresentative sample, drawn from what fewer than a dozen soldiers, airmen and contractors told me at this sprawling military base (and only here). There’s some anecdotal evidence that troops stationed on megabases are prone to greater despair than those serving in more spartan conditions. Most of my interlocutors sought me out to vent; none of them wanted speak on the record, fearing command reprisal. And I’m factoring out the typical (and understandable) deployment gripes. Your mileage will vary around the battlefield. I don’t mean to suggest there’s a groundswell within the ranks against the war. But it would feel irresponsible if I didn’t report the skepticism I heard at Bagram about the course of the Obama administration’s strategy.

Some considered the war a distraction from broader national security challenges like Iran or China. Others thought that its costs — nearly ten years, $321 billion, 1243 U.S. deaths and counting — are too high, playing into Osama bin Laden’s “Bleed To Bankruptcy” strategy. Still others thought that it doesn’t make sense for President Obama simultaneously triple U.S. troop levels and announce that they’re going to start coming down, however slowly, in July 2011. At least one person was convinced, despite the evidence, that firing General Stanley McChrystal meant the strategy was due for an overhaul, something I chalked up to the will to believe.

But if there was a common denominator to their critiques, it’s this: none understood how their day-to-day jobs actually contributed to a successful outcome. One person actually asked me if I could explain how it’s all supposed to knit together.

Something I didn’t hear but expected to: complaints about the rules for using force. Maybe if I had been down south in Kandahar or a witness to the extremely violent fight in Kunar I would have heard the sort of discontent that colored Michael Hastings’ Rolling Stone profile of McChrystal. Instead, while I heard a lot of frustration about dealing with Afghan civilians, I also heard troops offer that rising rates of civilian casualties were a sure path to losing the war.

What they wanted to hear was a sure path — any path — to winning it. Or even just a clear definition of success. If the goal is stabilizing Afghanistan, what does that have to do with defeating al-Qaeda? If this is a war against al-Qaeda and al-Qaeda is in the untouchable areas of tribal Pakistan, where the troops can’t go, why not just draw down to a few bases in the east in order to drop bombs and launch missiles? Even if we can’t just do that, what will Afghans consider “stable,” anyway? Is all of this vagueness just a cover so we can decide at a certain point that we can withdraw in a face-saving way, declaring victory as it suits us to cover up a no-win situation? If so, why not just do that now?

Overwhelmingly, these sentiments were expressed to me as questions, not hardened positions. I didn’t find troops going off on political or strategic diatribes. (Well, there was that one guy.) Instead, I heard them try to work out the complexities of a strategy that didn’t quite add up for them. Only two people I talked to sounded resigned to the war amounting to a debacle. One of them considered it a disaster because, in his view, it diverts the U.S.’s attention from the growing strength of states like Iran and China.

I mentioned to some of my interlocutors that I was going to interview General Petraeus. Their questions to me informed some of my questions to him. Above all: what end-state is his campaign plan supposed to bring about? Reducing the Taliban to irrelevance; getting the Taliban to negotiate; or bringing them down just to the point where the Afghan security forces can handle them?

“I think it’s all of the above,” Petraeus answered. “But, obviously, success in this country is an Afghanistan that can secure and govern itself, and doing that obvious requires security for the population, neutralizing the insurgent population by a variety of ways. Irreconcilables have to be killed captured or run off.” I wonder if that assuaged any of the skeptical troops I spoke with at Bagram, since those are three rather different endpoints.

During a wide-ranging interview last week, Major General John Campbell, commander of NATO troops in Eastern Afghanistan, lamented the U.S.’s inability to speak clearly and compellingly about its war aims after 10 years of fighting. “We can sell Coke and KFC all over the world,” he said, “but we can’t tell people back home why we’re here.” Nor, apparently, the troops down the road from his Disney Drive office.

Credit: ISAF

See Also:

* East Afghan Plan: Choke the ‘Rat Lines,’ Secure the Roads

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 5.

#4. To: tom007 (#0)

What they wanted to hear was a sure path — any path — to winning it. Or even just a clear definition of success.

Sad to say but I think the objective is enduring conflict management so that war profiteers can keep winning big bucks and power for themselves. That's what they consider success.

GreyLmist  posted on  2010-08-27   5:32:53 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: GreyLmist (#4)

that war profiteers can keep winning big bucks and power for themselves. That's what they consider success.

With such gobs of money, corruption naturally follows.

tom007  posted on  2010-08-27   8:50:22 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 5.

#6. To: tom007 (#5)

With such gobs of money, corruption naturally follows.

If every Afghani and every Iraqi stopped fighting, there would most likely still be profiteering provocateurs who would MIHOP/Make It Happen On Purpose to look like they didn't do that so their own money and power agendas could continue. We train our troops for war in about 6 weeks. Prolonging our stay in those countries for years and years to train theirs as an ongoing business is inexcusably wasteful. My guess is that the profiteers aren't being made to pay us enough, if at all, for our Military's protection and training services. Not only that, but the profiteers are being paid in lucrative contracts, etc., which serve to keep the conflict going for their benefit. Instead of giving them money and power profits and security guards too at our expense, give them all exorbitant bllls for our Secrurity and Training services and then they might call for a Peace Treaty themselves.

4um: Inside Job? Iraqi govt 'involved in deadlyInside Job? Iraqi govt 'involved in deadly bombings t

GreyLmist  posted on  2010-08-29 14:35:19 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 5.

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