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Title: Ron Paul Set to Take Iowa and NH
Source: [None]
URL Source: [None]
Published: Dec 14, 2011
Author: Kurt Nimmo
Post Date: 2011-12-14 20:25:49 by James Deffenbach
Keywords: None
Views: 1884
Comments: 12

Even the New York Times is obliged to admit, if dismissively, that Ron Paul has a good chance in Iowa. Ross Douthat writes for the Gray Lady today that Paul is neck-to-neck with Newt Gingrich in the caucus state while the former front-runner Mitt Romney trails in the shadows.

Predictably, the Times scrivener takes the opportunity to elevate the establishment candidate Gingrich while softly berating Ron Paul, but this does not negate the fact Ron Paul is, as Douthat's title suggests, on the rise and will likely jostle past Gingrich in the days ahead.

On Tuesday, a Public Policy Polling survey showed him one percentage point behind Gingrich for the lead in Iowa. Paul took 21 percent in the survey compared to 22 percent for Gingrich with Romney third at 16 percent, according to Reuters.

Rasmussen Reports released poll data on Tuesday showing Romney in the lead in New Hampshire, the state where the next caucus will be held on January 10. Gingrich was second with 22 percent and Paul third at 18 percent. It should be noted that Paul narrowed a ten point gap in a week's time, again demonstrating that he is indeed "on the rise."

"In political terms, it probably means we're peaking at the right time," Paul told Reuters.

A national poll conducted by NBC News/Wall SPtreet Journal has Gingrich leading Mitt Romney by 17 points. If the election were held today, however, Gingrich would lose to Obama. "Although Gingrich may be at the front of the pack of contenders, if the next election for president were held today, four in ten registered voters said they'd choose him and 51% said they'd vote to re-elect President Obama, whose approval rating remains in the mid-forties according to the poll," notes CNN .

Mitt Romney would fare better against Obama, but would also lose if the election were held today.

The only Republican contender who stands a chance against Obama is Ron Paul. According to an NBC/Marist poll , 42% of registered voters in Iowa support Ron Paul and 42% back Obama, with 16 percent undecided.

"Paul also leads Obama 42 to 35% among independent voters and attracts 15 percent of Iowa's Democrats according to the survey. The Congressman also betters Obama by 14 percentage points among voters under 45 years of age," writes Steve Watson.

"Tellingly, Paul also leads the way over his GOP rivals with 25% among voters who see a candidate's position on the issues, rather than electability or popularity, as the most important factor of their candidacy. Gingrich, on the other hand, leads among avid college football fans."

Paul continues to gain momentum and win straw polls. He won the Cedar Valley Tea Party Presidential Straw Poll and a straw poll held in Pasco County, Flordia. Despite the fact the two recent straw polls had a small number of participants and were off the establishment media's radar screen, they demonstrate growing support for the Texas congressman.

Ron Paul is indeed rising. If the trend continues – and there is no reason to believe it will soon abate – Ron Paul will come out of Iowa the winner and will go into New Hampshire with a full head of steam. If he takes New Hampshire as well, his shot at the nomination is almost certainly guaranteed.


Poster Comment:

Added emphasis mine.

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#1. To: James Deffenbach (#0)

TwentyTwelve  posted on  2011-12-14   20:36:17 ET  (1 image) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: TwentyTwelve (#1)

That is great.

Liberty is not a means to a higher political end. It is itself the highest political end.    Lord Acton

The human herd stampedes on the fields of facts and the valleys of truth to get to the desert of ignorance. Saman Mohammadi

The only difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits. Albert Einstein

"...if the military is going to defend our freedoms, then we need freedoms to defend. Our freedoms must be restored before the military can defend them..."  Lawrence M. Vance

Você me trata desse jeito só porque eu sou preto. Junior (my youngest son)

James Deffenbach  posted on  2011-12-14   20:37:45 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: TwentyTwelve (#1)

#2. To: Sweetjustusnow, sine-qua-non (#1)

If RP actually pulls off the upset of the century there are going to a few suicides on this site! LOL

JustUsealittleBrainPower posted on 2011-12-14 19:34:26 ET Reply Trace

Liberty is not a means to a higher political end. It is itself the highest political end.    Lord Acton

The human herd stampedes on the fields of facts and the valleys of truth to get to the desert of ignorance. Saman Mohammadi

The only difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits. Albert Einstein

"...if the military is going to defend our freedoms, then we need freedoms to defend. Our freedoms must be restored before the military can defend them..."  Lawrence M. Vance

Você me trata desse jeito só porque eu sou preto. Junior (my youngest son)

James Deffenbach  posted on  2011-12-14   20:43:43 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: James Deffenbach (#3)

If RP actually pulls off the upset of the century there are going to a few suicides on this site! LOL

If RP actually pulls off the upset of the century, I'm gonna buy a Jereboam of Moët and find me the longest straw in town.

randge  posted on  2011-12-14   20:53:59 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: randge (#4)

I suspect there will be MANY parties in America if Ron pulls that off. And I am certainly pulling for him, have been for years.

Liberty is not a means to a higher political end. It is itself the highest political end.    Lord Acton

The human herd stampedes on the fields of facts and the valleys of truth to get to the desert of ignorance. Saman Mohammadi

The only difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits. Albert Einstein

"...if the military is going to defend our freedoms, then we need freedoms to defend. Our freedoms must be restored before the military can defend them..."  Lawrence M. Vance

Você me trata desse jeito só porque eu sou preto. Junior (my youngest son)

James Deffenbach  posted on  2011-12-14   20:55:19 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: James Deffenbach (#5)

Right now, James, I'll content myself with a couple of primary & caucus upsets just to see some select broadcast wise guys (and a few people I know) piss themselves!

randge  posted on  2011-12-14   20:58:22 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: randge, James Deffenbach (#6)

Ron Paul, the unlikeliest 2012 force - The Washington Post

TwentyTwelve  posted on  2011-12-14   23:11:14 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: randge (#6)

Right now, James, I'll content myself with a couple of primary & caucus upsets just to see some select broadcast wise guys (and a few people I know) piss themselves!

Some of the ne'er do wells on LP would surely be amongst those needing to do laundry. All the naysayers on there who hate Ron for no apparent reason will surely be crying the blues if Ron wins Iowa and New Hampshire. But just wait and see, if Ron wins Iowa the news flacks will start talking about how irrelevant Iowa is. After they have spent months and countless hours talking about how important it is.

Liberty is not a means to a higher political end. It is itself the highest political end.    Lord Acton

The human herd stampedes on the fields of facts and the valleys of truth to get to the desert of ignorance. Saman Mohammadi

The only difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits. Albert Einstein

"...if the military is going to defend our freedoms, then we need freedoms to defend. Our freedoms must be restored before the military can defend them..."  Lawrence M. Vance

Você me trata desse jeito só porque eu sou preto. Junior (my youngest son)

James Deffenbach  posted on  2011-12-14   23:15:50 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: TwentyTwelve (#7)

Thanks for the link. I read the article and I think they may be selling Ron a bit short. It seems their contention is that if Ron would go along to get along that he would have a better chance but he would not have anything close to the support he has now if he had practiced the kind of politics that they believe would be best.

Liberty is not a means to a higher political end. It is itself the highest political end.    Lord Acton

The human herd stampedes on the fields of facts and the valleys of truth to get to the desert of ignorance. Saman Mohammadi

The only difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits. Albert Einstein

"...if the military is going to defend our freedoms, then we need freedoms to defend. Our freedoms must be restored before the military can defend them..."  Lawrence M. Vance

Você me trata desse jeito só porque eu sou preto. Junior (my youngest son)

James Deffenbach  posted on  2011-12-14   23:19:47 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: James Deffenbach (#9)

Thanks for the link. I read the article and I think they may be selling Ron a bit short. It seems their contention is that if Ron would go along to get along that he would have a better chance but he would not have anything close to the support he has now if he had practiced the kind of politics that they believe would be best.

Ron Paul needs to continue doing what he has been doing. It is working!

TwentyTwelve  posted on  2011-12-14   23:36:42 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: TwentyTwelve (#10)

I agree. Never have been a believer in selling out principles so that statist or commie loons would like you more. If you have to go down then go down with your integrity intact. That is the honorable way.

Liberty is not a means to a higher political end. It is itself the highest political end.    Lord Acton

The human herd stampedes on the fields of facts and the valleys of truth to get to the desert of ignorance. Saman Mohammadi

The only difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits. Albert Einstein

"...if the military is going to defend our freedoms, then we need freedoms to defend. Our freedoms must be restored before the military can defend them..."  Lawrence M. Vance

Você me trata desse jeito só porque eu sou preto. Junior (my youngest son)

James Deffenbach  posted on  2011-12-14   23:46:30 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: James Deffenbach (#0)

If he somehow makes it to the nomination, I'll be celebrating for sure. Heck, I'll be celebrating if he takes Iowa. It will also restore some belief in the election process. However, whether Ron wins or not, ultimately secession of the various states from DC is the only long-term solution. Or perhaps as with the old late Roman Empire, a "two-state" solution.


Your vote is steering the country

Democrats don't mind war as long as they can have big government. Republicans don't mind big government as long as they can have war.
If you believe in small government, then you shouldn't be in the White House.

PnbC  posted on  2011-12-15   1:49:08 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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