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Title: Ron Paul May Have Secretly Won The Iowa Caucuses
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URL Source: http://www.businessinsider.com/ron- ... -iowa-caucuses-strategy-201201
Published: Jan 4, 2012
Author: Grace Wyler
Post Date: 2012-01-04 13:32:45 by CadetD
Keywords: Iowa, caucus
Views: 385
Comments: 22
DES MOINES — Ron Paul may have officially come in third tonight, but if the campaign's caucus strategy went off as planned, then Paul may actually be the real winner of the first Republican voting contest. That's because Paul's massive organizational push in Iowa focused on both winning votes, and also on making sure that Paul supporters stuck around after the vote to make sure they were selected as county delegates — the first step towards being elected as a delegate to the Republican National Convention. That's because Iowa's Republican caucuses are non-binding — they are technically just a straw poll, so once selected, delegates are free to vote for whichever presidential candidate they choose. "Part of what we've been training the Ron Paul people to do is not to leave after the vote," Dan Godzich, a senior campaign advisor, told BI. "Stay and get elected to the conventions and get us those delegates." Godzich and Sydney Hay, another Paul advisor, crisscrossed Iowa in the weeks leading up to the caucuses, making sure precinct leaders knew what to do and organizing slates of delegates that would ensure Paul walked away with a strong majority, even if he lost the caucus' straw poll vote. By the eve of Election Day, Hay said she was confident that Paul would come away from Iowa with a strong majority of the state's delegates. It's a good first step toward making sure that Paul has a strong presence on the floor in Tampa this summer — something that his supporters believe will help force the Republican party to start reckoning with their Movement. UPDATE: 1:40 a.m. Sources close to the Paul campaign indicated Tuesday that they were happy with their delegate count. Although we couldn't get specific numbers, a source told Business Insider that Paul nailed down the delegates in all of Iowa's smaller counties, and made a strong showing in several larger ones. Poster Comment: Seems encouraging....
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#14. To: CadetD (#0)
Looks like votes may have been shaved to the Santorum side of the equation. Drudge had a poll of IA voters where Paul was over 60% and the next closest candidate was Romney at 21%. The remaining candidates totalled the balance of approx 20%. Funny that all of the dregs were screaming that a Paul win should be ignored in IA or that the IA caucus would lose credibility if Paul won. Looks to me like socialist Romney and Zionist Santorum think IA is relevant.
#16. To: noone222, All (#14)
(Edited)
cnsnews.com: Ron Paul Won All Age Brackets Under 40 in Iowa Caucuses, Says Entrance Poll In the Comments section of that article, poster bop says:
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Replies to Comment # 14. Looks like votes may have been shaved to the Santorum side of the equation.
I checked the Iowa caucus results by county on caucus night at about 4:30 am EST and was very surprised to see that both Romney and Paul had won a relatively few, but very populous, counties while Santorum had virtually swept the sparsely populated counties of the hinterland. Then I realized that by rolling over the map, the vote breakdown in each county was revealed. It looked like a common template of candidates had been used throughout wherein Romney was listed first, then Paul and then Santorum a couple of places farther down. The order was Romney first, Paul second regardless of whether Romney or Paul won a particular county. However, in the counties where Santorum won, two names (and two names only) were switched in the list. Santorum was listed directly after Romney and Paul was listed in the spot where Santorum had been. The switch was immediately apparent and quite striking. By morning, the listings had been changed - results ranked most votes to least in descending order masking what was clearly seen in the earlier template. The counted results did not match the polling right up to causus night. I will surmise, however, that if Santorum and Paul totals are switched in all reportedly Santorum-won counties, that the expected statewide results of Paul about 30% and Santorum about 15% would be matched. The counties out in the hinterland would also be the ones with older voters and with fewer resources to really secure their vote tallies.
End Trace Mode for Comment # 14.