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Ron Paul
See other Ron Paul Articles

Title: The Ron Paul Effect: How the GOP Threw the Election By Disenfranchising Ron Paul Supporters
Source: policymic
URL Source: http://www.policymic.com/articles/1 ... ranchising-ron-paul-supporters
Published: Nov 11, 2012
Author: Hamdan Azhar
Post Date: 2012-11-11 21:26:03 by farmfriend
Keywords: None
Views: 286
Comments: 5

The Ron Paul Effect: How the GOP Threw the Election By Disenfranchising Ron Paul Supporters

Hamdan Azhar

By disenfranchising Ron Paul supporters, Mitt Romney won the primary but lost the election.

New analysis reveals that in no less than five states, Romney’s margin of loss to President Obama in the general election was less than the number of votes received by Ron Paul in that state’s primary.

In Florida, for example, Obama defeated Romney by 46,000 votes; meanwhile, Ron Paul received over 117,000 votes in the primary. If only 40% of these Ron Paul Republicans stayed home on Election Day, it would have been enough to cost Romney the state and its 29 electoral votes.

A similar case can be made for Connecticut, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Virginia. Along with Florida, these five states account for a whopping 71 Electoral College votes. Remember that Obama earned 332 electoral votes compared to Romney’s 206. Had Romney won these five states, they would have been sufficient to give him a narrow 277-261 victory over the President.

Admittedly, the number of Paul votes and Romney’s loss margin are closer in the other four states than they are in Florida. In New Hampshire, 71% of Paul votes are needed to make up the margin, while in Ohio and Virginia, that number is closer to 95%.

The picture becomes clearer, however, when we remember that the number of Paul primary votes is almost certainly an underestimate of the number of Paul supporters in a given state. Given the reluctance of many socially liberal, fiscally conservative Ron Paul supporters to participate in a Republican primary, analysts have estimated a multiplier of at least threefold in closed primary states.

What does this mean? Given two conservative assumptions – that the number of Paul supporters in these five states is at least double the number of Paul primary votes, and that 40% of these Paul voters stayed home on Election Day – we have a strong case for stating that Mitt Romney would have won the election had he earned the votes of these Ron Paul supporters.

When Ron Paul went to the Republican National Convention in August, he brought with him the youngest delegation in the history of the Republican Party.

How were they welcomed? When they arrived, their signs were confiscated and torn up before their eyes. The Maine delegation was summarily unseated and sent home because they contained too many Paul supporters. At the last minute, the Rules Committee changed the ballot access requirement from five states to eight states to prevent Ron Paul’s name from being entered into nomination. They even prevented his name from being mentioned from the podium!

The establishment’s abominable treatment of Ron Paul supporters at the RNC was only the culmination of a corrupt and shameful primary season. In Louisiana, Ron Paul delegates were arrested when it became clear that they were in the majority at the state convention. In Arizona, desperate party bosses turned off the lights at the state convention to prevent Ron Paul supporters from being elected to a party position. In both Maine and Nevada, Romney campaign officials were caught distributing fake delegate slates. In Missouri, police were called to shut down the St. Charles caucus when a Ron Paul victory appeared imminent.

“It’s a shame the party hasn’t been more welcoming of these young people,” confessed a Romney delegate to me at the RNC.

In Mitt Romney’s crushing defeat at the hands of President Obama, it appears the Republican Party’s chickens may finally have come home to roost. Instead of welcoming the passion and dedication of the Ron Paul movement, the party chose to alienate an entire generation of young Republicans, scorning the sensible message of limited government and non-interventionist foreign policy.

As Republicans nationwide prepare themselves for four more years of President Obama, they would do well to ask themselves what they might have done differently. One can only wonder whether the party will learn the lessons of 2012 in time for the election of 2016.

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#1. To: farmfriend (#0)

rommey's corporate thug tactics do not work in the real world. I can only hope that our country can survive 4 more years of soetoro.

..LIFE IS LIKE A COIN, YOU CAN CHOOSE TO SPEND IT ANYWAY YOU WISH, BUT YOU CAN ONLY SPEND IT ONCE...

Give Me Liberty  posted on  2012-11-11   21:57:32 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: Give Me Liberty (#1)

LIFE IS LIKE A RIVER YOU CAN ONLY WASH YOURSELF ONCE

"Satan / Cheney in "08" Just Foreign Policy Iraqi Death Estimator

tom007  posted on  2012-11-11   22:05:00 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: farmfriend (#0)

If the dog had not stopped to.....

Ron Paul is an avowed republican for life, republican voters kept him in office for twenty two years.

Twice Paul ran as a republican for President, both times a black democrat won. A cynical person could easily make a connection as to cause and effect.

Cynicom  posted on  2012-11-11   22:09:30 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: farmfriend (#0)

One can only wonder whether the party will learn the lessons of 2012 in time for the election of 2016.

The GOP is on a roll, I say that they'll resurrect Sarah Palin for 2016 and make it 3 out of 3 and pave the way for George P. Bush in 2020.

“With the exception of Whites, the rule among the peoples of the world, whether residing in their homelands or settled in Western democracies, is ethnocentrism and moral particularism: they stick together and good means what is good for their ethnic group."
-Alex Kurtagic

X-15  posted on  2012-11-11   22:40:43 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: X-15 (#4)

I think they are going to run Ryan.


Does anyone honestly believe that the global elites whose wealth and power depend on manipulation of the global chess board would leave something like the Presidency up to chance?

farmfriend  posted on  2012-11-11   23:32:06 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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