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Business/Finance See other Business/Finance Articles Title: Greenspan: Growth Will Slow Amid 'Degree of Uncertainty' Greenspan: Growth Will Slow Amid 'Degree of Uncertainty' Wednesday, 27 Nov 2013 04:37 PM Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said the U.S. economy probably will grow more slowly next year than some forecasters predict and indicated that a near-record U.S. stock market isnt in a bubble. This does not have the characteristics, as far as Im concerned, of a stock market bubble, Greenspan said in an interview on Bloomberg Televisions Political Capital with Al Hunt, airing this weekend. It could come out that way but I dont see it at this stage. Special: Our Emergency Radio Works Without Batteries Just $4.95. You save $25! Greenspan said that even with the rise in equities, the U.S. economy is restrained by a degree of uncertainty that is reducing investment. Economists who forecast 2.5 percent to 3 percent growth next year may be too optimistic, he said. Its a little on the upside, frankly, Greenspan said. Theres no doubt that theres been some acceleration going on, but theres an overall suppression that is going on in the economy largely because of lingering uncertainty, he said. Greenspan said his 2014 growth forecast is closer to 2 percent. Thats below the median estimate for a 2.6 percent expansion next year after 1.7 percent growth this year, according to a Nov. 8-13 Bloomberg survey of 73 economists. Greenspan said the economy is being held back in part by the banking system, as some of the largest banks are not operating efficiently. Scarce Savings Were supporting banking institutions who are not only very large, but not very efficient and they are using the scarce savings of the society, which is critical for economic growth, he said. He declined to identify which banks had become inefficient. The Standard & Poors 500 Index has rallied about 27 percent this year, heading for the biggest annual gain since 1998, as the Fed has pressed on with its stimulus campaign. The S&P 500 climbed 0.2 percent to 1,806.85 at 2:48 p.m. Wednesday in New York, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.2 percent to 16,097.46. Both indexes reached records this week. The stock price generally goes up about 7 percent a year for the long term, Greenspan said. It didnt go anywhere since October 2007 and the result of that is were just now breaching that. We have had no growth in stock prices for years. The S&P 500 reached 1,565.15 on Oct. 9, 2007, and then dropped 57 percent as the economy went through the longest and deepest recession since the Great Depression. The index didnt surpass its October 2007 peak until March of this year. Praising Yellen Greenspan also offered praise for Janet Yellen, the nominee to be the next Fed chairman. She was approved by the Senate Banking Committee with a vote of 14-8 on Nov. 21 and now heads to the full Senate. Yellen, 67, was a governor at the Fed from 1994 to 1997 under Greenspan and became president of the San Francisco Fed during the final years of Greenspans tenure, which ended in January 2006. Shes currently the central banks vice chairman. Greenspan, 87, said he has praised her because shes very good. He said her greatest challenge will be managing the central banks balance sheet, which has grown to $3.91 trillion under the Feds bond-buying programs designed to lower unemployment. Eventually were going to have to stop expanding and start bringing it in, Greenspan said. That process is going to move interest rates higher, by an indeterminate amount, and that is going to create major problems for the Federal Reserve as it always has politically. Urgent: Do You Approve Or Disapprove of President Obama's Job Performance? Vote Now in Urgent Poll The former Fed chief declined to comment when asked about a statement by Pope Francis this week critical of free markets. Read Latest Breaking News from http://Newsmax.com www.moneynews.com/StreetT...ode=15C63-1#ixzz2lz2EKBkR Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread Top Page Up Full Thread Page Down Bottom/Latest
#1. To: BTP Holdings (#0)
Al, isn't past reaper-time? Go away. The most dangerous man to any government is the man who is able to think things out... without regard to the prevailing superstitions and taboos. Almost inevitably he comes to the conclusion that the government he lives under is dishonest, insane, intolerable. ~ H. L. Mencken
He should have dangling at the end of a rope a long time ago.
"Have Brain, Will Travel
Yes, when he was bought-off by the foreskin-eaters, he should have been shelved.
The most dangerous man to any government is the man who is able to think things out... without regard to the prevailing superstitions and taboos. Almost inevitably he comes to the conclusion that the government he lives under is dishonest, insane, intolerable. ~ H. L. Mencken
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