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Business/Finance
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Title: Sell Grains, Buy Copper
Source: email
URL Source: [None]
Published: Jul 17, 2014
Author: Greg Guenthner
Post Date: 2014-07-17 17:43:54 by BTP Holdings
Keywords: None
Views: 75
Comments: 1

Sell Grains, Buy Copper

Greg Guenthner coming to you from Baltimore, MD...

Greg Guenthner

The market's crashing...

No, I'm not talking about stocks (although S&P futures are down about 8 points as I type). While the stock market has captured everyone's attention lately-- from the Fed chair to the doomsday top-callers--you'll find the real action is happening next door in the commodities markets.

Have you checked out the price of grains lately? Go ahead and pick one. I'll wait.

Whatever you're watching--wheat, corn, soybeans-- is down double-digits over the past few months.

You might recall that I was bullish on corn earlier this year. Well, that uptrend corn was building back in the winter turned into a disaster in the spring (don't worry, we got off the corn bandwagon back in mid-May). Over the past three months, corn has dropped more than 20%.

There are plenty of reasons why corn and other grains are tanking. The Department of Agriculture just projected that supplies will significantly exceed expectations this year. Yes, the summer weather has been quite favorable to U.S. crops...

"Crops in the United States, the world's top grain exporter, have flourished this summer thanks to nearly ideal weather, fuelling expectations that bumper autumn harvests will expand crop inventories," Reuters reports. "Reduced demand for animal feed helped lift grain inventories, which have been replenished following a historic U.S. drought in 2012."

With billions of buschels expected later this year, corn and other grains aren't offering much on the long side. Avoid them.

On the other hand, not all commodities are feeling the pain. Just check out some precious (and not-so-precious) metals. Palladium continues to push to new highs. It's up more than 22% year-to-date. Then there's copper...

A couple of weeks ago, I highlighted a huge buy signal in Dr. Copper. Sure, copper had its share of trouble in the past. The metal has slowly trended lower since it peaked near $4.50 in 2011. But the action we saw earlier this month was telling. Copper finally cleared critical resistance, breaking the downtrend that had trapped the industrial metal for nearly three years.

Now's it's working on higher prices:

I like copper here as it consolidates its big move higher from last month. This could be the perfect addition to your portfolio as you wait out potential seasonal weakness in the stock market...


Poster Comment:

I have my survival grains, and also some other survival food in the house. I do not trade in the grain or metals markets, but I recall driving thru Silver City, New Mexico. There was a huge open pit copper mine there. ;)

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#1. To: BTP Holdings (#0)

Grains are down, but there's a long, long summer ahead before harvest; who knows what will happen here or in S. America or China?

I'd rather have some piles of silver and gold coins than a bunch of copper laying around.

But that's just me.

“The most dangerous man to any government is the man who is able to think things out... without regard to the prevailing superstitions and taboos. Almost inevitably he comes to the conclusion that the government he lives under is dishonest, insane, intolerable.” ~ H. L. Mencken

Lod  posted on  2014-07-17   18:48:56 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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