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Health
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Title: 12 Alarming Numbers Show The Enormity Of The Ebola Crisis Business Insider
Source: [None]
URL Source: http://news.yahoo.com/11-alarming-n ... rs-ebola-crisis-204709007.html
Published: Sep 25, 2014
Author: Erin Brodwin
Post Date: 2014-09-25 22:53:45 by Tatarewicz
Keywords: None
Views: 64
Comments: 1

Yahoo...

They come for the dead. They used to come for the living, but with little funding and far too few health care workers to treat the mushrooming number of the West African nation's sick, Liberia's government employees now arrive only to pick up the bodies of those who have succumbed to Ebola.

Finally, the West is recognizing the scale of the crisis. On Sept. 15, President Obama pledged to send 3,000 people to fight the epidemic in Liberia, Guinea, and Sierra Leone, the three West African nations hit hardest by the virus. Five days later, former President Bill Clinton sent a chartered jet packed with gloves, gowns, and other protective medical equipment — the largest single shipment of aid to the Ebola zone to date — from New York to West Africa.

But even now, it's hard to feel the full impact of this epidemic from millions of miles away. It can be easier to understand how terrifying it is when you look at the numbers. 1.4 million: The number of Ebola cases expected by Jan. 20, 2015, if nothing changes in the way patients are treated.

. HealthMap ebola projection HealthMap Ebola cases in Liberia, Guinea and Sierra Leone. The dark color shows real cases and the light color shows projected. 71%: The death rate of this epidemic: The percentage of people who, after becoming infected with Ebola, die as a direct result of the virus. 718: Number of new Ebola cases between Sept. 8 and Sept. 14 in Liberia, Guinea, and Sierra Leone, as reported by the WHO.

. Weekly incidence of ebola cases Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa, WHO Ebola Response Team Report, New England Journal of Medicine Weekly incidence of confirmed, probable and suspected Ebola cases 14,607: The approximate number undetected Ebola cases.

The official case count is 5,843, including 2,803 deaths (according to the WHO), but the CDC predicts the actual number of cases is 2.5 times higher than the official figure. 15 days: The time it takes for Ebola cases to double in Liberia, according to CDC estimates. In Sierra Leone, cases are doubling every 30 days. 82%: The percentage of Ebola patients in Liberia who are being cared for outside hospitals or other isolated settings necessary to reduce the risk of transmission. To stop the epidemic from spreading further, this number needs to be 30% or lower.

. Where Liberian Ebola patients are being cared for CDC 21 days: The time it can take a person infected with the Ebola virus to develop physical symptoms.

While people are not infectious until they develop symptoms, the longer a virus has incubated in someone, the lower their chances of getting rapid treatment and recovering.

. Exposure to disease onset chart Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa, WHO Ebola Response Team Report, New England Journal of Medicine Exposure to disease onset 49 days: The number of days after recovery that a man previously infected with Ebola can still transmit the virus through his semen. 14x: The number of times larger the current Ebola eruption is than the last largest outbreak, which hit 425 cases in Uganda in 2000.

As of March 2014, the current flare-up was already eight times the size of that outbreak. As of Sept. 2014, more people have been infected and died of Ebola than as a result of all the previous outbreaks combined . Ebola cases by outbreak and year CDC 20x: The number of times more health personnel needed to beat back the epidemic, according to the WHO. That's 20,000 national and 1,000 international staff. 54.2%: The percentage of health care workers who have died after becoming infected with the virus, despite being well-informed and having full access to treatment.

. Healthcare workers infected with Ebola CDC 2nd: Sierra Leone's global ranking in terms of real GDP growth rate in 2013,before the Ebola outbreak. Liberia held position 11.

For some perspective, the United States was 157th. This is significant when you think about how well the country was doing — in a pure economic sense — before Ebola hit. After the outbreak, this is likely to drop drastically and all the progress the country has been making will be lost.

.


Poster Comment:

Mister Karma The U.S. State Department has ordered 160,000 Hazmat suits for Ebola, prompting concerns that the federal government is anticipating the rapid spread of a virus that has already claimed an unprecedented number of lives. “With the U.S. State Department alone putting out a bid for 160,000 suits, we encourage all protective apparel companies to increase their manufacturing capacity for sealed seam garments so that our industry can do its part in addressing this threat to global health,” states the press release. In a related story, sources from within the Department of Defense have questioned why the Obama administration is implementing a military response to the Ebola epidemic when USAID and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention are already involved in relief efforts. Osterholm says the premise that Ebola could mutate to become transmissible through the air is a possibility “that virologists are loath to discuss openly but are definitely considering in private” .

[Steve] I'm currently in this part of the world. What is being reported in the US is a far cry from what is really going on. It's bad and real bad. What no one is talking about is how long it can survive outside the host. This ranges from a few hours up to 23 days depending on the conditions. What is going to happen when this virus affects 1 million people in Africa as possibly predicted and then it finds its way to Europe via all of the refugees that are flooding in? Not a good situation.11

[Concerned Citizen] Steve I believe you are correct. I was in Monrovia, Liberia for a while. There are portions of the population that live in terrible crowding and very poor sanitation. The Health care is barely acceptable when it is at its best. The educational levels are very poor. The city of Monrovia alone will probably see 100,000 deaths. This disease has the capacity to wipe out 1/2 of Africa. Truly sad, tragic and painful. Helping Africa in this crisis is the only rational and ethical thing to do. This should be the number one issue on the table for the rest of the world. 5-1

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#1. To: Tatarewicz (#0)

Everything is fine. No worries! Eric, and Michie, and ValPal and Bo and Sunny and I got this Ebola thingie under control. Let not your dumb axe-white heart be troubled...err, I mean, not be troubled. I mean be troubled. Ho hum, the golf course beckons. Ho, Mr. Teleprompter...are you coming?

scrapper2  posted on  2014-09-26   4:52:23 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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