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Title: Flip Your Dollars for Gold
Source: Rude Awakening
URL Source: [None]
Published: Oct 9, 2014
Author: Greg Guenthner
Post Date: 2014-10-09 16:45:00 by BTP Holdings
Keywords: None
Views: 83
Comments: 3

Back in May, I told you to ditch your gold for greenbacks.

At the time, gold was sinking below $1,260 for the first time in months. The dollar looked like it was poised for a major breakout toward its 2013 highs. And virtually no investors were remotely interested in these developments...

Of course, a lack of publicity didn't stop the market forces that were already in play. Gold tripped another 5% and sank toward its lows. And the dollar exceeded all expectations, rocketing to levels not seen since 2010.

"Just a few weeks ago, many analysts were talking about a potential breakdown in the dollar," I wrote to you on May 30th. "But things aren't always as they first appear. Many times, the best trades are the ones you least expect."

But hang on just a minute...

Gold is now enjoying its biggest three-day rally since June. And the dollar looks a little tired after its big move higher. That means it's time to flip this trade.

More on this idea in just a minute. First, let's check out the recent dollar rally. Here's what I was seeing in the dollar index back in May:

And here's how the move unfolded:

[chart]

Trading gold for greenbacks was a stellar trade--and for now, it has run its course. The dollar will need to digest its parabolic move. And gold looks ripe for a quick comeback...

For the record, I think the dollar's initial move will stick. The dollar index could very well end up higher six to eight months from now--but the road could get volatile. Also, while gold remains in a bear market, snapback rallies like the one you're seeing right now can offer fantastic opportunities to score quick profits.


Poster Comment:

Wish I had the bucks for a few ounces of gold. ;)

Post Comment   Private Reply   Ignore Thread  


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#1. To: BTP Holdings (#0)

I believe gold is a far better long-term investment than the dollar which in the last 100 years has lost 96 to 98 percent of it value (I think 98% but the USA government inflation calculator claims 96%). However, the value of gold is about the same as was 100 years ago. For example, 100 years ago, labor was a dollar a day and gold at $20 an ounce would purchase 20 days of labor. At $10 an hour, an ounce of gold will still buy 15 days of labor or 20 days of labor at the nationwide minimum wage level. However, now it takes $80 at $10 an hour to buy a day of labor or $58 at minimum wage.

That said, take this 3 day so call gold rally with a grain of salt because the 2% increase in the price of gold or a 2% increase in most any physical commodity is meaningless and well within the range of normal fluctuations.

Normally it takes a 20% move (about $240 for gold at the current price) for a rally to be meaningful and, even then, the rally often reverses itself. If you are a short-term trader, you might buy based on a 2% move but 90% of short-term traders lose money.

For those that love the dollar and who are opposed to gold like to say gold goes up and down. While that is true over the last 100 years (and probably far longer), gold sometime purchase twice as much as the average over the last 100 years and other times only half as much. However, gold stays within that 2 to 1 ratio up or down while the dollar keeps losing value and instead of losing half its value like gold at its bottom, the dollar has lost most of its value and is headed toward zero.

DWornock  posted on  2014-10-10   19:03:30 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: BTP Holdings (#0)

Back in May, I told you to ditch your gold for greenbacks.

Stop there moron.

For those wanting to get gram quantities of gold www.providentmetals.com is the best way to go that I've found.

Excellent pricing, delivery, and no sales calls.

Good company in Texas.

“The most dangerous man to any government is the man who is able to think things out... without regard to the prevailing superstitions and taboos. Almost inevitably he comes to the conclusion that the government he lives under is dishonest, insane, intolerable.” ~ H. L. Mencken

Lod  posted on  2014-10-10   19:38:25 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Lod (#2)

For those wanting to get gram quantities of gold www.providentmetals.com is the best way to go that I've found.

Excellent pricing, delivery, and no sales calls.

Good company in Texas.

There are lots of good things about Texas. ;)

"When bad men combine, the good must associate; else they will fall, one by one." Edmund Burke

BTP Holdings  posted on  2014-10-11   14:53:47 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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