4um: RUPERT MURDOCH, GOP ELITISTS AND WALL STREET PICK JEB BUSH FOR POTUS

Title: RUPERT MURDOCH, GOP ELITISTS AND WALL STREET PICK JEB BUSH FOR POTUS - CAN YOU DISPROVE THIS?
Source: [None]
URL Source: http://theconservativetreehouse.com ... e-house-challenge/#more-104688
Published: Aug 9, 2015
Author: Conserative Treehouse
Post Date: 2015-08-09 10:18:34 by HAPPY2BME-4UM
Keywords: JEB BUSH, 2016, RUPERT MURDOCH, WALL STREET
Views: 422
Comments: 47

Most of you are familiar with our earlier prediction. In essence, based on historical and current GOPe events and action, we predicted the GOPe leadership, along with Wall Street and Tom Donohue, would devise a roadmap for Jeb Bush to win the 2016 Presidential nomination.

In December of 2013 we found clues to the GOPe roadmap and began watching carefully.

In a very general sense the broad construct begins around a very specific premise: The GOPe knew they would need to devise a strategy to elect Jeb Bush with around 15 – 25% of the primary vote, depending on the state – through the first nine calendar primary races. [Dixie states at the low end, and New England states at higher thresholds.]

If we were accurate in our hypothesis, which was actually based on their previous 2012 strategy to elect Mitt Romney, the 2014 mid-term visible GOP primary spending on incumbents, and alignments within the hierarchy of the Republican establishment – then we assume there would be two essential candidates:

Jeb Bush being candidate one, and Not-Jeb-Bush being the other.

This approach makes winning a matter of math, not ideology. The Sum of the Jeb Bush vote must be greater than any individual part within the Not-Jeb vote. That approach guarantee’s Jeb victory with far less than majority voter support.

It seemed a little, well, “out there”; so in the Spring of 2014 we quietly established tripwires which would confirm if the roadmap was accurate.

One of those overall primary tripwires (about the 4th one) we established in 2014 was the sheer number of candidates that would be needed if Jeb was going to survive the lower support-margin, more conservative, states.

Each voting sub-set or ideology within the Republican base, within a specific state, would need multiple options in order for the ‘Not-Jeb’ vote to be kept in check below the “risk margin” allowing Jeb’s small vote count to be victorious. We called this “fracturing the block“.

If a single part of Not-Jeb (remember he/she’s a group) began polling higher than Jeb, then add another similar candidate and split Not-Jeb again. Scott Walker, Ted Cruz, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio and Rand Paul seemed to be the biggest risk to Jeb.

[Example: Tea Party conservative type voters would need multiple candidate options to fracture their voting block: (Walker, Cruz, Jindal, Rubio etc.)]

Obviously with 17 candidates, it goes without saying the key and essential tripwire was easily triggered. However, if it had not been – we would have stopped tracking.

Specifically because the number of candidate’s tripwire was triggered we began reviewing media notes for primary calendars, Super-PAC financing, inter-party alignment, money and state establishment party support.

In order for this GOPe roadmap to succeed, each faction within Not-Jeb needs multiple options for voters. Evangelicals (Santorum, Huckabee), Tea Partiers, Fiscal folks, Moderates, along with voters who might vote based on race (Carson), and/or gender (Fiorina) preferences. These can all be smaller fractures inside Non-Jeb.

I’ll be honest, originally (back in 2014) it sounded nuts, but no matter how much we tried to ignore it, the tripwires kept being triggered exactly as it would be if our hypothesis was accurate.

Some of those next tripwires in 2015 were specific candidates from high electoral count states that would be needed to act as vote-splitters.

Those candidates would need to appear from states holding two specific traits: #1) Early chronological primary states -AND- #2) Large Electoral Count states (especially if “winner-take-all” delegate rules were present).

Again, the goal is to keep Jeb afloat by introducing a candidate into the larger “Not-Jeb” group who can remove support from any other larger growing bit of the “non-Jeb” candidate. Hence, South Carolina (Graham), Ohio (Kasich), Texas (Perry), and Florida (Rubio) – with further insurance policies in Virginia (Gilmore) and New York (Pataki).

We have now watched 14 tripwires triggered and not a single one missed, including the GOP mid-term primary constructs of 2014, the methods deployed to keep incumbents remaining in their positions, and the state party assemblies which led to Florida, Jeb’s home state, switching to 99 “winner take all” delegates.

Just like the number of candidates trigger, the Florida switch to ‘winner-take-all’ was a big trigger. Another huge trigger was Marco Rubio. We said early on the lynchpin would be Florida and the 99 delegates – but there was a risk if Walker, Cruz, Perry and Paul all survived into Florida. (Although I believe the plan works best if Perry drop’s out after Texas “super Tuesday” 3/1/16, or immediately after Louisiana 3/8/16, before Florida 3/15/16)

If Rubio had not entered the race the roadmap falls apart. Because without Rubio the Florida strategy for Bush just doesn’t work. The Rubio trip-wire was essential. He did enter, and that triggered the continuance.

This GOPe Jeb Bush roadmap also explains the timing of Kasich (Ohio), Pataki (New York) and Gilmore (Virginia) – although Fiorina is also registered homestead in VA.

These candidates are like Pac-Man gobbling up delegate votes from more conservative candidates, and planning to drop them back off in the bucket of Jeb Bush after endorsement at specific dates.

The plan obviously gets less flexible as the year goes on, and with polling against known “Non-Jeb” pieces they would have had to adjust the candidate splitter options quickly. It would appear they did just that.

Candidate Jeb Bush attends Chamber of Commerce dinner with Fox’s Rupert Murdoch and Valerie Jarrett (December 2014)

I WANT TO BE WRONG – Because if we are correct, the next 15 months are just about an exercise in futility.

Here are the primary dates, types, and delegate counts for the first Nine Event Election Days of GOP Primary voting. Can you disprove the thesis?

Take your favorite candidate, keep in mind all the variables, make some reasonable assumptions based on regional ideology, and can you identify a pathway to victory?

#1 – Iowa Caucus/Convention, Monday February 1st 2016: 30 Delegates / Closed Primary Caucus (Republican Only)

#2 – New Hampshire Primary, Tuesday February 9th 2016: 23 Delegates (proportional assigned) / Modified Primary (Independents and Republicans)

#3 – South Carolina Primary, Saturday February 20th 2016: 50 Delegates (Winner Take All) / Open Primary (Anyone Can Vote)

#4 – Nevada Caucus/Convention, Tuesday February 23rd 2016: 30 Delegates / Closed Primary Caucus (Republican Only)

#5 – SUPER TUESDAY: Tuesday March 1st – 601 Total Delegates

Texas: 155 Delegates (proportional assigned) / Open Primary
Alabama: 50 Delegates (proportional assigned) / Open Primary
Tennessee: 58 Delegates (Winner Take All *If 50% of vote achieved, if not Proportional) / Open Primary
Vermont: 16 Delegates (Winner Take All *If 50% of vote achieved, if not Proportional) / Open Primary
Arkansas: 40 Delegates (proportional assigned) / Open Primary
Georgia: 76 Delegates (Proportional assigned) / Modified Primary (Independents and Republicans)
Massachusetts: 42 Delegates (Proportional Assigned) / Modified Primary (Independents and Republicans
North Carolina: 72 Delegates (Proportional Assigned) / Modified Primary (Independents and Republicans)
Oklahoma: 43 Delegates (Winner Take All) / Closed Primary (Republicans Only)
Virginia: 49 Delegates (Proportional Assigned) / Open Primary

#6 – Louisiana Primary, Saturday March 5th 2016 : 46 Delegates (Proportional Assigned) / Closed Primary (Republican Only)

#7 – Mini Tuesday: Tuesday March 8th – 130 Delegates

Michigan Primary: 59 Delegates (Proportional) / Closed Primary (Republicans Only)
Idaho: 32 Delegates (Caucus/Convention) / Closed
Mississippi: 39 Delegates (WTA, if Less than 50% Proportional) / Open Primary

#8 – Puerto Rico, Sunday March 13th 2016: 23 Delegates (WTA, if less than 50% Proportional) / Open Primary

#9 – GAME DAY: Tuesday March 15th – 234 Total Delegates

Florida: 99 Delegates (Winner Take All) / Closed Primary
Ohio: 66 Delegates (WTA, or if less than 50% Proportional) / Modified Primary (Independents and Republicans)
Illinois: 69 Delegates (Proportional w/ Beauty Contest) / Open Primary

Green Paper Resource Tool for information on state by state primaries and delegate distribution specifics.

Not exactly genius but perhaps just solid political engineering. No one is going to get to the top of the heap without a road map, but devising one that works and keeps any credible challenger from getting damaging numbers is a job for an informed and competent operator. Jeb's guys know the primary map and they've been playing the challengers like a calliope - that is until Trump came and threw a rock in their pond.

But lemme ast you somethin' brother. It's said that Trump ain't been bought like others have been bought. That may be true, but who, upon election to that august office will be more in hock to you-gnow-hoo a Bush or a Trump??

Jeb's association with Baker is an old family link, and Baker's association with Jeb's campaign must be raising red flags everywhere in the camps of militant Zionry. That is maybe why as cover Jeb named his brother, the most compromised of all his clan, George W. Bush to be his most influential counselor on U.S.-Israel policy.

I'm wondering if the rise of Trump isn't related to the prospect of the Bush's particular brand of (excuse me) reactionary masonry which the Jews here in general do not like because it can't be trusted. Whose children are married into the Manhattan matrix and who has been swimming in that sea all his life?

I'm just asking, and understand that I despise the Bushes as much I despise the rest of the playing deck that gets dealt out to the voters. There is something creepy about all of these jokers as far as I am concerned.

My sarcasm was not directed to the premise of the post, rather at the idea that the originators had discovered something unknown.

Breitbart's poster sundance believes that both Clinton and Bush represent a win for Wall Street while Trump will be a champion for Main Street which is where Trump has made his fortune. Many, including m7yself, would hail a Main Street president as an unbelievable "trump" after such a long slog through the darkness. (How many years has it been now?) Still, experience makes me a skeptic--and a cynic. Sundance lays out the "roadmap" in concrete and convincing terms in a previous article, Why I Support Donald Trump’s Campaign – And It’s Probably Not What You Think… Posted on July 13, 2015 by sundance:

No one on this forum would even consider the possibility put forth by me that...Ron Paul was a stalking horse used to ward off any true conservative from running, thus ensuring the election of Barack Obama...TWICE...

Happenstance???? Twice??? I was steeped in WALL STREET buying and selling politicians long ago.

No, Cyni. That's incorrect. I agreed with you. If you recall, I was appalled when Paul denied the vote fraud in NH first time around. I was also and still am a 9/11 purist so when Paul denounced the truther community, it angered me. I also agreed with you when you wrote that if Paul were REAL, he would stand up before Congress and denounce the whole lot of them.

Now his son is an Israel supporter and pretty much a neocon who's said a whole lot of other things proving that he's establishment and Ron is silent.

Senator Benjamin Tillman, one hundred years ago, speaking on the Senate floor said this..."This country has millions of farmers, why is it that I am the only farmer in this Senate"....

Show me the farmer with less than 1,000 acres and a small herd of cattle who can run around his congressional district campaigning while letting his farm chores take second place when he has no guarantee of winning. Further, who will perform his farm chores if he wins a seat in Congress??

I spent several years rabble rousing in local and state politics. Met a lot of "politicians". Only one was proven to be honest, he was a farmer that was sick of the professionals.

"He won election to the Texas House of Representatives, beginning his first term in 1907. He attended the University of Texas School of Law while a state representative, and was admitted to the State Bar of Texas in 1908. During his third two-year term in the Texas House, he was elected Speaker of the House at the age of twenty-nine. The next year, he won election to the United States House of Representatives in District 4. He entered Congress in 1913 at the beginning of Woodrow Wilson's presidency and served in office for almost 49 years (more than 24 terms), until the beginning of John F. Kennedy's presidency."