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Title: Can Trump Be Stopped?
Source: [None]
URL Source: https://www.lewrockwell.com/2015/10 ... buchanan/can-trump-be-stopped/
Published: Oct 21, 2015
Author: Patrick J Buchanan
Post Date: 2015-10-21 09:27:09 by christine
Keywords: None
Views: 201
Comments: 19

Three months ago, this writer sent out a column entitled, “Could Trump Win?” meaning the Republican nomination.

Today even the Trump deniers concede the possibility.

And the emerging question has become: “Can Trump be stopped? And if so, where, and by whom?”

Consider the catbird seat in which The Donald sits.

An average of national polls puts him around 30 percent, trailed by Dr. Ben Carson with about 20 percent. No other GOP candidate gets double digits.

Trump is leading Carson in Iowa, running first in New Hampshire, crushing the field in Nevada and South Carolina. These are the first four contests. In Florida, Trump’s support exceeds that of ex-Governor Jeb Bush and Sen. Marco Rubio combined.

If these polls don’t turn around, big time, Trump is the nominee.

And with Thanksgiving a month off, then the Christmas season, New Year’s, college football playoffs and NFL playoffs, the interest of the nation will drift away, again and again, from politics.

Voting begins Feb. 1 in Iowa. Super Bowl Sunday is Feb. 7. And the New Hampshire primary will likely be on Tuesday, Feb. 9.

We are only three months out, and Trump still holds the high cards.

After months of speeches and TV appearances, he is a far more disciplined campaigner and communicator. In a year when a huge slice of the nation is disgusted with political correctness, wants to dethrone the establishment, wipe the slate clean and begin anew with someone fresh, Trump is in the pole position.

His issues — secure the border, send illegal immigrants back, renegotiate rotten trade deals that shipped our jobs abroad — are more in tune with the national mood than pro-amnesty, Obamatrade or NAFTA.

Wall Street Journal conservatism is in a bear market.

Trump says he will talk to Vladimir Putin, enforce the nuclear deal with Iran, not tear it up on Inauguration Day, and keep U.S. troops out of Syria. And South Korea should pay more of the freight and provide more of the troops for its own defense.

A nationalist, and a reluctant interventionist, if U.S. interests are not imperiled, Trump offers a dramatic contrast to the neocons and Hillary Clinton, the probable Democratic nominee. She not only voted for the Iraq war Trump opposed, but she helped launch the Libyan war.

The lights are burning late tonight in the suites of the establishment tonight. For not since Sen. Barry Goldwater won the California primary in 1964 have their prospects appeared so grim.

Can Trump be stopped?

Absent some killer gaffe or explosive revelation, he will have to be stopped in Iowa or New Hampshire. A rival will have to emerge by then, strong enough and resourced enough to beat him by March.

The first hurdle for the establishment in taking down Trump is Carson. In every national poll, he is second. He’s sitting on the votes the establishment candidate will need to overtake Trump.

Iowa is the ideal terrain for a religious-social conservative to upset Trump, as Mike Huckabee showed in 2008 and Rick Santorum in 2012.

But Carson has preempted part of the Evangelical and social conservative vote. Moreover, Sen. Ted Cruz, an anti-establishment man, is working Iowa and has the forensic abilities to rally social conservatives.

Should Trump fall, and his estate go to probate, Cruz’s claim would seem superior to that of any establishment favorite.

Indeed, for an establishment-backed candidate — a Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal — to win Iowa, he must break out of the single-digit pack soon, fend off Cruz, strip Carson of part of his following, then overtake Trump. A tall order.

Yet, the battle to consolidate establishment support has begun. And despite his name, family associations, size of his Super PAC, Jeb has lost ground to Marco Rubio. Look to Marco to emerge as the establishment’s last best hope to take down Trump.

But if Trump wins in Iowa, he wins in New Hampshire.

The Iowa Caucuses then, the first contest, may well be decisive. If not stopped there, Trump may be unstoppable. Yet, as it is a caucus state where voters stick around for hours before voting, organization, intensity and endless labor can pay off big against a front-runner.

In Iowa, for example, Ronald Reagan was defeated by George H. W. Bush in 1980. Vice President Bush was defeated by Bob Dole and Pat Robertson in 1988. Reagan and Bush I needed and managed comeback victories in New Hampshire. One cannot lose Iowa and New Hampshire.

Thus, today’s task for the Republican establishment.

Between now and March, they must settle on a candidate, hope his rivals get out of the race, defeat Trump in one of the first two contests, or effect his defeat by someone like Carson, then pray Trump will collapse like a house of cards.

The improbabilities of accomplishing this grow by the week, and will soon start looking, increasingly, like an impossibility — absent the kind of celestial intervention that marked the career of the late Calvin Coolidge.


Poster Comment:

I have to say that I'd still be surprised if Trump actually got the nomination since I don't believe that he's the selection of the PTB.

Post Comment   Private Reply   Ignore Thread  


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#1. To: christine (#0)

wants to dethrone the establishment,

If he would promise to hang the elected and appointed scum in DC, I would register and vote.

Am tempted even if he only hung a few. hehehehehe

Cynicom  posted on  2015-10-21   9:49:51 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: christine (#0)

So far, he's managed to dodge the approach they used on Ross Perot.

U.S. Constitution - Article IV, Section 4: NO BORDERS + NO LAWS = NO COUNTRY

HAPPY2BME-4UM  posted on  2015-10-21   9:57:21 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: HAPPY2BME-4UM (#2)

Twenty million of us voted for Perot.

That scared the establishment and they determined that third party runs would be stopped.

Cynicom  posted on  2015-10-21   10:02:02 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: Cynicom (#3)

Trump is as close to a 3rd Party vote as we'll see.

U.S. Constitution - Article IV, Section 4: NO BORDERS + NO LAWS = NO COUNTRY

HAPPY2BME-4UM  posted on  2015-10-21   10:03:10 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: christine (#0)

BIBLE CODE: TRUMP ASSASSINATED, HILLARY PRESIDENT, WELCOMES ... **

www.satansrapture.com/trumpcode.htm

Itistoolate  posted on  2015-10-21   10:10:34 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: Itistoolate (#5)

If Trump were able to do 5% of what he is claiming, the Chamber of Commerce would cash in his chips.

U.S. Constitution - Article IV, Section 4: NO BORDERS + NO LAWS = NO COUNTRY

HAPPY2BME-4UM  posted on  2015-10-21   10:15:17 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: christine (#0)

Americans have become so hard up for a statesman leader that they lower the bar every election cycle in "hope" of a miracle that "ain't happening" !

"Honest, April 15th is the real April Fool's Day".

"The almighty Dollar ain't worth a buck".

Doug Scheidt

noone222  posted on  2015-10-21   10:57:03 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: noone222 (#7)

I agree, Doug. What do you think the Trump game is then?

christine  posted on  2015-10-21   12:31:26 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: Itistoolate (#5)

that's interesting, but I have a hard time believing it.

christine  posted on  2015-10-21   12:33:32 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: christine (#8)

What do you think the Trump game is then?

I don't think any FED including the Paul duo can ever be trusted. Trump will follow the lead of every other lying son of a bitch that's been elected since Kennedy - His position will be - I'm a politician and expected to bullshit American morons.

We only have ourselves to blame. These robbers and thugs have gradually driven us to hell and only let us vote on who gets to drive.

"Honest, April 15th is the real April Fool's Day".

"The almighty Dollar ain't worth a buck".

Doug Scheidt

noone222  posted on  2015-10-21   12:46:10 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: noone222 (#10)

We only have ourselves to blame. These robbers and thugs have gradually driven us to hell and only let us vote on who gets to drive.

Amen.

“The most dangerous man to any government is the man who is able to think things out... without regard to the prevailing superstitions and taboos. Almost inevitably he comes to the conclusion that the government he lives under is dishonest, insane, intolerable.” ~ H. L. Mencken

Lod  posted on  2015-10-21   13:12:17 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: noone222, lod (#10)

U.S. Constitution - Article IV, Section 4: NO BORDERS + NO LAWS = NO COUNTRY

HAPPY2BME-4UM  posted on  2015-10-21   15:49:20 ET  (1 image) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: noone222 (#10)

Plutocracy is a huge problem. We need a rule that nobody worth more than 10 million from ANY angle can run for public office. We'll never get it, so the scum that rises to the top ha a lifestyle that absorbs all guilt like "Pampers pulling wetness away from your baby". Their friends, lawyers, tennis partners, spouses and pasters (sic) can and will always reassure them that the 99% have to be screwed for the good of the country.

Plutocracy is literally a dangerous drug. As heroin addiction drives nobodies to rob their mothers for their next fix, by plutoracy the "elite" live purely by feel as bribed and threatened by fatcat JUES.

NeoconsNailed  posted on  2015-10-21   16:00:01 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#14. To: HAPPY2BME-4UM (#12)

Here's your chance to make a FORTUNE inventing a billboard with spellcheck.

“The most dangerous man to any government is the man who is able to think things out... without regard to the prevailing superstitions and taboos. Almost inevitably he comes to the conclusion that the government he lives under is dishonest, insane, intolerable.” ~ H. L. Mencken

Lod  posted on  2015-10-21   16:03:50 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: Lod (#14)

Don't forget this fun thing!

NeoconsNailed  posted on  2015-10-21   16:39:57 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#16. To: NeoconsNailed (#15)

Nice to see that they have a Westboro Church signmaker.

“The most dangerous man to any government is the man who is able to think things out... without regard to the prevailing superstitions and taboos. Almost inevitably he comes to the conclusion that the government he lives under is dishonest, insane, intolerable.” ~ H. L. Mencken

Lod  posted on  2015-10-21   16:51:52 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#17. To: NeoconsNailed (#13)

We need a rule that nobody worth more than 10 million from ANY angle can run for public office. We'll never get it, so the scum that rises to the top ha a lifestyle that absorbs all guilt like "Pampers pulling wetness away from your baby".

========================================

10 Richest Politicians in the United States

U.S. Constitution - Article IV, Section 4: NO BORDERS + NO LAWS = NO COUNTRY

HAPPY2BME-4UM  posted on  2015-10-21   22:32:13 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#18. To: NeoconsNailed (#13)

Nothing is more dangerous and lethal than the FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. "NOTHING" !

"Honest, April 15th is the real April Fool's Day".

"The almighty Dollar ain't worth a buck".

Doug Scheidt

noone222  posted on  2015-10-22   7:11:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#19. To: HAPPY2BME-4UM (#12)

"We are committed to excellense."

Our new national motto as the nation descends into stupid.

Would look good on our currency.

"If ignorance is truly bliss, then why do so many Americans need Prozac?" - Dave McGowan

randge  posted on  2015-10-22   11:14:29 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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