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(s)Elections See other (s)Elections Articles Title: Donald Trump Can Win GOP Nomination, Here Is Why Donald Trump Can Win GOP Nomination, Here Is Why Posted by: : Paul Ebeling Posted on: October 27, 2015 Donald Trump, the GOP’s front running presidential candidate is forcing the party’s establishment to confront the divide between the Republican leaders and the voters who, according to almost every poll since June, have wanted him to carry their flame to the White House. Many people believe that Donald Trump is leading in the polls by appealing to the far right. No so, Donald Trump offers Republicans something no other candidate can, does or will. That being an insider’s understanding of the elite along with the determination to upend it, and offering a unorthodox set of policy prescriptions from immigration to campaign finance to Social Security, designed to achieve that goal. In this year’s run for the Republican nomination, Donald Trumps platform has shown its power. The People are dead tired of being trampled on, that is what resonates. “Anybody who thinks Donald Trump cannot be the Republican nominee is smoking something,” Republican strategist Steve Schmidt The fact that Donald Trump is a billionaire enhances his credibility as the GOP flag-bearer of the populist moment. “Trump is essentially saying there’s one set of rules for people like you and another set for people like me—I have played the game, I have won at the game and now I am going to be fighting to win the game for The People. Donald Trump is ‘trumpeting” a theme that has also picked up by Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. That being, the influence of the wealthy on politics. After calling super-PACs a “scam” and disavowing any backing him, Donald Trump is urging his competitors to do the same. “All Presidential candidates should immediately disavow their super-PACs. They’re not only breaking the spirit of the law but the law itself,” he tweeted Monday. For months he has characterized his Republican rivals as puppets of the wealthy donors they depend on, zeroing in 1st on Jeb Bush, who is supported by a super-PAC that had nearly $100-M cash on hand as of its most recent filing with the FEC, and more recently on Dr. Ben Carson, the beneficiary of several super-PACs. The congressional Republicans have consistently opposed limits on political donations, arguing that it is a form of free speech. But that does not reflect the views of the party’s rank-and-file. According to the data 80% of Republicans believe money has “too much” influence in politics while 85% say politicians mostly or sometimes promote policies to help their donors. On the Key issue of immigration, Donald Trump exposed a gap between the party establishment and voters. While Republican politicians want to increase legal immigration, 67% of Republicans want to decrease immigration, and 63% view immigrants as a societal burden, according to surveys by the Pew Research Institute. Donald Trump caught fire over the Summer with rhetoric about illegal immigration from Mexico and by being the 1st to call for deporting an estimated 11-M people living in the US illegally now. Some have called Donald Trump’s remarks “intemperate” but acknowledge that the his willingness to own his political incorrectness enhances his appeal. And Donald Trump has not backed down. Donald Trump doubles down. That is because he cannot be bought off, unlike all these politicians who have been bought and sold by the billionaires. That is the populist sentiment that is driving his campaign. Donald Trump’s immigration theme taps into the anxieties of White working-class Americans who feel that “the country is becoming a majority-minority country and the people who felt that they were in the ascendancy are now descending,” says a political scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. “It’s not just racism but certainly race is a part of it. The feeling is, ‘We’re slipping and the people who are supposed to protect us are ignoring or defying us, they seduced and abandoned us.’” Some voters see the political establishment’s support for more immigration as a payoff to elites, and accuse the GOP establishment for backing immigration reform for the sake of “cheap labor” for big business. Donald Trump is not doing what the Republican mainstream are doing, and The People do not want what the Republican mainstream are doing. Donald Trump breaks with Republican elites who support free trade and want to cut Social Security and Medicare. Nearly all Republican candidates from Jeb Bush to Senator Marco Rubio are campaigning on cutting entitlements and many want to sign the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade accord. Not Donald Trump, he is joining forces with some on the left by campaigning to protect the retirement programs and assailing US President Barack Hussein Obama’s trade pact as a “disaster.” Nearly 80% of Republicans want to preserve Social Security and Medicare, according to a Reuters poll earlier this year. Donald Trump has an issue set that meets the moment, a moment where trust has collapsed in most if not all government institutions. Also, Donald Trump was the 1st Republican candidate to call for closing the so-called carried-interest loophole that benefits hedge funds, venture capitalists, and private equity firms. “The hedge fund guys are getting away with murder,” he said in August. His overall tax plan lowers rate for everyone, including the affluent. Donald Trump has forced the GOP to confront President George W. Bush’s legacy. While Republicans years ago disowned 43’s big-spending domestic policies, Donald Trump recently raised questions about his foreign policy and national security credentials. After Jeb Bush said his brother “kept us safe,” Donald Trump noted that the GW Bush was President on 9/11, 2001, the day terrorist attacks took down the World Trade Center and damaged the Pentagon. Jeb Bush took umbrage, at which point Donald Trump steered the conversation to the Iraq war. Donald Trump says it is a war that he has opposed, unlike most Republican party leaders in Washington, but like most voters: 71% of Americans view the war as a mistake, with Republicans about evenly split, according to a Y 2014 poll. Still, some Republican elites refuse to believe Donald Trump can win the nomination, after all, the GOP has not picked someone who never held elected office since in 1950’s. The Republican base is so consumed with anger at their establishment, and Donald Trump’s strong and fiery attitude has a strong appeal to that frustration. The People who believe their own establishment has been basically humiliated and taken to the cleaners repeatedly by Barack Hussein Obama, a guy who says ‘You tap me on the shoulders and I will cut your legs off’ gets attention. There are several scenarios that could cause Donald Trump to fall over, those include losing Iowa and New Hampshire. If he goes through a period where he is not the front-runner he could get frustrated and exit, but what I observe is that he is not betting on a collapse, he is not alone. Apart from recent polls placing him 2nd to Dr. Ben Carson in Iowa and, notably that is within the margin of error, Donald Trump has enjoyed comfortable leads nationally and in the early states of New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada. Nationally, Republican voters see Donald Trump as their most electable candidate in a general election, according to an Associated Press/GfK poll released Sunday. “Anybody who thinks Donald Trump cannot be the Republican nominee is smoking something,” say an analyst. Donal Trump has led in major polls for more than 100 days, more time than is left until Iowa voters cast the 1st ballots of the primary, and that his path to the nomination is clear if his large lead translates to getting the most votes and delegates. What was once described as a Spring Fling or Summer Romance is alive, well and strong in November. Trumpeting for Trump Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 29.
#29. To: BTP Holdings (#0)
I do see one way that Trump could not get the nomination even if he continues to receive overwhelming grass roots support. And that would be the Republican National Convention itself. The eGop has been so dead opposed to Trump getting the nomination that I cannot imagine some shenanigans not occurring at the last minute. One might hope that Trump or his supporters would scream bloody murder. Or he could end up gracefully accept a close defeat as Ron Paul might have if he got that far. He may not make it to the presidency, but if his running destroys the GOP and exposes the sham of the selection processes to millions more Americans then something good will have come from this election cycle.
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