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Title: The peak Oil Crisis
Source:
FallsChurch News-Press
URL Source: http://www.fcnp.com/548/peakoil.htm
Published: Feb 5, 2006
Author: Tom Whipple
Post Date: 2006-02-05 06:12:38 by buckeroo
Keywords: Crisis, peak
Views: 89
Comments: 8
A number of stories appeared in the press last week suggesting a discussion of the relationship between peak oil and global warming is in order. Most scientists believe that burning fossil fuels is the culprit behind global warming and if we don't get carbon emissions down soon, a lot more places will be under water by the end of the century. Some believe peak oil and the resulting drop in liquid fuel consumption will be good for global warming. Others fear in the panic that will ensue from ever-higher oil prices, every environmental regulation on the books will be junked and a massive increase in the uncontrolled burning of coal will occur. Many are talking about the world going over a "tipping point" which would lead to the earth becoming barely habitable for thousands of years. However, another way of looking at the relationship between global warming and peak oil is to ask what effect increasing temperatures might have on how soon peak oil comes and what happens after depletion sets in. Last week NASA confirmed 2005 was indeed the warmest year ever recorded. One meteorologist pointed out it might have been the warmest year in the past 1 million years— impressive if true. Moreover, Accuweather reported that January 2006 is going to be the warmest January ever recorded in the US . That warmest January ever, by the way, is the reason we aren't paying somewhere above $3 per gallon for our gasoline right now. It has been so warm since Christmas, that stockpiles of heating fuel in the US are building to well above normal. This in turn has kept the price of oil products down despite the fact that around the world nearly one million barrels a day of oil production has been shutdown for one reason or another. At first glance it might seem global warming is producing warm winters, which reduce heating requirements and keep prices down. This is all true, but global warming does not distribute itself very evenly around the world. At the same time most Americans were enjoying Florida-like temperatures, on the other side of the world a record freeze was developing. Temperatures plunged to minus you-name-it and natural gas supplies rapidly became natural gas shortages. The worst hit was Georgia where somebody blew up the gas pipes coming into the country, nature blew down the power lines, and 4.7 million folks were left in below zero weather without heat, cooking gas, or lights. This big freezes which then spread eastward into central Europe was the worst in many decades. Thus, it is beginning to look like an average worldwide temperature change of a degree to two just might be upsetting what we have thought of as normal temperatures in both directions. We seem to be seeing warmer warm spells in some places and colder cold spells in other. Now what does all this have to do with peak oil? When the big freeze arrived in East Europe last month, those living closer to fuel supplies took what ever they needed to keep warm and therefore could not send the contracted-for amounts on down the pipelines to those further west. Needless to say, those at the end of pipelines in Central and Western Europe were more than a tad upset and are currently rushing around looking for alternative sources of natural gas. Now this is where America gets involved. As our domestic supplies of natural gas deplete, we are planning to import more and more of the stuff in liquefied form (LNG). Thanks to last month's freeze however, it looks as if we might have trouble getting as much as we want. We clearly are going to have to pay a lot more to keep whatever supplies are available from going to the Europeans and the Chinese who now see an urgent need to diversify their sources of supply. So to review what has happened: A number of people have been wondering if global warming has something to do with all those hurricanes that have been tearing up Florida and our Gulf coast. Scientists out at Colorado State University (CSU), where they study such things, recently took a hard look at the issue and came up with a rather interesting appraisal. Despite the fact that worldwide ocean surface temperature has increased by an average of three tenths of a degree centigrade in the last 30 years, the number of hurricanes forming around the world has remained about the same. Except in the Atlantic , where the number of storms nearly doubled. Between 1966 to 2003, on average, only one hurricane every two years crossed the US coastline whereas last year, four did. The CSU climatologists attribute this increased activity to a change in the salinity of the North Atlantic that is forcing warmer water in the mid-Atlantic, and not directly to the higher surface temperature induced by global warming. Others, as I have mentioned before, attribute some part of the change in salinity to the melting of the north polar ice cap. Thus, if these folks are right then another global warming connection to peak oil runs as follows: According to the CSU scientists, early indicators suggest 2006 will be a pretty good year for hurricanes too. It currently looks as if this year will be only slightly less active than 2005. The odds favor at least one hurricane making it into the Gulf of Mexico and a slightly less than even chance that it will be a big one. So there you have it. A case can be made that the consequences of global warming do seem to have some bearing on peak oil both before and after the peak arrives. The Peak Oil Crisis
Global Warming
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#1. To: buckeroo (#0)
So when is the SUV fire sale? Seriously, for those of us who were around in the early 70's. gas miliage will again be the #1 factor in buying a car. And that kinda sucks.
For a long time ( now ) I have despised this president of ours. His continuous rhetoric bombing far away lands into oblivion has strengthened my opinion of him as nothing more than a politically demented and corrupt globalist not addressing our nation's problems. But, he has come clean within his statement of the onion the other day. America must remove dependence upon fossil fuels. We are destroying the world around us not understanding what we do.
I agree with this, but I can't give Bush credit for original thinking. I'm sure it was Jimmy Carter in his SOTU in '79 who outlined a detailed oil policy. Not that JC was noteworthy (except for failure) but IIRC his plan was far more detailed than this POS.
The Energy Non Crisis (Lindsey Williams, who has been an ordained Baptist minister for 28 years, went to Alaska in 1971 as a missionary. The Transalaska oil pipeline began its construction phase in 1974, and because of Mr. Williams' love for his country and concern for the spiritual welfare of the "pipeliners," he volunteered to serve as Chaplain on the pipeline, with the subsequent full support of the Alyeska Pipeline Company. Because of the executive status accorded to him as Chaplain, he was given access to the information that is documented in this book. After numerous public speaking engagements in the western states, certain government officials and concerned individuals urged Mr. Williams to put into print what he saw and heard, stating that they felt this information was vital to national security. Mr. Williams firmly believes that whoever controls energy controls the economy. Thus, The Energy Non-Crisis. Because of the outstanding public response that has been generated by this book, Lindsey Williams is in great demand for speaking engagements, radio, and TV shows.) Lindsey was on Rick Adams' show on RBN on Weds, Feb 1. Most interesting. You can listen to the archive here.
Why, of course. Why in HELL do you think the US continuously meddles in ME affairs? Because of GWBush's lofty BS about "democracy" and "freedom"? Of course not. Its all about oil. America consumes about 25% of all fossil fuels for everything from tires on your car to Playtex baby bottle nipples; from perfume to plastics. And its abundance is fixed, that is we have been sucking it up faster than natural methods to create it much less discover it. It is a finite resource; not infinite, as in the way Americans treat this commodity. And we destroying the environment in the process with CO2 emissions from the use fossil fuels. Its going to be a bleak future for our progeny unless new, clean methods of energy are discovered.
I have been hearing Lindsey Williams for at least 25 years and I heard most of the interview you linked here whenever it was on. He may well be on to something in terms of Gull Island, Alaska, but the higher the price goes, the more likely it is that someone in the oil industry, assuming what he says is true, will break down whatever barriers are in place to keep from drilling it. One of the great truths of the universe has to do with the fact that all people in the "awl bidness" (as we say in Texas) are greedy. 'J.R. Ewing' was a stereotype, but there is always a great deal of truth in stereotypes. A local John Bircher years ago gave me a full set of the books Lindsey was giving away on that show as a bonus for buying his videos. So I am very familiar with what he has been saying. I just don't know if I believe there is this inexhaustible supply of oil off Gull Island. As I understand it, it is not even in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, so Big Oil could start drilling immediately if they wanted to.
Correct. My simplistic take is that the plan is to drain all other countries reserves before going into Gull Island, ANWAR, and all the rest of our proven reserves to keep the pricing at an "appropriate" level.
I just listened to a radio show the other day where the host postulated that 'global warming' and 'peak oil' would be linked together by the media/blogosphere in the very near future. Looks like the future is 'now'. What a co-inky-dink.
#2. To: Jethro Tull (#1)
#3. To: buckeroo (#2)
But, he has come clean within his statement of the onion the other day. America must remove dependence upon fossil fuels.
#4. To: buckeroo, ALL (#0)
#5. To: christine (#4)
Mr. Williams firmly believes that whoever controls energy controls the economy.
#6. To: christine (#4)
#7. To: Sam Houston (#6)
As I understand it, it is not even in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, so Big Oil could start drilling immediately if they wanted to.
#8. To: buckeroo (#0)
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