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Business/Finance
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Title: Bill Gross Gives Thumbs Down to Negative Interest Rates
Source: [None]
URL Source: http://www.newsmax.com/Finance/Stre ... 02132016&s=al&dkt_nbr=4bbjhuk5
Published: Feb 12, 2016
Author: staff
Post Date: 2016-02-13 20:58:11 by BTP Holdings
Keywords: None
Views: 150
Comments: 2

Bill Gross Gives Thumbs Down to Negative Interest Rates

Image: Bill Gross Gives Thumbs Down to Negative Interest Rates

Friday, 12 Feb 2016 01:04 PM

Prominent bond managers have a message for central bankers: negative interest rates won’t work.

Bill Gross of Janus Capital Group Inc., Scott Mather of Pacific Investment Management Co. and Tad Rivelle of TCW Group said negative rates won’t stimulate growth and may have adverse consequences for economies and markets. Investors are fleeing bank stocks and other financials as concerns mount that low- and negative-rate policies will prohibit them from making a profit, Gross said.

“Markets sense that and they go down,” Gross, manager of the $1.3 billion Janus Global Unconstrained Bond Fund, said during an interview Thursday at his office in Newport Beach, California. “Finance is leading the charge.”

As central bankers from Tokyo to Stockholm embrace the notion of negative rates, volatility is surging. Far from being buoyed by the measures, global stocks have entered bear market territory and investors have fled to perceived havens such as U.S. Treasury bonds and gold.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Financials Index fell 3 percent Thursday, the most since Sept. 1, and is down 18 percent this year. Bank of America Corp. lost 6.8 percent on the day and Citigroup Inc. slid 6.5 percent.

Yellen’s Testimony

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said the Fed is taking another look at negative interest rates if the U.S. economy falters -- a scenario some investors view as a mounting possibility amid a darkening outlook for world growth.

“In light of the experience of European countries and others that have gone to negative rates, we’re taking a look at them again because we would want to be prepared in the event that we needed to add accommodation,” Yellen said in answering questions during a second day of testimony before Congress.

Gross, who criticized central bankers as being “increasingly addled” in a Feb. 3 note, said they need to come up with new tools to stimulate economic growth because lower rates have failed to do the job. Central bankers’ importance to the global economy has grown because government fiscal policy makers in the U.S. and Europe have balked at using their powers to stimulate growth with deficit spending, Gross said in the interview.

"Keynes is dead,” he said, referring to economist John Maynard Keynes, who advocated public spending as a source of growth. “So the fiscal side is out and monetary policy is increasingly impotent. That’s why markets are going down.”

Negative rates are only on the table because low-rate policies have failed, said Rivelle, whose team runs the $71.7 billion Metropolitan West Total Return Bond Fund.

Mattress Money

“Instead of admitting that, central bankers are doubling down,” Rivelle said in a telephone interview from Los Angeles.

Negative rates make conditions worse by pushing people to essentially put money into their mattresses, according to Mather, co-manager of the $89.3 billion Pimco Total Return Fund.

“They’re contractionary,” Mather said during an interview in Newport Beach.

There is growing concern about whether central banks have much ability to help support asset markets, according to Russ Koesterich, global chief investment strategist at BlackRock Inc. As Japanese and European stocks pull back, the suggestion of more stimulus has left investors jaded, he said.

U.S. Treasuries gained Thursday, pushing yields to the lowest in more than three years at one point. Global stocks entered a bear market as the MSCI All-Country World Index fell 20 percent from its high.

Read more: Bill Gross Gives Thumbs Down to Negative Interest Rates Important: Can you afford to Retire?

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Poster Comment:

Go to zero if you must, but not negative.

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#1. To: BTP Holdings (#0)

Amen! But what's gonna happen -- THE ultimate final crash of it all next week?

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NN Sequitur

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NeoconsNailed  posted on  2016-02-13   21:21:51 ET  (1 image) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: NeoconsNailed, BTP Holdings (#1)

Negative interest rates would require a lot more cash than we have to accommodate the withdrawals. They could go to Bail Ins but this is an election year. There are 435 congressional seats up as well and a third of the Senate.

The Truth of 911 Shall Set You Free From The Lie

Horse  posted on  2016-02-13   21:31:59 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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