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Title: FR is Freeping Its Membership Numbers
Source: www.clownposse.org
URL Source: http://www.clownposse.org/forum/topic.asp?TOPIC_ID=5065
Published: Feb 19, 2006
Author: Mehitable Storm
Post Date: 2006-02-19 01:09:15 by mehitable
Keywords: Membership, Freeping, Numbers
Views: 822
Comments: 22

I rarely look at Clown Posse but as folks were talking a look at it tonight I took a look around. This poster, Columbo, did a FANTASTIC job compiling stats on Free Republic registrations and posting. It's obvious from his data that FR is vastly inflating their membership numbers. We all assume this (I think) but it's great to see it backed up by solid research. Some of you might find this interesting or enjoyable to contemplate:

http://www.clownposse.org/forum/topic.asp?TOPIC_ID=5065

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 10.

#5. To: mehitable, Zipporah (#0)

There are other possible explanations besides FR freeping its own numbers.

1) As a forum grows the marginal post rate per user likely declines. How many original comments can there be on a thread, and how many newsworthy items happen per day?

2) Bannings. Assuming the time to ban a disruptor is roughly constant, an increase in disruption -- or newbies who don't know the FR party line -- would result in inflation of the current user count (inventory = flow rate * flow time.)

3) Information warfare. It this event many of the new accounts would only be meant to comment occasionally.

Tauzero  posted on  2006-02-19   1:40:28 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  

In reading their stats though (and there are copious stats that Columbo has compiled here), over 50% of those registered have not posted at all. Why would so many people register and never post at all? I guess also, the registration patterns look suspicious as well. Folks will have to look at the stats to come to their own conclusions, but I think they're cooking the books. Intuitively this seems obvious to me. Everytime I go over there to see how the bots are responding to an issue, I see the same poster names over and over again.

mehitable  posted on  2006-02-19   9:52:19 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  

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