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(s)Elections
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Title: With 16 days to go until November 8, Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 2 percentage points
Source: [None]
URL Source: http://www.investors.com/politics/t ... e-is-already-won-ibdtipp-poll/
Published: Oct 23, 2016
Author: Investors.com
Post Date: 2016-10-23 12:00:14 by HAPPY2BME-4UM
Keywords: None
Views: 1397
Comments: 6

Investors.com

With 16 days to go until November 8, Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 2 percentage points — 43% to 41% — in a four-way race, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll.



Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson saw his support held steady at 7%, while the Green Party's Jill Stein dipped to 3%.

Unrounded, Trump leads 42.6% to 40.8% — a 1.8-point edge — with Johnson at 7.2% and Stein at 3.3%.

Trump also holds a nearly one-point lead in a two-way matchup — 43.2% to 42.3%.

http://www.investors.com/politics/trump-up-2-points-nationwide-while-clinton-campaigns-as-if-the-race-is-already-won-ibdtipp-poll/
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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 5.

#1. To: HAPPY2BME-4UM (#0)

If there were an honest election, Trump would win in the largest landslide, ever.

Lod  posted on  2016-10-23   12:27:17 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: Lod (#1)

If there were an honest election, Trump would win in the largest landslide, ever.

Reagan vs Dukakis in '84 would be hard to beat, but I don't know if getting Hillary to ride around in an heavily armed tank is a good idea.

But a landslide for Trump is not out of the question. While MSM is citing polls saying Hillary is up, beyond their bias, I'm seeing a desperation. The other day I saw cnn give a report title of something like "early returns show good news for Clinton". It's simply an analysis of what the party affiliation is of those who've voted early, not who they voted for. (And while more R's have filed early than D's, they compare the ratios for 2012 & 2008 to point out that fewer R's have submitted votes this time around.

But I don't remember seeing this type of reporting in past years.

Trump also garners an enthusiasm among people who've not voted in years or generations that intend to vote this time around. Those voters are likely cast as "unlikely voters" who are either not counted or only partially counted in the polling data. But the polling techniques used were certainly established with past elections with establishment candidates. Those techniques *may* not apply in this election where Trump is not an establishment candidate. I think they have to be at least partially dysfunctional if not significantly so.

Pinguinite  posted on  2016-10-23   13:10:38 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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