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Title: Congressional Critics Dream of Confiscating Trump's Military Powers
Source: [None]
URL Source: http://nationalinterest.org/feature ... iscating-trumps-military-23019
Published: Nov 3, 2017
Author: Curt Mills
Post Date: 2017-11-03 07:20:28 by Ada
Keywords: None
Views: 2210
Comments: 69

Sen. Chris Murphy is leading the charge to prevent a first strike on North Korea, while others are renewing the call for a fresh charter on Trump’s ability to conduct war in the Middle East.

Sen. Chris Murphy and allies appeared in front of the Capitol on Thursday to push legislation that would hamstring President Donald Trump’s ability to unilaterally first-strike North Korea without Congressional authorization. Appearing with Murphy were a gathering of anti-war protestors, including Code Pink activists, and colleagues Sen. Ed Markey, the war hero Sen. Tammy Duckworth, and Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee, a star of Trump-era politics, among others. Co-sponsoring the Senate bill with Murphy is Sen. Cory Booker; both Murphy and Booker are widely believed to have future designs on the White House-- and Sen. Bernie Sanders is on the bill, as well.

The legislation “will make it very clear that, absent an attack or an imminent threat, the president has to come to Congress for prior authorization” to launch a strike on the Kim regime, Murphy told reporters on a call earlier this week. “I think that if we were able to get this very simple resolution on the floor of the Senate, it would pass. … I worry that the president’s enthusiasm will not be checked by the advisors around him.”

Matthew Bunn at Harvard tells me: “Basically, there are no formal procedures to prevent the President from using nuclear weapons. In principle, he has sole power to order a nuclear attack,” but notes: “There are, however, a number of human beings in the command chain who would have to implement such an order.”

An advisor to the U.S. Navy says: “The secretary of Defense has to concur for a launch to happen but can’t outright veto it. So, the president can fire the secretary in the case of nonconcurrence and keep firing people until an acting secretary concurs.” Secretary of Defense Sebastian Gorka, anyone?

An advisor to the U.S. Army tells me such a situation -- a Pentagon Saturday night massacre -- would be “unprecedented.”

But Thomas J. Brynne, president of the Korea Society, isn’t that worried, recent presidential bluster aside. “The Democratic Senators and Congressmen seem to be in line with Secretary James Mattis and the South Korean Defense Minister, Song Young-Moo,” based on language the two issued last week in Seoul that was “clearly defensive, deterrent and diplomatic,” Brynne told me, writing en route to Beijing.

“I don’t think it’s likely,” Anthony Ruggiero of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies, a think tank well-connected with the administration, says of a U.S. first strike. Ruggiero tells me: “I think that would be a hard argument to make, including South Korea, whose made it very clear any preemptive or preventive military strike would have to be done with their approval.”

Byrne and others see politics at play. “It seems to me the Democratic lawmakers are political posturing,” Byrnne tells me.

“Will never pass. Pointless. It’s showboat politics,” a senior fellow at a national security think tank remarks to me. An aide to a prominent Democratic senator singles out Cory Booker’s involvement: “Most things Booker gets on are automatically not serious.” Says the U.S. Navy advisor: “I’m still convinced this stuff is posturing on both sides. Trump is echoing Nixon’s madman theory.”

But others are worried. “I think there is broad concern about the danger of war,” says Harvard’s Bunn. “President Trump’s warlike rhetoric, undermining of diplomatic approaches -- ‘[Secretary of State Rex] Tillerson is ‘wasting his time’ -- and general unpredictability have got people rattled. I’ve had people in California call me and ask if they should get their family out of the city.”

Harry Kazianis of the Center for the National Interest isn’t attempting to read the president’s mind, but points out the folly of any hypothetical first strike. “Pentagon sources I have spoken to have been clear--we don't know where all of North Korea's nuclear weapons and missiles are,” Kazianis tells me. “If we were to launch even the most devastating military strike, the chances are high we would have left at least a few nuclear weapons behind.”

And Kim Jong Un would have every incentive to use them for revenge: Seoul, Tokyo, Guam, Los Angeles.

But FDD’S Ruggiero thinks Murphy’s legislation could compromise U.S. national security interests. Ruggiero hones in on the legislation’s language -- prohibiting a strike “absent an imminent threat to the United States.”

“That does not cover our allies,” Ruggiero says. “So, if there was an imminent threat to South Korea or Japan. Under this authority, would the president have to get congressional approval?”

Could this even pass? Murphy says if this can get a floor vote in Mitch McConnell’s chamber, it would even get some Republican support to push it over the top. Sens. Jeff Flake and Bob Corker, the foreign relations chair, have openly called into question the president’s fitness in recent weeks. Requests for comment into their offices went unanswered.

But universal Democratic support isn’t assured, either, despite the president’s pariah status on the left. “It would set a dangerous president if this was passed,” an aide to one of the most hawkish Democratic senators tells me, noting the member is undecided, but that lawmaker “has always been on the side that president shouldn’t be handicapped when it comes to military force.”

There are other efforts underway to curtail the military authority of the president, as well. Markey and Rep. Ted Lieu have legislation that would prohibit the president from using nuclear weapons unless it was authorized by Congress, or if a nuclear attack on the United States or its allies was actually underway. Says Bunn: “Most Presidents would argue that this is contrary to their power as Commander in Chief. Like the North Korea legislation, this is not likely to become law in the current environment – though there’s a strong case to be made that it’s the right direction to go.”

And on Monday night, Mattis and Tillerson appeared before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee to defend the existing Authorizations for Use of Military Force (AUMF), in effect the president’s charter for continued war against extremism in the Middle East. Tillerson noted that while they would welcome a renewed statement of support for their efforts, it is not necessary, and that a new AUMF that curtailed their autonomy would be potentially calamitous.

But the status quo is not going to cut it for Democrats and even some in the president’s own party who view him as reckless, to put it mildly. And Murphy doesn’t trust Tillerson, oft-hailed by the president’s critics as “one of the adults in the room.”

Murphy told me earlier this year that the former Exxon chief seeks to “neuter” his own department. “I think he took this job knowing that he was going to oversee the dramatic weakening of this department … he's been fairly enthusiastic in that endeavor.”

Critics of the president are clearly disturbed by many of the messages coming out of this White House. But absent a Democratic takeover of Congress in 2018, are their efforts to assert greater authority anything more than political statements-- or auditions to take on Trump in 2020?

Curt Mills is a foreign-affairs reporter at the National Interest. Follow him on Twitter: @CurtMills.

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 15.

#1. To: Ada (#0)

Byrne and others see politics at play. “It seems to me the Democratic lawmakers are political posturing,” Byrnne tells me.

There it is. It's all about sending the "subtle message" that Trump and his supporters are war-mongering lunatics that want to set the world on fire so they can bar-b-que and eat your babies,not like us. You can trust US!"

Mostly to surrender after a 1st strike by the NK's.

sneakypete  posted on  2017-11-03   8:10:54 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: sneakypete (#1)

Mostly to surrender after a 1st strike by the NK's.

Any first strike by NK would be a false flag.

Ada  posted on  2017-11-03   9:29:42 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Ada (#2)

Any first strike by NK would be a false flag.

ROFLMAO!

Would you care to explain that to the relatives of the people killed,and more importantly,do you think such a strike should just be ignored because NK was nuking us at someone else's suggestion?

sneakypete  posted on  2017-11-03   9:46:58 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: sneakypete (#3)

Would you care to explain that to the relatives of the people killed,and more importantly,do you think such a strike should just be ignored because NK was nuking us at someone else's suggestion?

Sure. The relatives should blame the guilty parties which wouldn't be NK. Whatever you may think of them, they are not stupid and know that any first strike would result in a retaliation that would vaporize their country.

Ada  posted on  2017-11-04   13:37:18 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: Ada (#11)

Whatever you may think of them, they are not stupid and know that any first strike would result in a retaliation that would vaporize their country.

This is true, Kim is not stupid and he is well aware that his brother was offed in Singapore,

Also be aware that Putin has warned the U.S. "Hands off North Korea." Both China and Russia are now massing troops near their borders with North Korea. ;)

BTP Holdings  posted on  2017-11-04   15:16:17 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#14. To: BTP Holdings (#12)

This is true, Kim is not stupid

True,but he IS crazy as a rabid rat.

and he is well aware that his brother was offed in Singapore,

Of course he is,WTF do you think ordered him killed?

Both China and Russia are now massing troops near their borders with North Korea. ;)

Russia isn't going to do anything,but China just might be waiting for the coup to depose and execute Kim,and have troops standing by to move into NK and establish order. If I had to guess,my guess would be it is China that is working behind the scenes to have that madman overthrown.

sneakypete  posted on  2017-11-04   16:22:41 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: sneakypete (#14)

Of course he is, WTF do you think ordered him killed?

Kim had his own brother offed? It must have been an egregious thing. You think may be was plotting to overthrow his own brother? ;)

BTP Holdings  posted on  2017-11-04   21:08:30 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 15.

#22. To: BTP Holdings (#15)

It's all of a piece with the age old problem of dynastic succession. NK's constitution requires the country's ruler be a descendant of Kim Il Sung. KJU's brother was a threat as long as he continued breathing, regardless of whatever designs he might have had or might not have had on his half brother's job. It's reported that China this week threw a wrench into an assassination plot to knock off KJU's nephew.

randge  posted on  2017-11-05 10:08:33 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#24. To: BTP Holdings (#15)

Kim had his own brother offed?

Of course he did. His HALF-brother was a threat to his rule,and wasn't living in NK because he didn't want to be executed like his uncle was. I MIGHT be wrong about this,but I think Kim has his uncle's wife and their children executed,too.

sneakypete  posted on  2017-11-05 10:25:00 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 15.

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