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Resistance See other Resistance Articles Title: Idlib’s Rebels Unite Under Al Qaeda Banner While Syria Prepares Offensive The U.S. will likely do all it can to prevent an upcoming Syrian military offensive in Idlib, with the aim of protecting its own interests in Syria, even if it means backing a force of rebels united in their allegiance to al Qaeda. DAMASCUS, SYRIA While the conflict in Syria has largely faded from the news following the Idlib demilitarization agreement primarily brokered by Russia and Turkey in mid-September, a new Syrian military report cited by Al Masdar News claims that the Syrian military is set to begin a long-anticipated, major military offensive to retake the Idlib province from rebel groups. Though the demilitarization agreement reduced the urgency for an imminent military offensive, rebel groups within Idlib through much of October repeatedly launched significant attacks on nearby government-held areas of Syria, resulting in exchanges of fire between rebels and the Syrian Army and greatly increasing the likelihood that the demilitarization agreement will soon collapse. As a result, the Syrian Army appears to be moving forward with the offensive it had originally planned to begin in September. In one indication of this plan, over the weekend the Syrian Army closed the Morek crossing between government and rebel-held territory after rebels shelled nearby Syrian army positions. Al Masdar noted that the closure of the crossing is one of the first steps the Syrian military is taking to prepare for this upcoming security operation in the southeastern countryside of Idlib. Al Masdar further noted that the Syrian militarys Tiger Forces, currently deployed at the Abu Dhuhour Military Airport, will be leading the offensive, which has apparently been approved by Syrian and Russian military leadership. With rebels unified in al Qaeda branch, no moderate rebels to protect While the repeated attacks launched by the rebels following the ostensible demilitarization of the province certainly weakened the agreement, another overlooked factor that has made that agreement entirely useless is the recent announcement that all of the rebels in the Idlib province have now united under the single banner of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). HTS is the rebel collective formerly known as al-Nusra Front, which is Syrias al Qaeda branch. Last Wednesday, American-born journalist and al-Nusra Front media man Bilal Abdul Kareem published a video on YouTube in which he interviewed al-Nusra Front/HTS spokesman Abu Khaled. In the video, Khaled states that all factions within the Idlib province have now formed a joint operations room to plan military operations, increase military readiness, and strike any person who seeks to contact the [Syrian] regime or its Russian cronies with an iron fist. Khaled added that this cooperation includes all factions [in Idlib] without exemption and that this was the first time that all Idlib rebels had united under one banner. Prior to this announcement, HTS/al-Nusra was the largest faction in Syrias Idlib, with an estimated 10,000 fighters. Over the past few years, it has come to dominate much of Syrias rebel-held territory, a fact that has even been admitted by mainstream Western media since early last year. Now, as their own spokesman has revealed, this trend has reached its fulfillment, with HTS/al-Nusra now dominating all factions without exemption in Syrias Idlib. Watch | al-Nusra (HTS) admits that all Idlib rebels now united under al-Nusra control With all Idlib rebels now operating under the al Qaeda banner, it is no longer possible to make the assertion that the province includes moderate rebels. Furthermore, given that the Idlib demilitarization agreement was created with the aim of separating moderate rebels from groups like the al-Nusra Front, the fact that the rebel groups have instead united behind al-Nusra eliminates the agreements entire purpose for existing: there are no longer any moderate rebels in the region to protect, by the rebels own admission. As a result of this development, the Syrian militarys efforts to retake the province have likely been approved by both Syrian and Russian leadership not only to halt the continuing attacks on government-held areas around Idlib but also to target a region now undeniably under the control of a terror organization. Idlib as buffer for Syrias U.S.-controlled, resource-rich northeast Yet, even though HTS itself has admitted that all rebels in Idlib are now under its command, it remains to be seen how the U.S. will react to an upcoming Syrian military offensive targeting the province. Indeed, prior to the demilitarization agreement reached on September 17, the Trump administration threatened to attack Syria for any attack it launched against Idlib, whether or not there were allegations of chemical weapon use. Idlib Syria White Helmets A White Helmets banner towers over a Syrian rebel checkpoint Idlib, Syria, late Saturday, Oct. 13, 2018. Ugur Can | DHA via AP At the time, top U.S. government officials claimed that militants in the province are not terrorists, but people fighting a civil war against a brutal dictator. However, just a year earlier, the U.S. governments Special Presidential Envoy for the Global Coalition to Counter ISIL (Daesh, ISIS) Brett McGurk called Syrias Idlib province the largest al Qaeda safe haven since 9/11, tied directly to Ayman al-Zawahiri [current leader of al Qaeda], immediately adding that al Qaedas presence in Idlib was a huge problem and had been so for some time. It seems unlikely that the U.S. will suddenly admit that it has been protecting an al Qaeda enclave in Idlib. Indeed, the U.S. knows that if the Syrian military succeeds in driving rebels from Idlib, its next target will be the 30 percent of Syrian territory currently occupied by the U.S. in the countrys northeast. That area includes more than 90 percent of all Syrias oil and gas potential, as well as most of its agricultural and freshwater resources. Thus, the U.S. will likely do all it can to prevent an upcoming Syrian military offensive in Idlib, with the aim of protecting its own interests in Syria, even if it means backing a force of rebels united in their allegiance to al Qaeda. Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread Top Page Up Full Thread Page Down Bottom/Latest
#1. To: Ada (#0)
I wish they'd stop using the fairy tale that these are "rebels", they should be called by the correct term, "TERRORISTS". I'd say the vast majority of them are from Saudi Arabia and other fanatical Islamic areas of the Middle East, and are certainly not Syrian. Remind me, exactly what are our interests in Syria today; thank you. The most dangerous man to any government is the man who is able to think things out... without regard to the prevailing superstitions and taboos. Almost inevitably he comes to the conclusion that the government he lives under is dishonest, insane, intolerable. ~ H. L. Mencken
Um, mercenaries is more like it. IMO, of course.
Right now its the optics. We cannot afford to be seen losing.
Paid terrorists, yes. |
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