Spains socialists beat a divided right but without a clear majority William Chislett. Expert Comment 12/2019 - 29/4/2019
Congreso de los Diputados, the Spanish parliament building. Photo: Roy Luck (CC BY 2.0)
The Socialists won Spains third general election in less than four years, but without a governing majority, while an upstart far-right party (VOX) stormed into parliament for the first time since the Franco dictatorship, producing the worst-ever result for the conservative Popular Party (PP) and splitting the right along with Ciudadanos (Cs).
Voter turnout in the most aggressively fought and contentious election for years was 75.7%, well up from 69.8% in 2016 and underscoring the sense among the electorate that the contest between five parties in a highly fragmented panorama represented a defining moment for the country.
The Socialists victory is a personal triumph for Sánchez, but he faces a difficult task in finding the extra support he needs.
The Socialists under Pedro Sánchez won 123 of the total 350 seats, 38 more than in 2016, and with the radical left Unidas Podemos (UP) would command 165 seats, 11 short of the magic number of 176 in order to rule with an absolute majority (see Figure 1). The three parties on the right have 147 seats between them and will not be able to repeat at the national level what they have in Andalucía since last December, when they won a majority of seats in the regions parliament.
Figure 1. Results of general elections, 2019 and June 2016 (seats, millions of votes and % of total votes)
Click for Full Text!