Methane emissions from cattle are 11% higher than estimated
Bigger livestock in larger numbers in more regions has led to methane in the air climbing faster than predicted due to ‘out-of-date data’
Agence France-Presse
Fri 29 Sep 2017 06.23 EDT
Last modified on Wed 14 Feb 2018 11.58 EST
A sharp rise in methane pollution could jeopardise the goal of capping global warming below 2C. Photograph: Graham Turner/The Guardian
Emissions of the greenhouse gas methane from livestock are larger than previously thought, posing an additional challenge in the fight to curb global warming, scientists have said.
Revised calculations of methane produced per head of cattle show that global livestock emissions in 2011 were 11% higher than estimates based on data from the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC).
Periodic reports by the IPCC, drawing from thousands of scientists, help leaders take action on climate change, which has begun to wreak havoc on weather around the world.
“In many regions, livestock numbers are changing, and breeding has resulted in larger animals with higher intakes of food,” said Julie Wolf, a researcher in the US Department of Agriculture and the lead author of a study in the journal Carbon Balance and Management.
“This, along with changes in livestock management, can lead to higher methane emissions,” she said.
Earlier estimates, Wolf added in a statement, were based on “out-of-date data”. After rising slowly from 2000 to 2006, the concentration of methane in the air has climbed 10 times more quickly in the last decade, according to earlier research.
Besides natural sources such as peatland, wetlands and termites, methane from human activity – approximately two-thirds of the total – is produced in two ways: the odourless and colourless gas leaks during the production and transport of coal, oil and especially natural gas; and, in roughly equal measure, from the flatulence of ruminants such as cattle and sheep, as well as the decay of organic waste, notably in landfills.
Methane accounted for about 16% of global greenhouse gas emissions in 2015, according to the IPCC.
Carbon dioxide – produced mainly by the burning of fossil fuels – accounts for more than three-quarters of planet-warming emissions.
“As our diets become more meat- and dairy-rich, so the hidden climate cost of our food tends to mount up,” said profDave Reay from the University of Edinburgh reacting to the study.
“Cows belching less methane may not be as eye-catching as wind turbines and solar panels, but they are just as vital for addressing climate change.”
The new study boosts the “estimate of human-induced emissions of methane from all sources by about four %,” said prof Piers Forster from the University of Leeds , who was not involved in the research.
Methane is far more potent than CO2 as a greenhouse gas, capturing more of the sun’s radiative force, but it persists for less time in the atmosphere. Taking that into account, scientists calculate that over a 100-year period the “global-warming potential” of the gas is 28 times greater than for carbon dioxide.
The study noted that methane emissions from livestock have risen most sharply in the rapidly developing regions of Asia, Latin America and Africa. By contrast, the increase has slowed sharply in the US and Canada. In Europe, emissions of the gas have declined.
A sharp rise in methane pollution could jeopardise the goal – enshrined in the 196-nation Paris climate pact – of capping global warming below 2C, a consortium of 81 scientists warned in December.
“Such a target will become increasingly difficult if reductions in methane emissions are not also addressed strongly and rapidly,” they wrote in an open letter.
Poster Comment:
In India, they do not eat beef and cows are lying around everywhere.