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World News
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Title: How Was Pentagon 'Withdrawal Letter" Leaked To Iraq? Anatomy Of A Propaganda Coup
Source: [None]
URL Source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopoliti ... information-unauthorized-draft
Published: Jan 7, 2020
Author: Tyler Durden
Post Date: 2020-01-07 14:11:37 by Horse
Keywords: None
Views: 251
Comments: 18

The inside account of how the now infamous "phony" letter announcing complete US troop withdrawal from Iraq after seventeen years details astoundingly how the "posting of the letter online unleashed a mad, behind-the-scenes scramble at the Pentagon, the White House, and on Capitol Hill, as elected officials, policymakers, military advisers and journalists sought to understand whether the letter intended to communicate what its plain language suggested."

As different departments and levels within the Pentagon bureaucracy attempted to account for it, the story changed multiple times. In a matter of a couple hours it went from "authentic" to "phony" to part of an effort to sow "active disinformation" — and finally according to a confused press briefing by Gen. Milley and Defense Secretary Mark Esper an "unauthorized draft" and "an honest mistake".

This after The Washington Post and a host of other major outlets "confirmed" it as "authentic" — in the words of WaPo's Beirut Bureau chief Liz Sly.

At Monday's Pentagon briefing itself which attempted to assess the origins of the mysterious draft letter, The Dispatch summarized the atmosphere: "Was the United States really moving to remove its remaining troops from Iraq? Nobody seemed to know."

And ultimately no definitive answers came, other than the Pentagon and administration denying than an Iraq pullout is happening, as to just how a "draft letter" which had been making the rounds at CENTCOM came to be in the hands of the Iraqis, after which it was posted online.

As The Dispatch notes, the letter wasn't merely announced by some Iraqi politician in Baghdad, but was released via America's enemies:

The news was a propaganda coup for the Iranians and those in Iraq who support them. The story broke on the television channel of an Iran-backed Iraqi militia, Asaib Ahl al-Haq (AAH), after it was leaked by the Iraqi prime minister’s office, according to Liz Sly, Beirut bureau chief for the Washington Post, who noted that the leader of AAH is a U.S.-designated terrorist and his militia is responsible for the deaths of dozens of Americans.

The letter soon made its way into the American media.

Initially, there was this statement out of the Pentagon policy office in conjunction with Operation Inherent Resolve: “OIR has confirmed with us at the working level that this is active disinformation.” The Pentagon was “fairly certain that this is a fake” according to that early media statement.

Liz Sly ✔ @LizSly

Though the letter doesn’t bear a signature, the US military has confirmed its authenticity. Not clear yet whether it’s a full or partial withdrawal, but the reference to deference to the Iraqi parliament’s decision makes it seem pretty definitive.

But then this later at the Pentagon press briefing:

They didn’t declare the letter a fake but they couldn’t offer much of an explanation of its provenance or meaning, either. Esper pleaded ignorance. “I don't know what that letter is,” he said. “We’re trying to find out where that’s coming from, what that is. But there has been no decision made to leave Iraq, period.” He declined to confirm its authenticity. “No, I can’t.”

Gen. Milley couldn’t verify that the letter was real, either. “I do know that it's not signed,” he said. “But I just looked at it right there; it's not signed.”

So even the attempts to account for what may or may not be a "draft" letter which originated within the Pentagon itself and then leaked to the Iraqis remain contradictory.

The final word from the Defense Department seems to be a shoulder shrug and that it was "an honest mistake".

What remains is that the whole embarrassing and bizarre episode does indeed appear a "propaganda coup for the Iranians and those in Iraq who support them."

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#1. To: Horse (#0)

I don't think it's intentional propaganda by the US as it embarrasses the US more than it helps in anyway.

Pinguinite  posted on  2020-01-07   15:50:52 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: Horse (#0)

The swamp is still full of 0bama appointees, functionaries, and sympathizers.

“The most dangerous man to any government is the man who is able to think things out... without regard to the prevailing superstitions and taboos. Almost inevitably he comes to the conclusion that the government he lives under is dishonest, insane, intolerable.” ~ H. L. Mencken

Lod  posted on  2020-01-07   20:04:41 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Pinguinite, Horse (#1)

I tend to think that anything like this, coming from the Pentagon, is a psyop. Perhaps only to gain time, although it could be (and I think likely) a cover for a buildup to invasion.


Freedom is a social skill.

Anthem  posted on  2020-01-08   1:38:17 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: Anthem (#3)

I've not seen/heard any talk of invading Iran. I think even the Deep State knows its off the table. Iran is far too big to invade, far to costly in every way, with no bordering country that would be a safe place to stage.

While we know the PTB's will do things underhandedly, it's also true that mistakes are made and we shouldn't consider the gov to be error free in every way. Blunders will be made everywhere there are people. The Iranians appear to have made there's by shooting down a commercial airline by mistake amid the peak of tensions after their missile strike. Maybe it was something more covert than that, but.... that's plausible.

Pinguinite  posted on  2020-01-09   21:10:17 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: Pinguinite (#4) (Edited)

I think you are whistling past the graveyard.

We surround them.

They have vowed to restart nuclear weapon development. Israel and SA want the threat removed.

Death merchants want more war and a reduction in population. Destruction of Iran as an independent nation has been on the agenda for decades and accelerated after the end of the "Cold War" psyop.

Those good people, an ancient civilization compatible with Christianity (St. Augustine was a Manichean), are going to get bombed back to the stone age, as Iraq and Libya were.


Freedom is a social skill.

Anthem  posted on  2020-01-18   12:29:05 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: Anthem (#5)

Those good people, an ancient civilization compatible with Christianity (St. Augustine was a Manichean), are going to get bombed back to the stone age, as Iraq and Libya were.

Trump has deployed B-52s to Diego Garcia. Now let's be realistic. Those lumbering old birds would be like shooting at a flock of geese for the S-400 anti-aircraft missiles the Russians have given to Iran. ;)

"When bad men combine, the good must associate; else they will fall, one by one." Edmund Burke

BTP Holdings  posted on  2020-01-18   12:44:23 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: BTP Holdings (#6)

B-52s are used to drop huge bombs. They won't be deployed until the air defenses have been destroyed.

Propaganda is, by design, easy to believe. The purpose of "Iran's military is powerful" propaganda is to manufacture a threat from them. Necessary to rally support for the war effort.


Freedom is a social skill.

Anthem  posted on  2020-01-18   12:54:24 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: Anthem (#7)

Propaganda is, by design, easy to believe. The purpose of "Iran's military is powerful" propaganda is to manufacture a threat from them. Necessary to rally support for the war effort.

"The lie has no place in propaganda." Joseph Goebbels

They always need support from the lowly common man for war. After all, they are the cannon fodder.

During WW II, Company Commanders had trouble keeping up with the names of replacements who were killed on the front lines since there were so many being killed and even running away from the fire of the enemy.

Ike had Private Eddie Slovik executed for desertion under fire. ;)

"When bad men combine, the good must associate; else they will fall, one by one." Edmund Burke

BTP Holdings  posted on  2020-01-18   13:33:20 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: Anthem (#5)

Those good people, an ancient civilization compatible with Christianity (St. Augustine was a Manichean), are going to get bombed back to the stone age, as Iraq and Libya were.

To be clear, I'm speaking only of invading being impractical. Bombing is another matter and that certainly is on the table. But troops on the ground, taking over cities and regions, no, I don't see that as anything the US is planning. When Iraq was invaded, the US staged all forces in Saudi Arabia. We had all the time in the world to prepare and it took some 3-4 months as I recall, and Saddam was nice enough to do nothing while the US went about dotting all i's and crossing all t's, and only when all was ready, we moved in.

Where would they stage for an Iran invasion? Iraq? They pretty much don't even like the bases there any more. Do it in Iraq and it will be met with all manner of disruption.

Afghanistan doesn't have a coast line. We'd have to get permission from Pakistan to convoy through their country. And of course, Afghanis don't like us either. I don't think Pakistan is going to be too friendly either. We could either stage in Saudi Arabia again and then launch the invasion through Iraq and maybe Kuwait, in which case the force has to endure logistical problems going, again, through somewhat hostile territory. Or there's the tried and true amphibious assault, maybe Omaha beach style, which could generate enough fatalities to cause the US to be political losers in the endeavor before the first US boot hits Iranian soil.

And all that assumes Iran will be sporting about the whole thing and wait for whatever preparations the US military needs to make before taking action. More likely they'll start lobbing missiles at whatever spot the US picks to stage, whether it be Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan or wherever, targeting ports and, yes, Diego Garcia as well, tempting the US to go nuclear.

Naturally the US seeing all this will decide to bomb first. And that would be the beginning of the war, and it wouldn't go beyond that.

Pinguinite  posted on  2020-01-18   20:26:19 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: Anthem (#7)

Propaganda is, by design, easy to believe. The purpose of "Iran's military is powerful" propaganda is to manufacture a threat from them. Necessary to rally support for the war effort.

Propaganda relies on the recipient WANTING to believe what you're about to tell them. Then when you tell them something embellished, they accept it gleefully, without critical examination or question at all.

Iran has about 86 million people, more than, I think, the entire UK, and which is 25% of the entire US population. Their land area is some 4x more than Iraq. They do have much more capability than Iraq had. Their shooting down the US drone was, IMO, a demonstration of their missile tech. That drone, was, I think, some 11 miles high when it was hit. What I got from that satellite view of the base that was missiled was that it showed a pretty good shot grouping, though some missiles, about 1/4 of them, did, reportedly off course.

So I don't think it would be a pushover, and I think I see more propaganda on the side of US overconfident chairborne internet hawks (not here on 4um but elsewhere) who laughingly brag about how the war will last about 20 minutes, not because of any critical analysis, but because they are proud beer drinking Americans. But propaganda will be on both sides of any conflict, and the trick is to not want to believe what either side claims.

Pinguinite  posted on  2020-01-18   20:40:03 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: Pinguinite (#9)

My guess is that they will bomb until air defenses are largely degraded and then use SF to go in and do sabotage to take out their scientific and industrial capacity. SF can be staged from anywhere nearby where the big helos can run back and forth. A major ground assault will only occur if the whole area is involved in a major multi-national war.

If the AZ Empire wanted Iran to reform into a free westernized nation they could have effected that decades ago. Destruction and oppression is the goal, not only there but everywhere. We will live to see destruction on a large scale right here in the USA.


Freedom is a social skill.

Anthem  posted on  2020-01-19   12:18:52 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: Pinguinite (#9) (Edited)

I don't think Pakistan is going to be too friendly either.

and, yes, Diego Garcia as well,

Pakistan is impossible to get into if you are an American.

Diego Garcia is out of range of Iranian ballistic missiles. ;)

www.thedrive.com/the- war-...ploys-six-b-52s-to-diego-garcia-beyond-reach-of-irans-ballistic- missiles

"When bad men combine, the good must associate; else they will fall, one by one." Edmund Burke

BTP Holdings  posted on  2020-01-19   13:22:46 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: BTP Holdings (#12)

Diego Garcia is out of range of Iranian ballistic missiles. ;)

Land based missiles, yes, but Iran apparently has a sizable submarine fleet.

Now I would not want to be a crew member on such a sub when full hostilities break out between the US and Iran, but.... my hunch is that the subs might have missile tech for attacking land targets.

I've no idea, honestly, but I did read somewhere Iran has almost 40 subs.

Pinguinite  posted on  2020-01-19   14:39:44 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#14. To: BTP Holdings (#12)

Looking it up, Iran does appear to have tested a cruise missile launch from a sub early last year. Most of their sub fleet though are mini-subs that may not have great range.

Pinguinite  posted on  2020-01-19   14:49:37 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: Pinguinite, BTP Holdings (#14)

They have enough military strength to be a regional power. They don't have enough to compete with the US' huge military budget and manufacturing capability. Now self sufficient in oil, the US intends to degrade their military capability -- picking off their subs, rope a dope their missiles, overwhelm their air force, shock and awe their industrial capacity and probably domestic utilities too -- until they are down to foot soldiers and a shattered country. Unless they get help from Russia or China, they are going to be pummeled into submission so they can no longer threaten Israel.


Freedom is a social skill.

Anthem  posted on  2020-01-20   0:43:26 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#16. To: Anthem (#15)

Iran obviously cannot compete on equal terms with the USA. But they don't need to.

1) they have the advantage that always comes with defense. The war would be in their neighborhood, many thousands of miles from the US. They don't have to come to US shores, invade any other country, or go toe to toe on the open seas.

2) In any David vs Goliath matchup, the underdog wins by not losing, and the overdog loses by suffering a sufficient quantity of unanticipated losses, whether it be in casualties, POW's taken, an inability to progress militarily, or an inability to end the fighting in a short time.

Iran's best bet is missiles: anti-aircraft, short & medium ballistic missiles, and perhaps even anti-ship missiles. They also have the ability to destroy a lot of gulf oil production facilities as was demonstrated by the hit on the Saudi facilities (which I think did come from Yemen but was in any case using Iranian drone tech) in addition to shutting down all oil exports from the gulf. While the US is a net oil exporter, the key word is "net". The US still imports oil. Not all oil is the same. Mid-east oil is relatively easy to refine into gasoline. US oil, not so much, but if Persian gulf oil is shut down, world oil prices go up which includes prices at US pumps.

Iran has a lot of missiles of all types and the USA's best strategy is a surprise attack which takes out as many as possible, but i think it doubtful that they can prevent any and all missile counter strikes against US bases that are all to much within range of Iran in all surrounding countries. While some 25% of the missiles launched by Iran reportedly failed to reach the targeted bases in Iraq earlier this month, those that did made a pretty good shot grouping, evidenced by a single satellite view of the base that showed 4 or 5 in relatively close proximity.

Iran will pay a heavy price for sure, but the country is simply too big to beat into submission. The US military would, I expect, be playing whack-a-mole on their missile systems for many months, and there would be US casualties, very possibly in the many thousands, or if a naval task force gets hit badly enough, 10's of thousands (though I'd say that's unlikely if they stay far enough away from Iran).

Pinguinite  posted on  2020-01-20   1:45:18 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#17. To: Pinguinite (#16)

I want to make it clear that I do not support any attacks on Iran. What I'm doing is pointing out that they simply cannot withstand the US without help. How long before they run out of missiles and other hardware? Those things are expensive and are hard to produce when a practically limitless number of missiles and bombs are raining down on production facilities. I may be wrong, but I think the S-300, S-400 missile defenses will fall far short of fending off the US attack.

China has been the beneficiary of the US' destruction of Iraq in terms of oil production. Why would they bother with risking war to help Iran? Russia may sell them some weapons and other technology, but will they risk war on a second front (Ukraine being the first)? Maybe. We'll see.

War with Iran would do a lot of damage to the US. I don't think that is a consideration for the Neocons. They have already forged economic bonds with China. The Chinese admire them and have an amoral lying thieving society in place already. Sacrificing the US is not a problem for the Neocons, so long as they get Iran pounded (and make lots of money off the US tax/inflation payer as they supply the war).


Freedom is a social skill.

Anthem  posted on  2020-01-20   13:32:33 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#18. To: Anthem (#17)

I want to make it clear that I do not support any attacks on Iran.

It never crossed my mind otherwise.

What I'm doing is pointing out that they simply cannot withstand the US without help. How long before they run out of missiles and other hardware? Those things are expensive and are hard to produce when a practically limitless number of missiles and bombs are raining down on production facilities.

The US does not have limitless supplies of cruise missiles. After the hit on Syria with 59 tomahawks on their airfields, the 2 ships involved had to go restock, and the cost was about $100 million to do so. Maybe the navy has resupply ships holding many hundreds of tomahawks. And it's also been suggested that many of those tomahawks failed to reach their targets, possibly being shot down en route, teh reason why 59 were launched.

It comes back to the fact that this place is so very far away and ships cannot hold nearly as many missiles as a defending country can. I guess that's another way of saying that I think the US simply doesn't have the ability to launch 3000 missiles at Iran in a 1 hour period. Each ship might hold 30 missiles, maybe? The logistical support just isn't there, is it?

I may be wrong, but I think the S-300, S-400 missile defenses will fall far short of fending off the US attack.

I think cruise missiles, at least the Tomahawk which has been around forever, are not hard targets. They don't maneuver very much apart from doing waypoint turning, and they are certainly not stealth. Iran has been dogged for a long time and they've had to realize, I think, that the key to survival is tons and tons of missiles of whatever sort, hidden and dispersed, yet still mobile, all over the country.

War with Iran would do a lot of damage to the US. I don't think that is a consideration for the Neocons.

Even the neocons have to be wary of US political sentiment. But I agree the US is being exploited to no end.

Pinguinite  posted on  2020-01-20   14:42:35 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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