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World News See other World News Articles Title: Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development One important — and novel — component of our strategy toolkit is scenario planning, a process of creating narratives about the future based on factors likely to affect a particular set of challenges and opportunities. We believe that scenario planning has great potential for use in philanthropy to identify unique interventions, simulate and rehearse important decisions that could have profound implications, and highlight previously undiscovered areas of connection and intersection. Most important, by providing a methodological structure that helps us focus on what we don’t know — instead of what we already know — scenario planning allows us to achieve impact more effectively. The results of our first scenario planning exercise demonstrate a provocative and engaging exploration of the role of technology and the future of globalization, as you will see in the following pages. This report is crucial reading for anyone interested in creatively considering the multiple, divergent ways in which our world could evolve. The sparks of insight inspiring these narratives — along with their implications for philanthropy as a whole — were generated through the invaluable collaboration of grantee representatives, external experts, and Rockefeller Foundation staff. THE SCENARIO NARRATIVES The scenarios that follow are not meant to be exhaustive — rather, they are designed to be both plausible and provocative, to engage your imagination while also raising new questions for you about what that future might look and feel like. Each scenario tells a story of how the world, and in particular the developing world, might progress over the next 15 to 20 years, with an emphasis on those elements relating to the use of different technologies and the interaction of these technologies with the lives of the poor and vulnerable. Accompanying each scenario is a range of elements that aspire to further illuminate life, technology, and philanthropy in that world. These include: •A timeline of possible headlines and emblematic events unfolding during the period of the scenario • Short descriptions of what technologies and technology trends we might see •Initial observations on the changing role of philanthropy in that world, highlighting opportunities and challenges that philanthropic organizations would face and what their operating environment might be like •A “day in the life” sketch of a person living and working in that world Poster Comment: This is a magazine length article that is not densely written. Three or four pages would be about the same as one paper magazine page. The first 15 pages are a lot of word salad, but the scenarios get interesting after that. Keep in mind it was written in 2010. Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread
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