4um: Is What We’re Being Told About The Coronavirus Pandemic Wrong?

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Title: Is What We’re Being Told About The Coronavirus Pandemic Wrong?
Source: Townhall
URL Source: [None]
Published: Apr 5, 2020
Author: Derek Hunter
Post Date: 2020-04-06 01:05:05 by James Deffenbach
Keywords: None
Views: 1121
Comments: 7

Is What We’re Being Told About The Coronavirus Pandemic Wrong?
Predicting the future is a tough racket. If people were any good at it, we’d all be multiple lottery winners. Since we aren’t, that’s a pretty good indication that we have the ability to guess what will happen, but possess no clairvoyance. That brings us to today, when the country and the world are shut down over what is expected to happen with the coronavirus. Like everything else, the predictions aren’t panning out. Were this just $2 wasted on a lottery ticket it wouldn’t matter. But are we hurting millions of people and spending trillions of dollars on nothing more than a hunch based on computer models that are wildly inaccurate?
There’s no question the coronavirus is deadly and dangerous, but is it going to kill hundreds of thousands in the US and millions around the world? We have no idea. All we have are guesses. But if you’re going to destroy the economy and severely restrict people’s lives, you’d better have some damn good information backing up your actions. There are questions about the computer models being used to impose just that.
One prominent model in the shutdown is from the University of Washington, from their Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), funded by Bill and Melinda Gates. How closely does what they predicted track with reality so far? Turns out, not so well.
While the reporting data from some states are lagging, others have provided information that calls into question the validity of the whole model, and with it, all the actions taken by government.

On April 4th, for example, the IHME model predicted there would be between 120,963 and 203,436 Americans requiring hospitalization, with the average of that range being 164,745. In reality, there were 18,998.
Before your jaw goes through the floor, it must be noted that not all states have reported their numbers, so the actual total is incomplete. The largest states have reported, so the missing numbers from places like Kansas or even Michigan will add to that total, but still will not get it anywhere near the projections.
That’s just hospitalizations, when it comes to intensive care beds, the difference between the projections and reality show an equally large gap. The average projected ICU beds needed on April 4th was 31,057; the reality was 4,686. That’s across the country, not just New York. Even after factoring in the caveats about missing states, that’s a miss akin to swinging and striking out on a pickoff to second base.
So what other models are federal and state authorities using that justify the actions they’ve taken? The simple, horrifying answer is we just don’t know. The government isn’t sharing their models and data with the public, which is odd.
Mitigation efforts like social distancing and the like may be a factor, but these models supposedly took that into consideration.
Are the modelers making assumptions based on the horrific numbers out of places like Italy? That doesn’t make much sense when you consider the difference between our countries – quality of care, number of ICU beds, average age of citizens, etc.
As of this writing, there are 7,810 deaths in the United States attributed to the pandemic. More than 7,000 Americans die every single day, on average, of everything. Over the course of this pandemic, this has amounted to a noticeable but still mild uptick above that average over the course of it. Add to that the directive from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to count any death tangentially related to COVID-19, and you have to wonder if that number actually holds. That directive reads, “COVID-19 should be reported on the death certificate for all decedents where the disease caused or is assumed to have caused or contributed to death.” (The emphasis in bolding is theirs.)
So what is going on? Where is the truth? Are we on the verge of a massive crush of cases and deaths, or are we destroying ourselves over the equivalent of tarot card reading gone wrong? I don’t know, but I do know we need answers and we need them now.
If we had a media capable of doing their jobs, Dr. Anthony Fauci and Dr. Deborah Birx would be pressed on all of this, hard, at the White House daily briefing. Since we don’t, we get Jim Acosta pulling months old quotes from President Trump attempting a “gotcha” moment that CNN’s audience and Jim’s ego craves. So-called journalists are attacking Fox News for allegedly spreading misinformation, even though they were sounding warning bells back in January, while the rest of the media were busy calling the president a racist for banning travel from China and wasted a week arguing with Republicans over how it was supposedly racist to point out a virus that originated in China originated in China.
Predicting the future is near-impossible. Shutting down a planet based on predictions is crazy, especially when the predictions aren’t coming true in real-time. If in the next week, these numbers from the models don’t start to jive with reality, President Trump needs to seriously consider not only reopening the country but also firing everyone involved in advising him based on those models. If they do start to line up, then may God have mercy on everyone.
Coronavirus is serious and deadly, especially to vulnerable people, but just how serious and deadly is one of many questions we need an answer to, and we need it now.
Derek Hunter
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#1. To: James Deffenbach (#0)
All of this dren about this "Beer" virus is total bull dren. 2019 10,000 in the US of A died from the "Flu"and no one locked down, stayed home.

Darkwing posted on 2020-04-06 10:13:18 ET Reply Trace Private Reply
#2. To: James Deffenbach (#0)
So what is going on?
Where is the truth?
Are we on the verge of a massive crush of cases and deaths, or are we destroying ourselves over the equivalent of tarot card reading gone wrong?

The truth is...
We are undergoing an economic, currency, judicial and entire system RESET. And this entire Event 201 Pandemic simulation played out was THE opportunity to shut it all down, then bust that move.

Liberator posted on 2020-04-06 11:33:18 ET Reply Trace Private Reply
#3. To: James Deffenbach (#0)
Coronavirus is serious and deadly...

That is a lie, a deception.
Shutting down a planet based on predictions is crazy, especially when the predictions aren’t coming true in real-time.
And there we go.

Liberator posted on 2020-04-06 11:34:45 ET Reply Trace Private Reply
#4. To: Liberator (#2)
The reason these Sheriff deputies look like they are paramilitary is because the police have been militarized. ;)
"When bad men combine, the good must associate; else they will fall, one by one." Edmund Burke
BTP Holdings posted on 2020-04-06 12:27:10 ET Reply Trace Private Reply
#5. To: BTP Holdings (#4)
The reason these Sheriff deputies look like they are paramilitary is because the police have been militarized. ;)

Hear ya.
And many of them LOVE it.
The wise ones realize that a license to be obnoxious and over-officious these days to emotionally spiraling armed people could well wind up being costly ;-)

Liberator posted on 2020-04-06 12:36:28 ET Reply Trace Private Reply
#6. To: Liberator (#2)
I believe this bs that is the covid 19 scam was and is being used by the government to see how much tyranny the people will put up with. For whatever it's worth I never did think, and still don't, that there was any legitimate reason to shut the country down over a virus. The founders knew about plagues and different kinds of illnesses but never included any provisions in the Constitution to destroy the economy over them. And to seize on them as an excuse to violate people's rights.
Americans who have no experience with, or knowledge of, tyranny believe that only terrorists will experience the unchecked power of the state. They will believe this until it happens to them, or their children, or their friends. Paul Craig Roberts
"When plunder becomes a way of life for a group of men living together in society, they create for themselves in the course of time a legal system that authorizes it and a moral code that glorifies it." Frederic Bastiat
James Deffenbach posted on 2020-04-08 23:37:43 ET Reply Trace Private Reply
#7. To: Liberator (#2)
I've never heard of a reset in the form of instant communism.
_____________________________________________________________
USA! USA! USA! Bringing you democracy, or else! there were strains of VD that were incurable, and they were first found in the Philippines and then transmitted to the Korean working girls via US military. The 'incurables' we were told were first taken back to a military hospital in the Philippines to quietly die. – 4um
NeoconsNailed posted on 2020-04-09 3:59:06 ET Reply Trace Private Reply
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