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(s)Elections
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Title: The Remaining Vote in Pennsylvania Appears to Be Overwhelmingly for Biden
Source: New York Times
URL Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/04/ ... -election-results-ballots.html
Published: Nov 4, 2020
Author: (((Nate Cohn)))
Post Date: 2020-11-04 21:22:18 by Dakmar
Keywords: None
Views: 569
Comments: 2

Joe Biden has won absentee ballots counted in Pennsylvania by an overwhelming margin so far, according to data from the Secretary of State early Wednesday. If he carried the remaining absentee ballots by a similar margin, he would win the state. Votes in Pennsylvania

President Trump leads by nearly 700,000 votes in Pennsylvania as of 5 a.m. on Wednesday, and Mr. Biden’s chances depend on whether he can win a large percentage of the more than 1.4 million absentee ballots that remain to be counted.

So far, Mr. Biden has won absentee voters in Pennsylvania, 78 percent to 21 percent, according to the Secretary of State’s office. The results comport with the findings of pre-election surveys and an analysis of absentee ballot requests, which all indicated that Mr. Biden held an overwhelming lead among absentee voters.

If Mr. Biden won the more than 1.4 million absentee votes by such a large margin, he would net around 800,000 votes — enough to overcome his deficit statewide.

Of course, there’s no guarantee that Mr. Biden will win the remaining absentee vote by quite so much. But so far, his standing in the tabulated absentee vote has almost exactly matched our pre-election projections for the absentee vote by county, based on New York Times/Siena polling and data from L2, a political data vendor. Counted mail ballots have matched expectations

As of 5 a.m. Eastern. Each bubble is a Pennsylvania county where more than 10 percent of mail-in votes have been counted. Circle size is proportional to the number of mail-in ballots counted in each county.

If anything, the pre-election estimates suggest that Mr. Biden might be expected to do better, because the areas with remaining absentee votes are ever so slightly more Democratic than the state as a whole.

And there are possible if still uncertain sources of additional strength for Mr. Biden, like absentee ballots that arrive in the days after the election — or the possibility that the count is not yet including ballots that were left in drop boxes on the day of the election.

Mr. Trump has few places to turn for votes. His strength in the Election Day vote, which he carried by a wide margin, is all but exhausted, according to our estimates of the vote remaining. Most of the Election Day vote that remains is in Philadelphia and its suburbs.


Poster Comment:

LOL, polls are wrong except when they support our agenda.

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#1. To: Dakmar (#0)

Notice that the vote counting has stopped in Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada, etc. There is only one reason that voting would stop for over a day. It gives the democrats time to create more (fake) votes. That was Biden wins states that Trump would have won if the democrats were not cheating.

DWornock  posted on  2020-11-04   23:51:57 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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