Trump Dramatically Closes Gap in AZ, Half-Percent Away from Biden with Count Ongoing President Donald Trump gives a thumbs up after speaking to a crowd of supporters at the White House in Washington on Oct. 10. (Alex Brandon / AP)
By Randy DeSoto
Published November 9, 2020 at 3:19pm
While most establishment media outlets have declared Joe Biden the winner of the 2020 presidential race, a sleeper story is emerging in Arizona as President Donald Trump pulled to half a percent away from his Democrat rival.
The Associated Press on Saturday declared Biden the winner of the election with an Electoral College tally of 290 compared with 214 for Trump.
Included in that tally is Arizona’s 11 Electoral College votes, along with results from other contested races in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Nevada.
The Trump campaign has insisted that the Grand Canyon State would ultimately go for the president when all the votes are counted.
Last week, Biden held a nearly 93,000-vote lead over Trump, but as of Monday morning, the former vice president’s advantage shrank to just 16,985 votes, or 49.5 percent to Trump’s 49 percent.
Garrett Archer of the Phoenix ABC affiliate KNXV-TV tweeted on Sunday that the president received 64 percent of a ballot drop from Pinal and Apache counties that day.
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Trump is carrying Pinal County handily in the overall count, while Biden has a strong lead in Apache County.
According to a Monday morning tweet by Archer, there are approximately 77,000 outstanding ballots in Arizona.
If the president were to take 64 percent of those outstanding ballots or something close to it, he would pull ahead of Biden by about 4,500 votes.
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Of course, that is a big “if,” but it’s still conceivable.
Last week, MSNBC national political correspondent Steve Kornacki explained there are three what he called “buckets” that made up Arizona’s ballot count.
First came the early votes, in which Biden jumped to a 10-point lead over Trump.
Then came the votes cast on Election Day, which the president carried by 26 percentage points, Kornacki said.
The counties have been in the midst of counting a third batch made up primarily of ballots dropped off at polling places on Election Day or early ballots that arrived in the days immediately before it, which have been trending overall statewide for Trump.
If Arizona were to go for the president, that would not give him the Electoral College tally he needs or deny Biden the win if all things stay the same — but it could be the beginning of a change in the race.
Biden’s tally would drop from 290 back to 279, while Trump’s would go to 232, assuming Alaska and North Carolina, where he leads, ultimately are called for him.
If any of the contested states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania were to drop out of Biden’s win column after a recount or court challenge, the former vice president no longer would have the 270 Electoral College votes required to win.
In an Op-Ed for The Western Journal, former Bill Clinton campaign guru Dick Morris laid out Trump’s path to victory from there, which caught talk radio host Mark Levin’s attention.
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Poster Comment:
Whittling away at their lead.