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Title: America Has Lost The Trade War With China, And The Real Pain Has Yet To Begin
Source: [None]
URL Source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopoliti ... na-and-real-pain-has-yet-begin
Published: Jul 25, 2021
Author: Tyler Durden
Post Date: 2021-07-25 22:51:49 by Horse
Keywords: None
Views: 211
Comments: 2

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog,

Corporate America sacrificed national interests in service of greed, and so did the U.S. government.

As we all know, the source of Corporate America's unprecedented explosion in profits in the 21st century is the offshoring of manufacturing to China. If you doubt this, please study the chart below of corporate profits. Apologists claim many excuses in an attempt to evade the central role of offshoring production to China, but they all ring hollow: no, it wasn't increasing productivity or automation or Federal Reserve magic, it was shipping production to China and other low-labor-cost nations.

Whether we like to admit it or not--mostly not--the American economy is entirely dependent on manufacturing in China. America's short-sighted obsession with increasing profits to fund buybacks and golden parachutes for corporate insiders and vast fortunes for financiers has led to a dangerous dependency that has handed China tremendous leverage, which China is now starting to make use of. (And why not? Wouldn't the U.S. start using the same leverage if it could?)

A long-time U.S. correspondent who prefers to remain anonymous for obvious reasons recently shared his experiences with parts shortages and price increases from previously reliable suppliers in China. Here is his account of the disruptive shift in the supply chain of essential parts from China to the U.S.

China is laying siege to the USA by slowing down production and delivery of goods. It doesn't take much to hang up US production, just one missing item can do it. So much stuff is sourced through China they can affect all supply chains. Semiconductors are just the canary--because the chains are so long and complex, and specialized materials are required, etc. But it is happening everywhere.

I have a little manufacturing company and I am seeing this in supply lines. I sent an order to China for printed circuit boards (US prices are astronomical because of various factors). They don't get back for a week, then they quote, then I send money, then they sit on it, then I call and they say they are having problems with some process... etc. But all the suppliers are like this, it is not an isolated incident. They are sandbagging.

So just as in laying siege, the attackers have the food outside the castle and wait for the people inside to starve.

As prices rise the Chinese manufacturers take bigger profits so the slowdown effects on that end are mitigated. For products they do not have a monopoly on, like PC boards, they slow down. for things like LCD displays and NFeB magnets, the items become unavailable (try buying magnets on Amazon).

I have to say this is a brilliant idea on China's part, and no one on this side has realized the situation yet. This plan is straight out of Sun-Tzu. implications? inflation and shortages will continue for a long time... maybe forever. The only long-term solution is repatriation of manufacturing to the US. But it is going to cause some serious hurt, vastly more than the sanctioning of Chinese tech companies.

i just sent a request for quote for some radio chips I use to Alibaba. they are $1 each and there are many vendors. I sent notes to 2 vendors i used before and after 4 or 5 days got a ping back that my requests were cancelled. i wound up getting the parts--for 2x the price-- from Hong Kong, which at the moment seems to be something of a channel to the mainland. But I expect they will close that leak pretty soon.

I have long made the case that manufacturing, energy and food are all fundamentally national security issues. Those benefiting from "free trade" (there is no such thing, that's just a handy PR cover) have sold the unwary the fraudulent notion that "everyone benefits" from globalization. Nothing could be further from reality. A handful of corporate insiders and financiers have benefited at the expense of everyone else.

And now the chickens are coming home to roost. Essential parts and feedstocks become unavailable for all sorts of flimsy excuses, prices double, triple, then double again, and since we've allowed our entire economy to become dependent on a handful of sources for these essentials because that dependency maximized profits, then there are no alternatives.

America has already lost the trade war, but the pain has yet to begin. Corporate America sacrificed national interests in service of greed, and so did the U.S. government. Now it's too late, and all the good seats at the banquet of consequences have already been taken.

* * *


Poster Comment:

They also flooded the USA with legal and illegal immigrants driving down wages and pushing up crime, rents and taxes. They created the illusion if wealth by printing trillions of dollars. When the Dollar is dumped by foreigners, wages will be permanently cut 60%.(2 images)

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#1. To: Horse (#0)

I look forward to the massive die off of the vaccinated dupes who think that socialism is going to save them. The same people who begged government for their salvation deserve to get it good and hard.

When there are no more parasites then those of us who are able bodied and can actually work and have the ethic to do so, will dictate our wages as the would be slave masters will not have the ability to do the jobs they are used to having other people do. There is a historical precedent, when the Black Plague struck Europe. Suddenly the nobility didn’t have jack they could do to get people to work for them so they had to open up the vault.

Of course they bled the peasants white again after the population rebounded but still for a while they learned that those who have hands that labor ultimately hold the power.

"Call Me Ishmael" -Ishmael, A character from the book "Moby Dick" 1851. "Call Me Fishmeal" -Osama Bin Laden, A character created by the CIA, and the world's Hide And Seek Champion 2001-2011. -Tommythemadartist

TommyTheMadArtist  posted on  2021-07-25   23:26:30 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: TommyTheMadArtist (#1)

They have no idea what is actually is but most young people under 30 believe in and will voted for socialism.

DWornock  posted on  2021-07-26   0:16:44 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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