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Title: Istanbul's Mayor: Erdogan's Worst Nightmare
Source: [None]
URL Source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopoliti ... mayor-erdogans-worst-nightmare
Published: Jan 30, 2022
Author: Tyler Durden
Post Date: 2022-01-30 19:58:17 by Horse
Keywords: None
Views: 224
Comments: 4

By Burak Bekdil of Gatestone Instutute; he is one of Turkey's leading journalists, was recently fired from the country's most noted newspaper after 29 years, for writing what is taking place in Turkey. He is a Fellow at the Middle East Forum.

Summary:

"If we lose Istanbul, we lose Turkey." — Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoan.

It appears that [Interior Minister Süleyman Soylu's] "terrorists" are actually people who are being probed for links with illegal organizations but who have not been prosecuted -- let alone being found guilty by courts.

This kind of intimidation, further victimizing Istanbul Mayor Ekrem 0mamolu in the eyes of the voters, will simply boost his popularity -- and at a time when Erdoan's ratings are plummeting.

Erdoan, it seems, did not want opposition mayors to gain further popularity by helping the poor.

It would be premature to conclude that there will be a historic shift in Turkish politics in 2023. All the same, the reports are real, and so are Erdoan's fears, panic and increasingly reckless governance.

Turkey's secular state establishment was shocked when a young militant Islamist won the mayoral elections in Turkey's biggest city, Istanbul, in 1994. "Who wins Istanbul wins Turkey," Recep Tayyip Erdoan, at that time Istanbul's mayor, would often say. History would prove him right.

Erdoan's tenure as Istanbul's mayor ended when in 1997 when he recited a pro-Islamist poem. "The mosques are our barracks, the domes our helmets, the minarets our bayonets, and the faithful our soldiers" earned him a 10-month prison term for "inciting religious hatred," four of which he served. In 2002, Erdoan's Justice and Development Party (AKP) swept to victory in national elections.

Erdoan has since remained unchallenged, first as Turkey's prime minister and, since 2014, as president. Observers agree that Erdoan's skilfully-crafted image-making as the "victim of an authoritarian, secular regime" helped him to win one election after another. "People saw him as the guy from the other side of the tracks who the system had unjustly punished," Soner Çaaptay, author of Erdoan's Empire, wrote.

Ironically, the man who has become Erdoan's worst nightmare is following a similar path. In March 2019, as the race for municipal elections was barrelling ahead, Islamist parties had controlled Istanbul -- along with Turkey's capital, Ankara -- since 1994. Erdoan's candidate for Istanbul was a big shot: former Prime Minister Binali Y1ld1r1m. The opposition, however -- including social democrats, liberals, some nationalists and Kurds -- united behind Ekrem 0mamolu, then a little-known district mayor in Istanbul.

During the run-up to the election, Erdoan's party officials and trolls launched a smear campaign against 0mamolu. One AKP deputy chair spoke of "many question marks" surrounding 0mamolu's ethno-religious identity, demanding 0mamolu prove "that your spirit, heart and mind is with the Turkish nation." A propaganda machinery started to allege that 0mamolu was a crypto-Greek, and that his supporters were Greeks disguised as Muslims. He was also accused for having links to Kurdish terrorists.

The vote count, on March 31, 2019, proved to be a political fiasco for Erdoan and his seemingly invincible AKP: 0mamolu won by a narrow margin of 13,000 votes (in a city of 18 million people). The AKP-controlled Supreme Election Board ruled for an election rerun on June 23. This time, 0mamolu won by a margin of 800,000 votes, shocking Erdoan and his gigantic party establishment.

Just two years earlier, Erdoan had said, "If we lose Istanbul, we lose Turkey."

Since the restoration of Turkish democracy in 1983, which followed a military coup in 1980, no candidate in Istanbul's mayoral elections had a managed to win with such a majority: 0mamolu won 54% of the votes, compared to 45% for the AKP candidate -- and compared to 25% for Erdoan in the 1994 election.

The election result triggered a campaign of intimidation and hatred against 0mamolu which, paradoxically, has boosted him as a perfect contender against Erdoan for the next presidential elections in 2023.

During the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic, Erdoan launched a national donation campaign, through which wealthier Turks, individuals or businesses, could help poorer Turks. In other words, the Ankara government would collect money from the people to help the people. Unsurprisingly, the campaign collected an embarrassing $245 million in a country of 83 million people -- and most of that came from government-controlled companies.

Parallel to Erdoan's campaign, 0mamolu and Ankara's Mayor Mansur Yava_ launched local campaigns to collect donations to help the poorest in Turkey's two biggest cities. But there was a problem. The government said city councils, according to law, must first obtain permission from the Interior Ministry to launch fundraising initiatives. 0mamolu and Yava_ argued that other government-controlled municipalities were also raising donations to help workers and small business owners who had lost their incomes due to the coronavirus. Yes, the government said, but they had obtained permission whereas Istanbul and Ankara had not. Erdoan, it seems, did not want opposition mayors to gain further popularity by helping the poor.

In 2020, Vak1fbank, a state-owned lender, froze the Istanbul municipality's account after coronavirus donations had reached $130 million. The Interior Ministry launched criminal investigations against the two mayors on charges of illegal fundraising. "Pathetic," was all 0mamolu said. In further shows of ire, the central government in Ankara would also suspend Istanbul municipality's campaign to sell the poorest Turks cheap bread.

In one bizarre episode last year, the Interior Ministry launched an investigation into 0mamolu for "disrespecting Sultan Mehmet II's tomb" -- referring to the Ottoman sultan who conquered Istanbul in 1453. A probe was opened and the mayor of Istanbul was summoned to make a statement. What was the offense? It seems 0mamolu, in a 2020 visit, had walked in the tomb of Sultan Mehmet II with his hands folded behind his own back! Evidence? A photo showing 0mamolu in front of the tomb with his hands folded behind himself. "In my opinion," Interior Minister Süleyman Soylu said, "This [behavior] is an offense."

"I feel so much shame," 0mamolu replied, "on the minister's behalf."

Nevertheless, the Interior Minister is once again on the run to sideline 0mamolu. On December 27, the ministry launched an investigation into hundreds of staff at the Istanbul municipality, accused of links to terrorist groups.

The probe covers 455 people working at the municipality and municipality-owned companies with alleged connections to Kurdish militants, along with more than 100 allegedly linked to banned leftist and other illegal groups.

The municipality protests that none of its employees has a criminal record, based on data provided by the Justice Ministry. Yes, the Interior Ministry admits, that is true. But, it maintains, the "terrorists" are individuals who are being investigated. Turkey has become more ridiculous than a caricature: the Interior Minister does not know that every suspect is innocent until proven guilty? It appears that the minister's "terrorists" are actually people who are being probed for links with illegal organizations but who have not been prosecuted -- let alone being found guilty by courts.

This kind of intimidation, further victimizing 0mamolu in the eyes of the voters, will simply boost his popularity -- and a time when Erdoan's ratings are plummeting.

Surveys by Metropoll Research show Erdoan's approval rating, at 38.6%, is its lowest since 2015. His popularity, they show, trails that of three potential presidential election rivals. A poll by Sosyo Politik Field Research Center put support for Erdoan's AKP at 27%, against 37% who said they voted for the party in the last parliamentary election in 2018. The AKP's nationalist ally in parliament, the MHP, was at 6.3%, down from 7.3% who said they voted for the party in 2018.

Metropoll's most recent research found that the mayors of 0stanbul and Ankara have a comfortable lead over Erdoan for the presidential election. If two candidates were to go head to head in the election, the survey showed, 0mamolu would beat Erdoan by 48.7% to 36.6%.

It would be premature to conclude that there will be a historic shift in Turkish politics in 2023. All the same, the reports are real, and so are Erdoan's fears, panic and increasingly reckless governance.


Poster Comment:

Erdogan has problems. He is unpopular with Kurds due to his equally unpopular war with Kurdistan. Erdogan thinks that he is creating a restored Muslim Caliphate by attacking Syria. And he has ruined the economy with hyperinflation. Nobody can win an election if he is seen as the architect of hyperinflation and an unwinnable war. (1 image)

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#1. To: Horse (#0)

Aren't Turks ugly? I hate Turkey.

_____________________________________________________________

USA! USA! USA! Bringing you democracy, or else! there were strains of VD that were incurable, and they were first found in the Philippines and then transmitted to the Korean working girls via US military. The 'incurables' we were told were first taken back to a military hospital in the Philippines to quietly die. – 4um

NeoconsNailed  posted on  2022-01-30   21:11:25 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: NeoconsNailed (#1)

I remember thinking when I saw this ad ~50 years ago, "What idiot decided that that ugly ad would ever induce somebody to buy Camel cigarettes?"

StraitGate  posted on  2022-01-30   22:17:40 ET  (1 image) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: StraitGate (#2)

Boy, isn't that the truth! They've strategically used a less blatantly Turkish-looking guy but that dark dame in the background looks downright Dravidian.

Among repulsive but once ubiquitous cig campaigns of old were 'Tareyton smokers would rather FIGHT than switch!" (stupid slogan, fake black eyes) and The Marlboro Man -- shameful use of good music, western scenery etc to push cancer sticks. To degrade themselves yet further in the mid-60s admen had had models smiling with their lips goofily curled in.

_____________________________________________________________

USA! USA! USA! Bringing you democracy, or else! there were strains of VD that were incurable, and they were first found in the Philippines and then transmitted to the Korean working girls via US military. The 'incurables' we were told were first taken back to a military hospital in the Philippines to quietly die. – 4um

NeoconsNailed  posted on  2022-01-30   22:31:52 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: StraitGate (#2)

I always thought the Marlboro Man a bit more effective.

“ On some great and glorious day the plain folks of the land will reach their heart's desire at last, and the White House will be adorned by a downright moron. ” ~ H. L. Mencken

Lod  posted on  2022-01-30   22:43:47 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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