By Keith Weiner
Since our last silver article, the price of silver has dropped. With due respect to Frederic Bastiat, the price is the seen. The basis mostly goes unseen. We will take a look at the market data, revised for a few more days of trading.
Warren Buffett, 2008, and the Cobasis
But first, lets look at a chart we have discussed a few times over the years. It shows two ratios: gold basis to silver basis, and gold cobasis to silver cobasis. It shows a measure of golds abundance to silvers abundance, and golds scarcity to silvers scarcity. When the blue line is above 1, it means the gold basis is higher, which means gold is more abundant. When the red line is below, it means gold is less scarce.
Gold and Silver Basis Ratio
The blue line is not merely above 1. It is now above the spike in Oct, 2008. To find a level this high, we have to look as far back as 2006. In other words, 16 years. Before that, 2001. And before that, 1998, when Warren Buffetts Berkshire Hathaway was buying mass quantities of silverafter he drove the price up 73% from about $4.25.