Some clown over at ZH named Esso had this to say...
Hmmm, with Russia losing the war against GayZ so badly, one would think Russia didn't have the time or resources to screw around doing drills with Belarus.
They want to pin down Ukrainian soldiers near Belarus.The main invasion force will be from Russia in two prongs, one on either side of the towns from Kramatorsk down to Pokrovsk which supply he Donbass.