I dont ever make any predictions because I think its silly and pointless for commentators to try to gain credibility by predicting things. However, I do think it is useful, as a trained observer, to lay out potentials and likelihoods.
Ive been saying for a few weeks now that the Ukraine could well be wrapping up in the medium term. Weve had a lot of different little signs of this. Theyre piling up.
The bottom line is: the war is not serving any US interest anymore. They had a shot to destroy the Russian government and they missed. They screwed up the sanctions. Now theyve got a boondoggle with no end in sight that is not significantly hurting Russia, but is draining the resources of the US and the collective US-occupied West.
Wasting resources hasnt typically been a problem, which is why so many in Washington are just saying yeah, whatever. We wasted trillions in Afghanistan for no reason anyone can even theorize, so why not waste them on a war with Russia?
The first difference is, Russia is destroying and capturing heavy equipment, something that the Taliban did not do. The second difference and the most important difference is that the entire Washington establishment is pushing for a war with the Chinese, so these resources are going to be needed elsewhere.
Support among US lawmakers for continuing aid to Ukraine is fairly robust, but as the conflict with Russia drags on and the 2024 election approaches, Washingtons backing for Kiev may waver, Newsweek reported on Wednesday.
Members of Congress increasingly view Ukraine aid as finite, and more and more of their constituents believe the US is giving too much to Kiev, the media outlet said. There has been a decline in the share of Americans who see the war as a direct threat to US national security, University of London professor Rob Singh told Newsweek.
How could anyone stupid enough to believe it was a threat to US national security in the first place ever change their mind?
Who was even making that claim?
All I saw on the media was emotional gibberish about democracy (gay sex).
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