The Ukrainian state is always days away from collapse. That’s why the US has to make these emergency payments so regularly; when the Biden administration transfers something that doesn’t seem like a lot in the scheme of things – a few hundred million dollars – they are doing that to prevent a collapse of the Ukrainian state.
It’s an absolute fact that if the US cut support, the Ukraine would have to sign a peace treaty within days. And it would not be one beneficial to the Ukraine. Basically, in the event that the US cuts the money, Russia is just going to bend Kiev over a barrel.
Russia doesn’t want to rule over these people who speak “Ukraine language.” But they do want Kharkov and Odessa.
A surrender by the Ukraine is going to be an absolute nightmare for them, because everyone is going to realize that if they would have just surrendered the Donbass (or honored the peace deal) and agreed to not join NATO, they could have a lot more territory, a lot more people, and a lot more infrastructure.
Fighting a losing battle for a year and a half is always a really bad idea. “Losing battle” implies “all you can do is lose.”
The losses of the Ukraine are simply unimaginable.
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