The 2024 presidential race increasingly looks like it will be decided by lawyers, not voters, as Democrats unveil plans for America's first lawfare election
The fix is in. To protect democracy, democracy is already being canceled. We just havent admitted the implications of this to ourselves yet.
On Sunday, January 14th, NBC News ran an eye-catching story: Fears grow that Trump will use the military in dictatorial ways if he returns to the White House. It described a loose-knit network of public interest groups and lawmakers that is quietly making plans to foil any efforts to expand presidential power on the part of Donald Trump.
The piece quoted an array of former high-ranking officials, all insisting Trump will misuse the Department of Defense to execute civilian political aims. Since Joe Bidens team leaked a strategy memo in late December listing Trump is an existential threat to democracy as Campaign 2024s central talking point, surrogates have worked overtime to insert existential or democracy in quotes. This was no different:
Were about 30 seconds away from the Armageddon clock when it comes to democracy, said Bill Clintons Secretary of Defense, William Cohen, adding that Trump is a clear and present danger to our democracy. Skye Perryman of Democracy Forward, one of the advocacy groups organizing the loose coalition, said, We believe this is an existential moment for American democracy. Declared former CIA and defense chief Leon Panetta: Like any good dictator, hes going to try to use the military to basically perform his will.
Former Acting Assistant Attorney General for National Security at the U.S. Department of Justice and current visiting Georgetown law professor Mary McCord was one of the few coalition participants quoted by name. She said:
Were already starting to put together a team to think through the most damaging types of things that he [Trump] might do so that were ready to bring lawsuits if we have to.
The group was formed by at least two organizations that have been hyperactive in filing lawsuits against Trump and Trump-related figures over the years: the aforementioned Democracy Forward, chaired by former Perkins Coie and Hillary Clinton campaign attorney Marc Elias, and Protect Democracy, a ubiquitous non-profit run by a phalanx of former Obama administration lawyers like Ian Bassin, and funded at least in part by LinkedIn magnate Reid Hoffman.
The article implied a future Trump presidency will necessitate new forms of external control over the military. It cited Connecticut Senator Richard Blumenthals bill to clarify the Insurrection Act, a 1792 law that empowers the president to deploy the military to quell domestic rebellion. Blumenthals act would add a requirement that Congress or courts ratify presidential decisions to deploy the military at home, seeking essentially to attach a congressional breathalyzer to the presidential steering wheel.
NBCs quotes from former high-ranking defense and intelligence officials about possible preemptive mutiny were interesting on their own. However, the really striking twist was that wed read the story before.
For over a year, the Biden administration and its surrogates have dropped hint after hint that the plan for winning in 2024 against Donald Trump or anyone else might involve something other than voting. Lawsuits in multiple states have been filed to remove Trump from the ballot; primaries have been canceled or invalidated; an ominous Washington Post editorial by Robert Kagan, husband to senior State official Victoria Nuland, read like an APB to assassins to head off an inevitable Trump dictatorship; and on January 11th of this year, leaders of a third party group called No Labels sent an amazing letter to the Department of Justice, complaining of a conspiracy to stop alternative votes.
Authored by former NAACP director Ben Chavis, former Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman, former Director of National Intelligence Dennis Blair, former North Carolina Governor Pat McCrory, and former Assistant U.S. Attorney and Iran-Contra Special Counsel Dan Webb, the No Labels letter described a meeting of multiple advocacy groups aligned with the Democratic party. In the 80-minute confab, audio of which was obtained by Semafor, a dire warning was issued to anyone considering a third-party run:
Through every channel we have, to their donors, their friends, the press, everyone everyone should send the message: If you have one fingernail clipping of a skeleton in your closet, we will find it
If you think you were vetted when you ran for governor, youre insane. That was nothing. We are going to come at you with every gun we can possibly find. We did not do that with Jill Stein or Gary Johnson, we should have, and we will not make that mistake again.
The Semafor piece offered a rare glimpse into the Zoom-politics culture thats dominated Washington since the arrival of Covid-19. If this is how Beltway insiders talk about how to keep Joe Lieberman or Ben Chavis out of politics, imagine what they say about Trump?
We dont have to imagine. Three and a half years ago, in June and July of 2020, an almost exactly similar series of features to the recent NBC story began appearing in media, describing another loose network of bipartisan officials, also meeting quietly to war-game scenarios in case Trump loses and insists he won, as the Washington Post put it.
That group, which called itself the Transition Integrity Project (TIP), involved roughly 100 former officials, think-tankers, and journalists who gathered to wargame contested election scenarios. The loose network included big names like former Michigan governor and current Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm, and former Hillary Clinton campaign chief John Podesta, who in his current role as special advisor to President Joe Biden overseeing the handout of roughly $370 billion in clean energy investments is one of the most powerful people in Washington.
The TIP was hyped like the rollout of a blockbuster horror flick: In a second Trump Term, No One Will Hear You Scream
Stories in NPR, the Financial Times, The Atlantic, The Washington Post and over a dozen other major outlets outlined apocalyptic predictions about Trumps unwillingness to leave office, and how this would likely result in mass unrest, even bloodshed. A typical quote was from TIP co-founder, Georgetown law professor, and former Pentagon official Rosa Brooks, who told the Boston Globe that every one of the groups simulations ended in chaos and violence, because the law is
almost helpless against a president whos willing to ignore it.
Podesta played Joe Biden in one TIP simulation, and in one round refused to accede to a clear Trump win, threatening instead to seize a bloc of West Coast states including California (absurdly dubbed Cascadia) and secede. Podestas frankly ridiculous move, as one TIP participant described it, was so over the top that a player leaked it to media writer Ben Smith of the New York Times.