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Israel/Zionism See other Israel/Zionism Articles Title: My Reply to David Martin on the Israel-Iran Conflict 1) Iran has held back on their 35 or so SU-35s. Might be waiting to use them at just the right time. Maybe, to take down those B2 bombers and their Bunker Busters. 2) The Iran-Iraq war lasted 8 years and took a million lives so there is a low probability of a quick knock out blow working. Only 16% of the American public support the war. Suppose Iran shuts down the Straits of Hormuz, doubling the price of gas at the pump? How long can the US last? 3) China has sent 2 Intelligence ships to the Persian Gulf. China is supplying Iran with planeloads of weapons. China just recently announced a 6G device to scramble an F-35's radar. 4) China has been busy diplomatically in the region. They did ask Oman to deny air apace to American missiles and jets. Maybe hinting how vulnerable they would be to Iran's missiles. This could push the US Navy more directly south of the Persian Gulf rather than off to the west. 5) Russia gave Iran the Mach 9 Zircon cruise missile which has a range of 1,000 kilometers (620 miles.) Iran has 25 submarines and some North Korean mini-subs. They could launch Zircon cruise missiles at the US Navy parked even more than 1,000 kilometers distant from Iran. 6) If the B2 Bunker Buster stunt fails, the price of gas doubles at the pump and investors overseas conclude Trump is a loser, then the economy and the public could force an end to an unpopular war. 7) Sharmine Narwani of The Cradle said on X that Iran's bottom line is that Netanyahu must go. 8) Israel only has enough air defenses to last a week, but Iran can keep this up for a month or more. Iran has been deliberately inflicting only low levels of pain on Israel. They could easily take out Israel's second oil refinery and gradually shift to taking out Israel's electrical generation capacity. So, in a month Israelis could be riding bicycles in the dark. This slow approach could force both US and Israeli politicians to push Netanyahu out the door. Israel has been forced to take Jets and helicopters away from their operations in Gaza to defend Israel from incoming missiles and drones. This is in addition to their jets making bombing runs on Iran. Two major units had to be pulled from Gaza to work pulling Israelis out of the rubble in major cities. This has allowed Hamas to step up their operations on the remaining IDF forces. The IDF does not like this continued occupation duty as it is hazardous both physically and mentally. I hope this conflict does end sooner rather than later. Poster Comment: This started as an email to David Martin, but it grew so I decided to post it at my blog. Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread
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