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Title: Key study of global warming prepared
Source:
San Diego Union Tribune
URL Source: http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/ ... /20070128-9999-1m28report.html
Published: Jan 28, 2007
Author: Bruce Lieberman, UNION-TRIBUNE STAFF WRI
Post Date: 2007-01-28 15:34:28 by robin
Keywords: None
Views: 74
Comments: 4
By Bruce Lieberman January 28, 2007 Veerabhadran Ramanathan doubted for years that greenhouse gases from the burning of fossil fuels were warming the planet. No longer. “The (scientific) community has come around, not because of anything intangible. It's just that the data is so overpowering,” said Ramanathan, a climate scientist at UC San Diego's Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla. Researchers are more confident than ever about the causes of global warming, how they're changing Earth and what might be in store as the heat-up continues. Their confidence is reflected in a landmark document to be announced Friday in Paris. The “Fourth Assessment Report: Climate Change 2007,” is expected to shape discussions of global warming for years to come – from national capitals, statehouses and city councils to university lecture halls, corporate board rooms and media outlets everywhere. The report originates from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC. Ramanathan and three of his colleagues, Richard Somerville and Lynne Talley at the Scripps Institution and Mario Molina at the University of California San Diego, contributed to “Fourth Assessment.” “I am hoping it will have a huge impact on nations, including ours,” Ramanathan said. “It's the platinum standard of scientific opinion on what's happening to the Earth's climate,” said Talley, an expert on ocean circulation. Since the IPCC was formed in 1988 by the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environment Programme, it has issued checkups on the planet every six years. Over the past century, the globe has warmed about 1.5 degrees Fahrenheit. In 2001, the IPCC estimated that average temperatures worldwide could increase an additional 2.5 to 10.4 degrees by 2100, depending on the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Meanwhile, sea levels could rise between 4 and 35 inches by 2100. Both projections are expected to be refined in the new report. Several scientists associated with the document said they couldn't discuss the latest estimates until Friday. But some media reports have quoted early drafts of the report as indicating a rise in global temperatures of 3.6 to 8.1 degrees this century, with an increase of about 5.4 degrees most likely. “There's always uncertainties (and) there's always more to be learned, but the big picture is more and more solid,” said Somerville, who is in Paris this week with Molina for the announcement. Warming is expected to get more severe, Somerville said, unless “the world makes a serious effort to drastically reduce the emissions of these gases and stabilize the concentrations of them in the atmosphere.” As heat records break, more Arctic ice melts during the summer, and sea levels rise, scientists say a handful of milestones in recent years have silenced many skeptics of climate change. One was a federal government report that reanalyzed satellite data and found that the atmosphere up to 32,000 feet is, in fact, warming. The finding settled a 15-year debate over what the data indicated, and validated computer models that scientists use to forecast continued warming. Another development was the completion of a major study by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association and the Scripps Institution. The report concluded that the oceans are getting warmer as far down as 3,280 feet below the surface. “Now we know that the atmospheric blanket, the oceans, everything is warming,” Ramanathan said. The four San Diego scientists are among 3,750 researchers who reviewed or helped write “Fourth Assessment,” which is made up of four volumes. The colossal effort drew on climate-change experts from more than 130 countries and took six years to complete. The first volume, a 12-page summary of the latest science on global warming, is scheduled for publication Friday. Later this year, the IPCC will release the full science volume, a third volume that discusses how people can adapt to warming and a fourth on ways to reduce greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. San Diego's four scientists contributed to the volume on climate science. The new IPCC report is coming at a time in the United States when there's unprecedented awareness of global warming and its connection to the burning of fossil fuels. Films, movies, documentaries, books, news articles and TV shows all have tackled the issue. The Supreme Court is deciding whether the federal government should regulate carbon dioxide as an air pollutant under the Clean Air Act. Congress and President Bush are talking about the need to cut greenhouse gases. A year and a half ago, the ferocity of Hurricane Katrina prompted many people to suspect that warmer temperatures might be causing more extreme weather. Last year was the warmest in the contiguous United States in more than a century. The past nine years have been among the 25 warmest years on record. “I think all these things have probably prepared the public and made people more receptive and more interested in this report,” Somerville said. “Fourth Assessment” is actually a synthesis of what scientists know about the climate. Researchers hope its comprehensiveness will provide a fuller picture of global warming. “The bottom line is that the evidence is getting stronger with time, and this report will document that,” Molina said. The science volume includes two new chapters, one that addresses the effects of warming and increasing concentrations of carbon dioxide in the world's oceans, and one that looks at the effects of global warming in specific regions, Talley said. It has been exceedingly difficult for scientists to give reliable estimates of how global warming might change the climate on regional scales – in Southern California, for example. The report is expected to discuss the challenges of drawing connections between global climate shifts and regional ones. “Fourth Assessment” also will address the interplay between warming caused by carbon dioxide emissions and cooling by tiny pollutants called aerosols. In southeast Asia and other parts of the world, aerosol air pollution is so severe that it has dimmed sunlight and masked the effects of global warming. Among the aerosols that cause cooling are sulfates, produced by coal combustion; nitrates, which come from cars; and volatile organic carbons, which come from car emissions as well as barbecues. In 2001, Ramanathan published a report estimating that aerosol pollution in the global atmosphere is preventing Earth from warming up an additional 1.5 degrees Fahrenheit. As aerosol pollution is cleared from the air, “we would get to see what the real nature of this greenhouse (gas) beast is,” Ramanathan said. Few things manage to surprise Ramanathan, he said, “but the rate at how the planet is changing is just incredible. . . . I think this IPCC (report) – you can't find a better summary or a better synthesis of information about the planet.” Poster Comment:Scripps, UCSD scholars contribute to document
UNION-TRIBUNE STAFF WRITER 
Bruce Lieberman: (619) 293-2836; bruce.lieberman@uniontrib.com
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#1. To: Ferret Mike, Indrid Cold (#0)
one ringy dingy
The moral and constitutional obligations of our representatives in Washington are to protect our liberty, not coddle the world, precipitating no-win wars, while bringing bankruptcy and economic turmoil to our people. ~Ron Paul
Science, in the absence of prospective predictions that can be tested, is just gussied-up soothsaying.
So I saw Disney on Ice. Should I make anything of the fact that Mulan gave a brief introduction to the dialectic, and Cinderella appeared in a gilded cage?
The new IPCC report is coming at a time in the United States when there's unprecedented awareness of global warming and its connection to the burning of fossil fuels. Films, movies, documentaries, books, news articles and TV shows all have tackled the issue. The Supreme Court is deciding whether the federal government should regulate carbon dioxide as an air pollutant under the Clean Air Act. Congress and President Bush are talking about the need to cut greenhouse gases. A year and a half ago, the ferocity of Hurricane Katrina prompted many people to suspect that warmer temperatures might be causing more extreme weather. Last year was the warmest in the contiguous United States in more than a century. The past nine years have been among the 25 warmest years on record. “I think all these things have probably prepared the public and made people more receptive and more interested in this report,” Somerville said. sure....thesis, antithesis, synthesis. Katrina and global warming are an inside job: http://www.illuminati- news.com/disasters.htm http://www.illuminati-news.com/hurricane-katrina.htm HAARP THE MILITARY'S PANDORA'S BOX =============================== I'm not buying their propaganda...their words precede them.... "...The only hope for the world is to make sure there is not another United States. We can't let other countries have the same number of cars, the amount of industrialization, we have in the U.S. We have to stop these Third World countries right where they are. And it is important to the rest of the world to make sure that they don't suffer economically by virtue of our stopping them." - Michael Oppenheimer, Environmental Defense Fund "The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule." - H.L. Mencken "Protecting the environment is a ruse. The goal is the political and economic subjugation of most men by the few, under the guise of preserving nature." - J.H. Robbins "Global sustainability requires: the deliberate quest of poverty....reduced resource consumption...and set levels of mortality control." - Professor Maurice King "The environmentalist's dream is an Egalitarian society based on rejection of economic growth, a smaller population, eating lower on the food chain, consuming a lot less, and sharing a much lower level of resources much more equally." - Aaron Wildavsky **** "A global climate treaty must be implemented even if there is no scientific evidence to back the greenhouse effect." - Richard Benedict, State Dept./Conservation Foundation "The secret to David McTaggart's(early officer in Greenpeace) success is the secret to Greenpeace's success: It doesn't matter what is true...it only matters what people believe is true...You are what the media define you to be. Greenpeace became a myth, and a myth-generating machine." - Paul Watson, co-founder of Greenpeace. "Complex technology of any sort is an assault on human dignity. It would be little short of disastrous for us to discover the source of clean, cheap, abundant energy, because of what we might do with it." - Amory Lovins, Rocky Mountain Institute **** "We've got to ride the global warming issue. Even if the theory of global warming is wrong, we will be doing the right thing--in terms of economic policy and environmental policy." - Timothy Wirth, former U.S. Senator(D- Colorado) "I suspect that the politicians and businessmen who are jumping on the environmental bandwagon don't have the slightest idea of what they are getting into. They are talking about emission control devices on automobiles, while we are talking about bans on automobiles." - Dennis Hayes, Eart Day Agenda "If I were reincarnated, I would wish to be returned to Earth as a killer virus to lower human population levels." - Prince Phillip, World Wildlife Fund "This is a political game. It has nothing to do with science. It has nothing to do with health and safety." - Sherry Neddick, Greenpeace ======================== PRINCE CHARLES, THE "SUSTAINABLE" PRINCE Prince Charles was here this weekend, to receive an environmental award, and to push the NWO environmental agenda. blast from the past, Joan Veon on Prince Charles, and "his" agenda: "....The Bush Administration put forth a World Summit Vision Statement that said in part We believe sustainable development begins at home and is supported by effective domestic policies and international partnerships. We recognize poverty remains a global problem of huge proportions that demands our action. To fulfill its commitment, our government is spending $970 million over three years which will be used to leverage private monies to generate more than $1.6B for water-related and other activities globally. Projects included: Clean Energy, an Initiative to Cut Hunger, sustainable forest management and monies to help fight AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria. The centerpiece of Johannesburg was the launching of "International Sustainable Development Law" that will govern the implementation and legal rights of sustainable development. This new discipline is based on poverty alleviation and the rights of the marginalized (socialistic transfer of wealth mechanisms). Over 150 environmental lawyers and those from other related disciplines met in Durban, South Africa a week before to discuss the integration of environmental, economic, and social laws into one new discipline. There were policy papers put forth which they hoped would be used as the framework for a Treaty on International Sustainable Development Law. Their actions reaffirmed Chapter 39 of Agenda 21 which recognizes the need to continue progressive development and codification of international law related to sustainable development. It should be noted that these laws will be incorporated into every local and national level of law worldwide. For those of us with Christian values, this is the anti-thesis of what we believe for sustainable development is pagan. It perverts Genesis 1, 2, and 3 in that it puts the earth as being dominant over man and not man as having dominance over the earth-hence, you and I have no value since we have been demoted to the same value as an animal or plant. So what do you think is the end result of international sustainable development law? ***** Enslavement. Now who were THE players behind the birthing of sustainable development? To my surprise, it was Prince Charles. Not happy with the Christian faith, Charles turned to "para- psychology" which some define as "dabbling in the occult." He was greatly influenced by the South African-born writer, explorer, and mystic Laurens van der Post who was a friend of his grandmother, the Queen Mother. The prince was also influenced by James Lovelock, a British scientist who formulated the "Gaia hypothesis, which today is known as the worship of the earth, a belief based on the Greek goddess Gaia, the Earth Mother. Charles concurs with the perversion of Genesis 1, 2, and 3. Most people will not find Prince Charles or his environmental activities in the headlines of major newspapers. Nor do his biographies really explain his involvement, as there is basically a blackout on what he is really doing worldwide. In April 1991, fourteen months before UNCED, the Prince held a private two day international conference aboard the royal yacht Britannia, moored off the coast of Brazil. His goal was to bring together key international figures in an attempt to achieve a degree of harmony between the various countries that would happen at the Rio Earth Summit. **** Then Senator AL GORE was present, along with senior officials from the ***** World Bank, chief executives from companies such as Shell and British Petroleum, the key NGO's, and other officials. Several years ago, I had the opportunity to interview Maurice Strong and specifically asked him about this meeting. He told me he was in London at a World Wildlife meeting hosted by Prince Philip and was asked by Prince Charles to accompany him to Rio for the April 1991 meeting. Furthermore, in 1990 when sustainable development had just been formulated by the Brundtland Commission, it was the prince who commended them for "bringing the term 'sustainable development' into everyone's vocabulary." As sustainable development has evolved to the point where the teaching of Agenda 21 is called "Earth Sciences" in schools, universities, and colleges, our government has instituted Agenda 21 through the Presidents Commission on Sustainable Development. Throughout the U.S., there are cities that have adopted Agenda 21 and there are those that are now sustainable, such as "Sustainable Racine." We must remember Russia did not fall to the communists all at once-it was city by city. I wrote Prince Charles the Sustainable Prince in 1997 with major updates in 1998 and 2000. It is key and relevant for those who want to understand what is happening today. At every turn the Prince is still involved in the affairs of the United Nations, sustainable development, and public-private partnership. The Prince's representatives are to be found at all the key global meetings, expounding and advancing this life changing philosophy. Perhaps we should wonder why the world still follows him and carries out his dictates........." SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, AGENDA 21 AND PRINCE CHARLES http://www.newswithviews.com /Veon/joan19.htm "Christianity is our foe. If animal rights is to succeed, we must destroy the Judeo-Christian Religious tradition." - Peter Singer, the father of Animal Rights
I forgot to mention, if Charlie would close some of his mansions, Bush would stop bombing everything that moves in the Middle East, and these talking heads would stop yapping, that might cut down on a lot of global warming.
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