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Title: Cheney Attempting to Constrain Bush's Choices on Iran Conflict: Staff Engaged in Insubordination Against President Bush
Source: Huffington Post
URL Source: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/steve ... ttempting-to-cons_b_49237.html
Published: May 24, 2007
Author: Steve Clemons
Post Date: 2007-05-24 15:08:07 by aristeides
Keywords: None
Views: 112
Comments: 7

Cheney Attempting to Constrain Bush's Choices on Iran Conflict: Staff Engaged in Insubordination Against President Bush

There is a race currently underway between different flanks of the administration to determine the future course of US-Iran policy.

On one flank are the diplomats, and on the other is Vice President Cheney's team and acolytes -- who populate quite a wide swath throughout the American national security bureaucracy.

The Pentagon and the Intelligence establishment are providing support to add muscle and nuance to the diplomatic effort led by Condi Rice, her deputy John Negroponte, Under Secretary of State R. Nicholas Burns, and Legal Adviser John Bellinger. The support that Director of National Intelligence Mike McConnell, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, and CIA Director Michael Hayden are providing Rice's efforts are a complete, 180 degree contrast to the dysfunction that characterized relations between these institutions before the recent reshuffle of top personnel.

However, the Department of Defense and national intelligence sector are also preparing for hot conflict. They believe that they need to in order to convince Iran's various power centers that the military option does exist.

But this is worrisome. The person in the Bush administration who most wants a hot conflict with Iran is Vice President Cheney. The person in Iran who most wants a conflict is Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Iran's Revolutionary Guard Quds Force would be big winners in a conflict as well -- as the political support that both have inside Iran has been flagging.

Multiple sources have reported that a senior aide on Vice President Cheney's national security team has been meeting with policy hands of the American Enterprise Institute, one other think tank, and more than one national security consulting house and explicitly stating that Vice President Cheney does not support President Bush's tack towards Condoleezza Rice's diplomatic efforts and fears that the President is taking diplomacy with Iran too seriously.

This White House official has stated to several Washington insiders that Cheney is planning to deploy an "end run strategy" around the President if he and his team lose the policy argument.

The thinking on Cheney's team is to collude with Israel, nudging Israel at some key moment in the ongoing standoff between Iran's nuclear activities and international frustration over this to mount a small-scale conventional strike against Natanz using cruise missiles (i.e., not ballistic missiles).

This strategy would sidestep controversies over bomber aircraft and overflight rights over other Middle East nations and could be expected to trigger a sufficient Iranian counter-strike against US forces in the Gulf -- which just became significantly larger -- as to compel Bush to forgo the diplomatic track that the administration realists are advocating and engage in another war.

There are many other components of the complex game plan that this Cheney official has been kicking around Washington. The official has offered this commentary to senior staff at AEI and in lunch and dinner gatherings which were to be considered strictly off-the-record, but there can be little doubt that the official actually hopes that hawkish conservatives and neoconservatives share this information and then rally to this point of view. This official is beating the brush and doing what Joshua Muravchik has previously suggested -- which is to help establish the policy and political pathway to bombing Iran.

The zinger of this information is the admission by this Cheney aide that Cheney himself is frustrated with President Bush and believes, much like Richard Perle, that Bush is making a disastrous mistake by aligning himself with the policy course that Condoleezza Rice, Bob Gates, Michael Hayden and McConnell have sculpted.

According to this official, Cheney believes that Bush can not be counted on to make the "right decision" when it comes to dealing with Iran and thus Cheney believes that he must tie the President's hands.

On Tuesday evening, i spoke with a former top national intelligence official in this Bush administration who told me that what I was investigating and planned to report on regarding Cheney and the commentary of his aide was "potentially criminal insubordination" against the President. I don't believe that the White House would take official action against Cheney for this agenda-mongering around Washington -- but I do believe that the White House must either shut Cheney and his team down and give them all garden view offices so that they can spend their days staring out their windows with not much to do or expect some to begin to think that Bush has no control over his Vice President.

It is not that Cheney wants to bomb Iran and Bush doesn't, it is that Cheney is saying that Bush is making a mistake and thus needs to have the choices before him narrowed.

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#1. To: aristeides (#0)

The person in the Bush administration who most wants a hot conflict with Iran is Vice President Cheney. The person in Iran who most wants a conflict is Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Iran's Revolutionary Guard Quds Force would be big winners in a conflict as well -- as the political support that both have inside Iran has been flagging.

I suppose it's good news that Cheney is unsure of Bush in this process.

"Guard against the impostures of pretended patriotism." ~George Washington

robin  posted on  2007-05-24   15:18:40 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: aristeides (#0)

Notice how all this Iran talk went away when the Dems were going to put Bush on a short leash in Iraq?

Notice that it comes back stronger than ever when the Dems go wobbly and wimp out?

What better way for Bush to get the the Iraqi failure off his hands then to bury it behind the new war in Iran? If a carrier or two gets sunk, Bush might even manage to bring back the good old days when people who questioned Bush's competence had their patriotism questioned by some goob fooler on Fox News.

.

...  posted on  2007-05-24   15:21:49 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: aristeides (#0)

According to this official, Cheney believes that Bush can not be counted on to make the "right decision"

I feel a little better knowing that Cheney is not a complete idiot. An evil sociopath perhaps, but at least an evil sociopath that operates in reality.

.

...  posted on  2007-05-24   15:23:27 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: ... (#2)

Notice that it comes back stronger than ever when the Dems go wobbly and wimp out?

one might conclude that that was the plan...

christine  posted on  2007-05-24   15:39:28 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: christine (#4)

Never blame a conspiracy when cowardice, self dealing and incompentence can explain it all.

.

...  posted on  2007-05-24   15:40:52 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: ... (#3)

I feel a little better knowing that Cheney is not a complete idiot. An evil sociopath perhaps, but at least an evil sociopath that operates in reality.

His reality is so twisted, it can't really be called reality; not one that you and I would want to get to know.

I'm wondering if pinning it all on Cheney is just a convenience, to get us to look away from the real source. I mean, he's not well, he must be on his way out soon (not soon enough).

"Guard against the impostures of pretended patriotism." ~George Washington

robin  posted on  2007-05-24   15:49:57 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: ..., christine (#5)

Never blame a conspiracy when cowardice, self dealing and incompentence can explain it all.

I fail to see how this statement can be made when everything they do seems to work just fine..... for them. No matter what anyone says, or thinks about doing, they just keep rolling along; ergo, they must have some hidden plan that has been and is being implemented. By definition, that would be a conspiracy.

The Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.

richard9151  posted on  2007-05-24   17:19:01 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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