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Title: Iowa Republicans See Romney As Straw Poll Winner
Source:
realclearpolitics
URL Source: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ar ... publicans_see_romney_as_1.html
Published: Aug 6, 2007
Author: Reid Wilson
Post Date: 2007-08-06 13:02:38 by Eoghan
Keywords: None
Views: 124
Comments: 6
With a week to go before the Iowa Republican Party's critical straw poll, an informal survey of Iowa Republican Party leaders, conducted by Real Clear Politics, shows high expectations for former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. Those high expectations of local party leaders could be a huge benefit, if Romney meets them, or a painful negative should he fail. The numbers, and the expectations for all the candidates, show a race that could dramatically change on Saturday. Of the 30 Republican officials - representing county parties around the state and the party's Central Committee - who responded to the survey via email, 93% picked Romney to win in Ames. Many saw his commitment to the state as indicative that he will prevail next Saturday; the same percentage said it was Romney whose campaign had the most visible presence in their locations. Poll participants were asked to predict the top five finishers at the straw poll, and answers were ranked in order. A first place vote was worth five points, a second place vote was worth four points, et cetera, meaning 150 points was the maximum one candidate could achieve. Romney scored 144 points out of 150 possible. Colorado Congressman Tom Tancredo, who, according to an ABC/WP poll of Iowa voters, is the top choice of 5% of likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers, finished a distant second, with 59 points. Tancredo, though, led national front-runners Rudy Giuliani, who finished third with 55 points, and Fred Thompson, who finished sixth with 41 points. Neither Giuliani nor Thompson are actively participating in the straw poll. Tancredo's second-place finish, if that lead holds on Saturday, would be a massive coup for a campaign driven largely by the congressman's views on illegal immigration and the war on terror. 20% of respondents, a slight plurality, said Tancredo had the most to gain at the poll, and that his performance would improve his standings in national polls. Aside from Romney, Tancredo was the only candidate to receive any first-place votes. Perhaps unsurprisingly, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, a libertarian in the truest sense of the word, did not receive a single vote in the poll. The lone anti-war voice on the GOP stage, Paul would be unlikely to earn support, or even notice, of people involved in Republican circles enough to be an elected board member. Poster Comment: They're going to have a tougher time rigging the actual Straw Poll. A big independent streak in Iowans...
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#2. To: Eoghan (#0)
That is the funniest fucking sentence I've read this month. Let me tell you about Iowans. They're socialist democrats through and through. They are SOOOOO NOT independent minded. I promise you, the straw poll will reflect who the powers that be want it to, and it sure as hell won't be Ron Paul. Anything that smacks of self-reliance, self-respect, dignity, responsibility, sounds good, until the powers that be in the state legislature find out that it would mean paying their own bills, and spending their own money. Then all of a sudden they cry poverty and reach out to the new candidate that's going to give them whatever they want. A Return to Constitutional governance, would mean states like Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, all those bread basket states would stop paying farmers not to grow crops. It would mean the end of the gravy train and I can tell you from experience, they will not stand for that.
You can argue with them Tommy, http://iowansforronpaul2008.blogspot.com/. We didn't call anyone over 45 on the Call Iowa campaign. You must be thinking of the old coots...this election really isn't "for" them. We called the younger people.
#5. To: All (#4)
Strong Supporters of Ron Paul in Des Moines
Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/LatestThey're going to have a tougher time rigging the actual Straw Poll. A big independent streak in Iowans...
#4. To: TommyTheMadArtist (#2)
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