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All is Vanity
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Title: Guessing Contest: Will Bush Bomb Iran? When?
Source: Me
URL Source: [None]
Published: Oct 27, 2007
Author: Me, Me, Me
Post Date: 2007-10-27 08:41:49 by a vast rightwing conspirator
Keywords: None
Views: 365
Comments: 11

Last year, I predicted publicly that nothing significant was going to happen this year, as far as our (police) state affairs were concerned. It turns out that I was correct. The pre-existing trends kept trending as before but we didn't run into a catastrophe yet. The US didn't attack Iran, the Chinese didn't take over Taiwan and the US didn't go bankrupt yet. The housing industry and the mortgage lenders are going through a crisis but, if you have $100 in your pocket, that will NOT buy you a luxury mansion, not even a condo except maybe in the South Bronx. The oil price continues to rise but we don't have a world-wide recession yet.

Now, for predictions: will Bush attack Iran in 2008 and, if yes, when and how?

Last year, I didn't think that this was likely during W's twilight in the office. I mistakenly expected that the Demo congress would turn Bush into an impotent fool but they didn't and they seem willing to support whatever bandit actions Bush would take in support of Israel.

I believe that Bush how has a plan to attack Iran. I also do not expect Bush to attack Iran before April or May. Bush, as demented as he is, does understand that attacking Iran would make oil nearly unaffordable for a long time. It may also trigger a global recession if not WW3 (or WW4 or WW5 if you are to accept the neocon count of world wars). Bush understands that he would be in big trouble if Americans freeze to death while his bombers are blowing up cute Iranian babies.

Bush's window is April through January 2009 but he won't be risking it all in January 09 so we have a 9-months window for Bush's action. My crystal ball is a bit foggy on when Bush is going to make his move. I would define three periods: after the Nov. 2008 election, immediately before the election and the prior to 'immediately before the election'. An 'after-election' has some political advantages but it doesn't give Bush much time. It has the advantage of giving his successor no choice but to 'finish the job' that Bush started. Attacking immediately before the election may be a gamble to boost the GOPs, if it's timed properly. Earlier than that would give Bush's more time to try to pull Iran back farther into the stone age. My prediction is that Bush will do something, after April but don't know when. I don't know if Bush has a project plan with dates on it either.

On 'what' will Bush do, Bush could consider 2 options: either attack Iran in a way that pleases Israel but doesn't provoke Iran into a total war mode or attempt to thoroughly destroy the country and trigger regime change. It is possible that it may start as 'number one' but, to Bush's surprise (but not Cheney's) may end up as 'number two' (as in the s__t hitting the fan) with possible 'defensive' arms airlifts to Tehran from Russia, China going for Taiwan, Venezuela leading an oil embargo, Turkey invading Iraq from the North, the Paki pro-US regime falling and who knows what going on in and around Israel.

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#1. To: a vast rightwing conspirator (#0)

Join the Ron Paul Revolution

Lod  posted on  2007-10-27   8:51:13 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: a vast rightwing conspirator (#0)

Did it ever occur to you that without public and other external pressure these thing might well have come to pass? Public awareness to possible evil, thwarts many crimes, locally and globally.

Ron Paul for President - Join a Ron Paul Meetup group today!

robin  posted on  2007-10-27   9:11:37 ET  (1 image) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: robin (#2)

It's a good picture but I can't see the real puppet masters there.

Antiparty - find out why, think about 'how'

a vast rightwing conspirator  posted on  2007-10-27   9:19:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: a vast rightwing conspirator (#0)

Bush understands that he would be in big trouble if Americans freeze to death while his bombers are blowing up cute Iranian babies.

he may understand, but does he care? I definitely think he's going to do something, because after all the taunting and saber-rattling, doing nothing would look like weakness in his pseudo-cowboy brain. diplomacy looks like weakness to that mindset too, and he's no diplomat anyway. I have to think sooner rather than later, although I'm sure the tools for war profit after leaving office have been put in place. but then someone else would get to be commander-guy (or gal). what's the fun in that?

kiki  posted on  2007-10-27   15:59:46 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: kiki (#4)

One factor I did not consider is the Putin reaction. The more time passes, the louder and more 'to the point' Putin gets. As most cowardly bullies, Bush is known to back down when his intended victim appears able and willing to fight back - see North Korea or Red China. Given enough time, Putin might make some very specific statements on what he might do if Bush attacks Iran and that might stop Bush.

Antiparty - find out why, think about 'how'

a vast rightwing conspirator  posted on  2007-10-27   16:16:19 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: a vast rightwing conspirator (#0)

Bush will bomb- but it will be in July- summer- when Americans are on the beaches doing crosswords and reading trashy magazines.

And it won't be a big bombing campaign. A couple of bunker busters- a couple research sites- with casualties (which we never ever see in our media) being the usual couple hundred of nameless faceless turd worlders we give no thought about whatsoever . . . and then . . . nothing.

Iran may retaliate in some manner immediately but they won't be able to use the initial retaliation as an excuse for general war. They will wait . . . wait for Americans to forget Iran was bombed by the US- and wait 6 months to a year down the road when Iran attacks again or attempts to attack again. Then- that will be the excuse for war- Iran's "unprovoked" attack on us a few months after we bombed them for no reason- that no Merican will remember.

The Daily Burkeman1

Burkeman1  posted on  2007-10-27   16:20:14 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: a vast rightwing conspirator (#0)

At the rate the dollar is falling, and how much it's costing the taxpayers of this country to live, there will be no war with Iran, because the people won't be able to pay the price.

After Hillary Ascends, you can better believe her rapist husband will be running the United Nations, and there will be peace folks. Peace until someone gets their panties in a twist to make Armageddon a reality.

I cannot abide how people think that we have any semblance of a government by the people and for the people. I know America has gone insane, because it keeps voting for the same traitors time and again, they always seem to expect a different outcome.

HAHAHHAHHAHHAHHAHAHAHA

Dying for old bastards, and their old money, isn't my idea of freedom.

TommyTheMadArtist  posted on  2007-10-27   16:29:01 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: a vast rightwing conspirator (#0)

Maybe Israel will claim some reason to retaliate (attack) against Iran and America will be invited to assist.

"The mighty are only mighty because we are on our knees. Let us rise!" --Camille Desmoulins

noone222  posted on  2007-10-27   16:41:07 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: a vast rightwing conspirator (#5)

putin opposed the iraq invasion too. I remember him saying the last thing the middle east needed was more violence. but I guess he wasn't as outspoken those days and bush was riding a bizarre wave of popularity, in some circles anyway. putin's words may very well carry more weight this time around, who knows? I just keep thinking bush has got nothing to lose by attacking, whereas his tough- guy image will suffer by not. it's never been about what's best for our country or any other, or indeed the world.

kiki  posted on  2007-10-27   16:42:11 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: kiki. the thread (#9)

war is a racket, bump

Join the Ron Paul Revolution

Lod  posted on  2007-10-27   17:08:26 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: a vast rightwing conspirator (#0)

After Christmas 2007 and before the onset of the primaries in January, 2008.

Bush wants to switch the dialogue from staying in Iraq to a whole new dialogue about stopping Iran's nuclear ambitions.

Paul Revere  posted on  2007-10-27   17:44:24 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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