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Title: Inside Information from Iowa
Source: Daily Kos
URL Source: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/1/3/15279/86688/333/429876
Published: Jan 3, 2008
Author: "hegemony57"
Post Date: 2008-01-03 15:56:13 by aristeides
Keywords: None
Views: 620
Comments: 44

Inside Information from Iowa

by hegemony57 [Subscribe]
Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 12:31:25 PM PST

Internal polling within the campaigns has pointed to an emerging consensus.

No matter what the campaigns are saying publicly, it appears that the order of finish tonight will be be:

1. Obama

2. Edwards

3. Clinton

I don't have information on numbers but this information has been confirmed by reliable sources within 2 campaigns.

Post Comment   Private Reply   Ignore Thread  


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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 15.

#4. To: aristeides (#0)

The latest I heard on the Republican side was this:

1) Huckabee
2) Romney
3) Paul
4) McCain

We'll know for certain tonite.

mirage  posted on  2008-01-03   16:13:44 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: mirage (#4)

The latest I heard on the Republican side was this:

1) Huckabee 2) Romney 3) Paul

God, I hope that you heard 'wrong.'

Who the ***k would vote for Huck?

Lod  posted on  2008-01-03   16:19:32 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: lodwick (#6)

Who the ***k would vote for Huck?

His band played at the FReaker Inauguration Ball in January 2001, and yes, I attended. He's quite a polished communicator and candidate these days.

I was thinking that no congressman or senator has been elected to the presidency in about 40 years or more (I think). Sitting governors usually do quite well in presidential elections.

Fred Mertz  posted on  2008-01-03   16:24:02 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: Fred Mertz (#8)

I was thinking that no congressman or senator has been elected to the presidency in about 40 years or more (I think).

that got me interested - I looked it up and warren harding and jfk are the only 2 senators to be elected directly from the senate to the presidency, and james garfield is the only house member to do the same. 13 others were elected after having previously served in the senate, and I couldn't find the number for reps.

you are correct - 47 years to be precise.

yesterday I driving behind a really old cadillac that had a 'kennedy-johnson' bumper sticker. that car's been on the road for a long time!

kiki  posted on  2008-01-03   16:42:32 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: kiki, Fred Mertz (#13)

Fred Mertz: I was thinking that no congressman or senator has been elected to the presidency in about 40 years or more (I think).

kiki: that got me interested - I looked it up and warren harding and jfk are the only 2 senators to be elected directly from the senate to the presidency, and james garfield is the only house member to do the same. 13 others were elected after having previously served in the senate, and I couldn't find the number for reps.

You guys are both correct. Governors have a significant statistical advantage of being propelled into the Oval Office.

I guess the theory about why this happens is because Prez candidates who are Governors or former Governors will promote the analogy of Governor = manager of all operations of a state much like President = manager of all operations of a nation. Evidently voters have believed this pitch in previous Prez elections.

scrapper2  posted on  2008-01-03   16:52:06 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 15.

#36. To: scrapper2, lodwick (#15)

I guess the theory about why this happens is because Prez candidates who are Governors or former Governors will promote the analogy of Governor = manager of all operations of a state much like President = manager of all operations of a nation. Evidently voters have believed this pitch in previous Prez elections.

I also think lodwick's comment above is valid - nobody outside their state knows much about them. and if those in their state don't like them, they'll probably keep quiet about it in order to get rid of them.

kiki  posted on  2008-01-03 18:19:43 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 15.

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