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Title: Br-r-r! Where did global warming go?
Source: Boston Globe
URL Source: http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/e ... r_where_did_global_warming_go/
Published: Jan 6, 2008
Author: Jeff Jacoby
Post Date: 2008-01-06 20:34:22 by farmfriend
Ping List: *Agriculture-Environment*     Subscribe to *Agriculture-Environment*
Keywords: None
Views: 1218
Comments: 86

Br-r-r! Where did global warming go?

By Jeff Jacoby
Globe Columnist / January 6, 2008

THE STARK headline appeared just over a year ago. "2007 to be 'warmest on record,' " BBC News reported on Jan. 4, 2007. Citing experts in the British government's Meteorological Office, the story announced that "the world is likely to experience the warmest year on record in 2007," surpassing the all-time high reached in 1998.

But a funny thing happened on the way to the planetary hot flash: Much of the planet grew bitterly cold.

In South America, for example, the start of winter last year was one of the coldest ever observed. According to Eugenio Hackbart, chief meteorologist of the MetSul Weather Center in Brazil, "a brutal cold wave brought record low temperatures, widespread frost, snow, and major energy disruption." In Buenos Aires, it snowed for the first time in 89 years, while in Peru the cold was so intense that hundreds of people died and the government declared a state of emergency in 14 of the country's 24 provinces. In August, Chile's agriculture minister lamented "the toughest winter we have seen in the past 50 years," which caused losses of at least $200 million in destroyed crops and livestock.

Latin Americans weren't the only ones shivering.

University of Oklahoma geophysicist David Deming, a specialist in temperature and heat flow, notes in the Washington Times that "unexpected bitter cold swept the entire Southern Hemisphere in 2007." Johannesburg experienced its first significant snowfall in a quarter-century. Australia had its coldest ever June. New Zealand's vineyards lost much of their 2007 harvest when spring temperatures dropped to record lows.

Closer to home, 44.5 inches of snow fell in New Hampshire last month, breaking the previous record of 43 inches, set in 1876. And the Canadian government is forecasting the coldest winter in 15 years.

Now all of these may be short-lived weather anomalies, mere blips in the path of the global climatic warming that Al Gore and a host of alarmists proclaim the deadliest threat we face. But what if the frigid conditions that have caused so much distress in recent months signal an impending era of global cooling?

"Stock up on fur coats and felt boots!" advises Oleg Sorokhtin, a fellow of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences and senior scientist at Moscow's Shirshov Institute of Oceanography. "The latest data . . . say that earth has passed the peak of its warmer period, and a fairly cold spell will set in quite soon, by 2012."

Sorokhtin dismisses the conventional global warming theory that greenhouse gases, especially human-emitted carbon dioxide, is causing the earth to grow hotter. Like a number of other scientists, he points to solar activity - sunspots and solar flares, which wax and wane over time - as having the greatest effect on climate.

"Carbon dioxide is not to blame for global climate change," Sorokhtin writes in an essay for Novosti. "Solar activity is many times more powerful than the energy produced by the whole of humankind." In a recent paper for the Danish National Space Center, physicists Henrik Svensmark and Eigil Friis-Christensen concur: "The sun . . . appears to be the main forcing agent in global climate change," they write.

Given the number of worldwide cold events, it is no surprise that 2007 didn't turn out to be the warmest ever. In fact, 2007's global temperature was essentially the same as that in 2006 - and 2005, and 2004, and every year back to 2001. The record set in 1998 has not been surpassed. For nearly a decade now, there has been no global warming. Even though atmospheric carbon dioxide continues to accumulate - it's up about 4 percent since 1998 - the global mean temperature has remained flat. That raises some obvious questions about the theory that CO2 is the cause of climate change.

Yet so relentlessly has the alarmist scenario been hyped, and so disdainfully have dissenting views been dismissed, that millions of people assume Gore must be right when he insists: "The debate in the scientific community is over."

But it isn't. Just last month, more than 100 scientists signed a strongly worded open letter pointing out that climate change is a well-known natural phenomenon, and that adapting to it is far more sensible than attempting to prevent it. Because slashing carbon dioxide emissions means retarding economic development, they warned, "the current UN approach of CO2 reduction is likely to increase human suffering from future climate change rather than to decrease it."

Climate science isn't a religion, and those who dispute its leading theory are not heretics. Much remains to be learned about how and why climate changes, and there is neither virtue nor wisdom in an emotional rush to counter global warming - especially if what's coming is a global Big Chill. Subscribe to *Agriculture-Environment*

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 83.

#36. To: farmfriend (#0)

I care not to wade thru the entire thread, hell...few read mine so what the fuck however:

Here in mid-michigan we broke the all time recorded high temp record for this date of 70 degrees.

Further, we are currently under a tornado watch (in michigan, in january?). Lived around these parts for some 50 years and never recall such an event.

Of course, I like the Oleg Sorokhtin scenario that "A cold spell soon to replace global warming".

I think I might have posted that article here...or not. Look for it if interested.

Brian S  posted on  2008-01-07   23:34:34 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#37. To: Brian S (#36)

Forget it Brian. She listens to Pigboy and OReally and she knows better than anyone else, particularly scientists. See, to here way of thinking, if 99 percent of scientists back a theory, they must be wrong, because they're limp-wristed liberal fags.

Mekons4  posted on  2008-01-07   23:37:39 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#44. To: Mekons4, farmfriend, Brian S (#37)

Forget it Brian. She listens to Pigboy and OReally and she knows better than anyone else, particularly scientists. See, to here way of thinking, if 99 percent of scientists back a theory, they must be wrong, because they're limp-wristed liberal fags.

What a rude ignorant poster you are. What do you know of farmfriend's reading habits or her academic qualifications. She has added more factual commentary to this thread than you.

And fyi, there are a number of scientific groups who are hestitant to say that this cycle of Global Warming we are experiencing is anything more than a natural cycle that has happened since earth had life. So put your irritating baseless authoritative sounding nothingness and blow it out your ear.

scrapper2  posted on  2008-01-07   23:45:54 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#46. To: scrapper2 (#44)

Thank you!

farmfriend  posted on  2008-01-07   23:49:11 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#58. To: farmfriend, Mekons4 (#46)

Thank you!

My pleasure. And it was the right thing to do.

Farmfriend, you are in good company actually - it's a badge of honor to be insulted and called vile names by Mekons - it means you are not a socialist who believes in re-distributing wealth so all people can lead equally mediocre lives.

scrapper2  posted on  2008-01-08   0:14:18 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#60. To: scrapper2 (#58)

Before you start high-fiving, read the right-wing, nazi, AIPAC sources she quoted. Enjoy.

Mekons4  posted on  2008-01-08   0:19:06 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#63. To: Mekons4, scrapper2 (#60)

Before you start high-fiving, read the right-wing, nazi, AIPAC sources she quoted. Enjoy.

You really don't understand who is pushing AGW and why do you?

farmfriend  posted on  2008-01-08   0:23:45 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#66. To: farmfriend (#63)

ou really don't understand who is pushing AGW and why do you?

Keep quoting Cheney-centric nazis and keep making my point. Jesus, you really can't differentiate between conservative and nazi, can you? GOOGLE HUDSON INSTITUTE AND HAVE FUN.

Mekons4  posted on  2008-01-08   0:45:46 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#67. To: Mekons4, scrapper2, critter, BrainS (#66)

Keep quoting Cheney-centric nazis and keep making my point. Jesus, you really can't differentiate between conservative and nazi, can you? GOOGLE HUDSON INSTITUTE AND HAVE FUN.

I never quoted Cheney. And just who do you think is pushing AGW? Rockefellers, Pew charitable trusts. So just who is in bed with the enemy? It's not me.

farmfriend  posted on  2008-01-08   0:55:28 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#69. To: farmfriend (#67)

Just for fun, it was 73 degrees in Chicago today. Go back and find that temp in history, anytime. You will not find it. The previous high was about 51, and that was in a freak year.

Mekons4  posted on  2008-01-08   1:01:18 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#77. To: Mekons4, farmfriend (#69)

Just for fun, it was 73 degrees in Chicago today. Go back and find that temp in history, anytime. You will not find it. The previous high was about 51, and that was in a freak year.

I swore I wouldn't waste my time on this thread anymore but I can't stand to see this "gotcha" nonsense being posted.

Duh - temperatures have only been tracked for the past 100-150 years so it would be rather tough to compare Chicago's temps today to those during the Ice Age melt. Sheesh!

Read what's said at this nasa science link - it gives a nice easy intro to the debate that exists in scientific communities.

science.nasa.gov/h eadlines/y2000/ast20oct_1.htm

scrapper2  posted on  2008-01-08   1:33:47 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#78. To: scrapper2 (#77)

Whatever. If you seriously think we are not in a very strange period brought on by CO2 release, just like the historical ones (way before the earth was born, btw, according to the Christians here) were brought on by huge explosions from the earth that eventually wiped out the dinosaurs and most other species, you are wrong.

This is not cyclical. The earth doesn't just warm and cool at random. There is a cause. Volcanos and meteor strikes probably created previous warming trends, but we don't have them anymore. It's clear what is happening and if you choose to believe the petrochemical industry and their shills, the GOP and Rush and a few bought-off scientists, be my guest. But don't try to pretend you know what you are talking about.

Mekons4  posted on  2008-01-08   1:47:46 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#79. To: Mekons4 (#78)

Volcanos and meteor strikes probably created previous warming trends, but we don't have them anymore.

You really don't read the science do you?

farmfriend  posted on  2008-01-08   1:55:00 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#80. To: farmfriend (#79)

You really don't read at all, do you? No, Michael Crichton is not a scientist. Sorry to break it to you.

Mekons4  posted on  2008-01-08   2:02:00 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#81. To: Mekons4 (#80)

You really don't read at all, do you? No, Michael Crichton is not a scientist. Sorry to break it to you.

I haven't said anything about Crichton or anything about the Hudson people despite your claims otherwise. I actually pointed to the scientist I do listen to and talk with.

farmfriend  posted on  2008-01-08   2:09:07 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#82. To: farmfriend (#81)

My apologies. It was your buddy Scrapper who quoted Hudson Institute. When I get tag-teamed it is sometimes hard to keep up where the incoming is coming from.

www.globalwarmingheartland.org/Article.cfm?artId=21977

Mekons4  posted on  2008-01-08   2:14:31 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#83. To: Mekons4 (#82)

When I get tag-teamed it is sometimes hard to keep up where the incoming is coming from.

You weren't being tag teamed but I do believe you weren't paying attention to what I was posting plus you resorted to personal attacks which always loses an argument.

farmfriend  posted on  2008-01-08   2:31:02 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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