McCain Will Not Have Enough Delegates in JUNE - We are Going to a Brokered Convention
By zooamerica | February 7, 2008
Candidate Delegates
Mike Huckabee 190
John McCain 703
Ron Paul 14
Mitt Romney 293 - these delegates are now “frozen” - but come convention time, they will be free to vote for who they want to. This “suspension” helps Ron Paul’s campaign.
Upcoming primaries and caucuses - predicted winner
02/09/08 Kan. Caucus 39 - Huckabee
02/09/08 La. Primary 46 - Paul
02/09/08 Wash. Caucus 41 - Paul
02/12/08 D.C. Primary 19 - McCain
02/12/08 Md. Primary 38 - McCain
02/12/08 Va. Primary 64 - Huckabee
02/19/08 Wis. Primary 40 - McCain
03/04/08 Ohio Primary 91 - Huckabee
03/04/08 R.I. Primary 21 - McCain
03/04/08 Texas Primary 138 - Paul
03/04/08 Vt. Primary 18 - McCain
03/11/08 Miss. Primary 37 - Huckabee
04/22/08 Pa. Primary 75 - Huckabee
05/06/08 Ind. Primary 55 - Huckabee
05/06/08 N.C. Primary 67 - Huckabee
05/13/08 Neb. Primary 35 - Huckabee
05/16/08 Hawaii Primary 20 - McCain
05/20/08 Ky. Primary 45 - Huckabee
05/20/08 Ore. Primary 31 - McCain
05/27/08 Idaho Primary 32 - Paul
06/03/08 N.M. Primary 24 - McCain
06/03/08 S.D. Primary 27 - Paul
Come June, McCain will have won 211 more delegates…
703 + 211 = 914
Let’s say McCain pulls out the win in Texas…
914 + 138 = 1052
McCain is still short of the 1,191 delegates necessary to win the nomination. Add in Ohio, and he’s still short.
AND these states (except 3) are not winner take all states - meaning the delegates will be split and distributed to 2nd and 3rd place finishers…
We have a long road to go…
McCain doesn’t have enough campaign cash left to make it past May.
Ron Paul could potentially go into the GOP convention with almost 300 delegates.
A brokered convention was the plan from day 1, why change now?
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