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(s)Elections See other (s)Elections Articles Title: McCain Will Not Have Enough Delegates in JUNE - We are Going to a Brokered Convention McCain Will Not Have Enough Delegates in JUNE - We are Going to a Brokered Convention By zooamerica | February 7, 2008 Candidate Delegates Mike Huckabee 190 John McCain 703 Ron Paul 14 Mitt Romney 293 - these delegates are now “frozen” - but come convention time, they will be free to vote for who they want to. This “suspension” helps Ron Paul’s campaign. Upcoming primaries and caucuses - predicted winner 02/09/08 Kan. Caucus 39 - Huckabee 02/09/08 La. Primary 46 - Paul 02/09/08 Wash. Caucus 41 - Paul 02/12/08 D.C. Primary 19 - McCain 02/12/08 Md. Primary 38 - McCain 02/12/08 Va. Primary 64 - Huckabee 02/19/08 Wis. Primary 40 - McCain 03/04/08 Ohio Primary 91 - Huckabee 03/04/08 R.I. Primary 21 - McCain 03/04/08 Texas Primary 138 - Paul 03/04/08 Vt. Primary 18 - McCain 03/11/08 Miss. Primary 37 - Huckabee 04/22/08 Pa. Primary 75 - Huckabee 05/06/08 Ind. Primary 55 - Huckabee 05/06/08 N.C. Primary 67 - Huckabee 05/13/08 Neb. Primary 35 - Huckabee 05/16/08 Hawaii Primary 20 - McCain 05/20/08 Ky. Primary 45 - Huckabee 05/20/08 Ore. Primary 31 - McCain 05/27/08 Idaho Primary 32 - Paul 06/03/08 N.M. Primary 24 - McCain 06/03/08 S.D. Primary 27 - Paul Come June, McCain will have won 211 more delegates… 703 + 211 = 914 Let’s say McCain pulls out the win in Texas… 914 + 138 = 1052 McCain is still short of the 1,191 delegates necessary to win the nomination. Add in Ohio, and he’s still short. AND these states (except 3) are not winner take all states - meaning the delegates will be split and distributed to 2nd and 3rd place finishers… We have a long road to go… McCain doesn’t have enough campaign cash left to make it past May. Ron Paul could potentially go into the GOP convention with almost 300 delegates. A brokered convention was the plan from day 1, why change now? Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 5.
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