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Title: Obama's lead over Clinton narrows: Reuters poll
Source: Reuters
URL Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/poli ... me=politicsNews&rpc=22&sp=true
Published: Mar 19, 2008
Author: Steve Holland
Post Date: 2008-03-19 10:55:48 by robin
Keywords: None
Views: 1133
Comments: 73

By Steve Holland

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democrat Barack Obama's big national lead over Hillary Clinton has all but evaporated in the U.S. presidential race, and both Democrats trail Republican John McCain, according a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday.

The poll showed Obama had only a statistically insignificant lead of 47 percent to 44 percent over Clinton, down sharply from a 14 point edge he held over her in February when he was riding the tide of 10 straight victories.

Illinois Sen. Obama, who would be America's first black president, has been buffeted by attacks in recent weeks from New York Sen. Clinton over his fitness to serve as commander-in-chief and by a tempest over racially charged sermons given by his Chicago preacher.

The poll showed Arizona Sen. McCain, who has clinched the Republican presidential nomination, is benefiting from the lengthy campaign battle between Obama and Clinton, who are now battling to win Pennsylvania on April 22.

McCain leads 46 percent to 40 percent in a hypothetical matchup against Obama in the November presidential election, according to the poll.

That is a sharp turnaround from the Reuters/Zogby poll from last month, which showed in a head-to-head matchup that Obama would beat McCain 47 percent to 40 percent.

"The last couple of weeks have taken a toll on Obama and in a general election match-up, on both Democrats," said pollster John Zogby.

Matched up against Clinton, McCain leads 48 percent to 40 percent, narrower than his 50 to 38 percent advantage over her in February.

"It's not surprising to me that McCain's on top because there is disarray and confusion on the Democratic side," Zogby said

Obama gave a speech on Tuesday rebuking his pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, for sermons sometimes laced with inflammatory tirades but said he could not disown him and it was time for Americans to bind the country's racial wounds.

The poll showed Obama continues to have strong support from the African-American community but that he is experiencing some slippage among moderates and independents.

Among independents, McCain led for the first time in the poll, 46 percent to 36 percent over Obama.

He was behind McCain by 21 percent among white voters.

Zogby attributed this to a combination of the fallout from Clinton's victory in Ohio earlier this month and the controversy over Wright's sermons.

"And, just the closer he gets to the nomination, the tougher questions whites ask about an African-American candidate," Zogby said.

The March 13-14 poll surveyed 525 likely Democratic primary voters for the matchup between Clinton and Obama. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.

For the matchup between McCain and his Democratic rivals, 1004 likely voters were surveyed. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.

(To read more about the U.S. political campaign, visit Reuters "Tales from the Trail: 2008" online here

(Editing by Todd Eastham)


Poster Comment:

I wonder how much of a bump Obama's speech will give him. He still has the most delegates. Smear tactics seem to work very well.

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 6.

#4. To: robin (#0)

Democrat Barack Obama's big national lead over Hillary Clinton has all but evaporated in the U.S. presidential race, and both Democrats trail Republican John McCain, according a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday.

Obama has already written off Pa. because Gov. Rendell gave him the truth.

Myself, I have switched to democrat so that next month I may vote against Obama.

Local county offices have reported hundreds of independents and pubs switching to dem just for the primary.

Gender and race are skewing this primary.

Cynicom  posted on  2008-03-19   11:00:37 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: Cynicom (#4)

You're very likely too late, Obama has enough lead in delegates, he will most likely be the nominee.

And IMO, once the Democrats stop the blood-letting, they will beat McCain.

As Pinguinite put it, "If you liked Bush, you'll LOVE McCain!!!"

I can only assume you liked Bush and LOVE McCain.

robin  posted on  2008-03-19   11:08:08 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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