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(s)Elections
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Title: Obama's lead over Clinton narrows: Reuters poll
Source: Reuters
URL Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/poli ... me=politicsNews&rpc=22&sp=true
Published: Mar 19, 2008
Author: Steve Holland
Post Date: 2008-03-19 10:55:48 by robin
Keywords: None
Views: 1016
Comments: 73

By Steve Holland

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democrat Barack Obama's big national lead over Hillary Clinton has all but evaporated in the U.S. presidential race, and both Democrats trail Republican John McCain, according a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday.

The poll showed Obama had only a statistically insignificant lead of 47 percent to 44 percent over Clinton, down sharply from a 14 point edge he held over her in February when he was riding the tide of 10 straight victories.

Illinois Sen. Obama, who would be America's first black president, has been buffeted by attacks in recent weeks from New York Sen. Clinton over his fitness to serve as commander-in-chief and by a tempest over racially charged sermons given by his Chicago preacher.

The poll showed Arizona Sen. McCain, who has clinched the Republican presidential nomination, is benefiting from the lengthy campaign battle between Obama and Clinton, who are now battling to win Pennsylvania on April 22.

McCain leads 46 percent to 40 percent in a hypothetical matchup against Obama in the November presidential election, according to the poll.

That is a sharp turnaround from the Reuters/Zogby poll from last month, which showed in a head-to-head matchup that Obama would beat McCain 47 percent to 40 percent.

"The last couple of weeks have taken a toll on Obama and in a general election match-up, on both Democrats," said pollster John Zogby.

Matched up against Clinton, McCain leads 48 percent to 40 percent, narrower than his 50 to 38 percent advantage over her in February.

"It's not surprising to me that McCain's on top because there is disarray and confusion on the Democratic side," Zogby said

Obama gave a speech on Tuesday rebuking his pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, for sermons sometimes laced with inflammatory tirades but said he could not disown him and it was time for Americans to bind the country's racial wounds.

The poll showed Obama continues to have strong support from the African-American community but that he is experiencing some slippage among moderates and independents.

Among independents, McCain led for the first time in the poll, 46 percent to 36 percent over Obama.

He was behind McCain by 21 percent among white voters.

Zogby attributed this to a combination of the fallout from Clinton's victory in Ohio earlier this month and the controversy over Wright's sermons.

"And, just the closer he gets to the nomination, the tougher questions whites ask about an African-American candidate," Zogby said.

The March 13-14 poll surveyed 525 likely Democratic primary voters for the matchup between Clinton and Obama. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.

For the matchup between McCain and his Democratic rivals, 1004 likely voters were surveyed. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.

(To read more about the U.S. political campaign, visit Reuters "Tales from the Trail: 2008" online here

(Editing by Todd Eastham)


Poster Comment:

I wonder how much of a bump Obama's speech will give him. He still has the most delegates. Smear tactics seem to work very well.

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 73.

#17. To: robin (#0)

ghostdogtxn  posted on  2008-03-19   11:25:09 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#19. To: ghostdogtxn, robin (#17)

We may wind up with a McCain presidency.

Wash your mouth with soap right now.

God help us if he becomes president.

Cynicom  posted on  2008-03-19   11:26:47 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#21. To: Cynicom (#19)

God help us if he becomes president.

Which is why voting for the candidate who will do the least damage is a good idea.

robin  posted on  2008-03-19   11:27:38 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#29. To: robin (#21)

Which is why voting for the candidate who will do the least damage is a good idea.

Good heavens, I have failed miserably.

I will write in Ron Paul come Nov. No more of the lesser of three evils because that is exactly the way the system wants us to vote, they win every time and we lose every time.

It is not our patriotic duty to vote for preselected people. Vote by all means but leave it blank or write in someone. We have become members of the flock of sheep we abhor.

Cynicom  posted on  2008-03-19   11:32:23 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#31. To: Cynicom (#29)

I'm less cynical that's all. I see a ray of hope in Obama. It's still a gamble, and if he wins, he may not live up to my expectations.

OTOH, I KNOW Hillary and McCain would be a disaster.

robin  posted on  2008-03-19   11:34:35 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#34. To: robin (#31)

OTOH, I KNOW Hillary and McCain would be a disaster. OTOH, I KNOW Hillary and McCain would be a disaster.

So what will you do when Obama is running as VP to Clinton?????

Cynicom  posted on  2008-03-19   11:36:37 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#37. To: Cynicom (#34)

After her dirty tactics against Obama, which is helping McCain, I don't see either one picking the other for VP.

robin  posted on  2008-03-19   11:38:46 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#41. To: robin (#37)

After her dirty tactics against Obama,

robin...

Wait until the lovefest at the dem convention. A Clinton/Obama ticket is unbeatable even by God himself...and robin must vote for it because she likes Obama.

Obama will sell you out to Clinton, take that to the bank.

Cynicom  posted on  2008-03-19   11:44:13 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#42. To: Cynicom (#41)

As I just posted: I KNOW Hillary and McCain would be a disaster. I'm willing to gamble on Obama.

I understand due to Hillary's desperation, her attacks have soured any prospect of an Obama/Clinton or Clinton/Obama ticket. Unless, at the convention, some master mediator of reconciliation, manages somehow to make peace between them "for the good of the party/country".

To be honest, I think he can do better. Someone like Jim Webb or Admiral Fallon would be far better, if they are interested.

robin  posted on  2008-03-19   11:49:49 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#45. To: robin (#42)

Unless, at the convention, some master mediator of reconciliation, manages somehow to make peace between them "for the good of the party/country".

Good of the party or country is the least of anyones interest.

It is all about winning. Obama knows full well that if Clinton wins, his only salvation is to be VP, if not he is done in politics.

Go back a few years to JFK/LBJ.. they hated each other with a passion but at the convention you would have sworn it was a father/son lovefest. what happened?

They won, beat Nixon by a hair. The ONLY way to win was that combination.

With Obama on the ticket he brings 90 % of the black vote, guaranteed.

Clinton/Anyname vs McKook, the crazy man might win.

You would never make a poker player robin.

Cynicom  posted on  2008-03-19   12:00:27 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#59. To: Cynicom (#45)

Clinton/Anyname vs McKook, the crazy man might win.

I understand McKooK is currently ahead in some national polls. And, if you've noticed of late, Iraq has become a media success story, hence it's a feather in the cap for the War Class. Obama's early opposition to the war is being slowly removed as a campaign positive. It's looking more and more as if the strategy of Rs - crossing over party lines and voting for Hillary - is working. Shall we toss a few votes Hillary's way here in PA to keep the latent racist stuck in the mire of nasty Clintoid politics? Who can forget Obama's early cry for the head of Imus for saying nasty things, but excusing a fellow brother when he slamed whitey for spreading the AIDS virus in the black community?

Jethro Tull  posted on  2008-03-19   12:54:19 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#65. To: Jethro Tull (#59)

Who can forget Obama's early cry for the head of Imus for saying nasty things, but excusing a fellow brother when he slamed whitey for spreading the AIDS virus in the black community?

I think Obama is starting to realize that his affiliation with black supremacists might hurt him.

Obama's race or affiliation isn't what bugs me. It's that he is probably the most globalist Marxist candidate to ever run for president.

Vitamin Z  posted on  2008-03-19   13:05:13 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#66. To: Vitamin Z (#65)

Obama's race or affiliation isn't what bugs me. It's that he is probably the most globalist Marxist candidate to ever run for president.

You are not supposed to see or concern yourself with that.

Cynicom  posted on  2008-03-19   13:09:09 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#69. To: Cynicom (#66)

You are not supposed to see or concern yourself with that.

You're right. Obama is half-black, so I should not criticize him.

Can I still criticize his white half?

Vitamin Z  posted on  2008-03-19   13:17:55 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#70. To: Vitamin Z (#69)

Can I still criticize his white half?

Uhhhh, oh, well, uhhhh, can I get back to you on that?

You are brilliant. I can now criticize Obama all I want, when people here scream at me, I can say I am denouncing his white half. Damn, brilliant. thank you.

Cynicom  posted on  2008-03-19   13:23:02 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#71. To: Cynicom (#70)

I can say I am denouncing his white half.

I don't think that explains why Hillary is better. Or McCain, for that matter.

aristeides  posted on  2008-03-19   13:58:47 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#72. To: aristeides (#71)

I don't think that explains why Hillary is better. Or McCain, for that matter.

Three peas in a pod, they all green, they all look alike, some may be bigger than others, still they are all peas.

Oh, and the pod is the establishment that has given all of them birth.

Cynicom  posted on  2008-03-19   14:02:55 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#73. To: Cynicom (#72)

But nevertheless you say you're going to vote for one of those peas in a pod.

Strange.

aristeides  posted on  2008-03-19   14:04:30 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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