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Title: Obama Loses 10-Point Advantage Over McCain, Who Is Now Tied With Both Democrats
Source: Raw Story
URL Source: http://www.rawstory.com/news/mochil ... rases_Obama_lead_04102008.html
Published: Apr 10, 2008
Author: NEDRA PICKLER
Post Date: 2008-04-10 20:26:01 by robin
Keywords: None
Views: 872
Comments: 59

Republican Sen. John McCain has erased Sen. Barack Obama's 10-point advantage in a head-to-head matchup, leaving him essentially tied with both Democratic candidates in an Associated Press-Ipsos national poll released Thursday.

The survey showed the extended Democratic primary campaign creating divisions among supporters of Obama and rival Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton and suggests a tight race for the presidency in November no matter which Democrat becomes the nominee.

McCain is benefiting from a bounce since he clinched the GOP nomination a month ago. The four-term Arizona senator has moved up in matchups with each of the Democratic candidates, particularly Obama.

An AP-Ipsos poll taken in late February had Obama leading McCain 51-41 percent. The current survey, conducted April 7-9, had them at 45 percent each. McCain leads Obama among men, whites, Southerners, married women and independents.

Clinton led McCain, 48-43 percent, in February. The latest survey showed the New York senator with 48 percent support to McCain's 45 percent. Factoring in the poll's margin of error of 3.1 percentage points, Clinton and McCain are statistically tied.

The last month has been challenging for Obama. The Illinois senator suffered high-profile losses in the Texas and Ohio primaries that encouraged Clinton, who pushed on even harder against him. Obama's campaign also suffered a blow with scrutiny of incendiary sermons delivered by his longtime pastor. The candidate responded by delivering perhaps the biggest speech of his campaign to call for racial understanding.

Obama is also facing almost daily critiques from Clinton and McCain, questioning whether the freshman lawmaker has the experience to be a wartime leader.

Despite all the conflict surrounding Obama, the Democratic contest is unchanged from February with Obama at 46 percent and Clinton at 43 percent. But the heated primary is creating divisions among the electorate — many Clinton and Obama supporters say they would rather vote for McCain if their chosen Democrat doesn't win the nomination.

About a quarter of Obama supporters say they'll vote for McCain if Clinton is the Democratic nominee. About a third of Clinton supporters say they would vote for McCain if it's Obama.

Against McCain, Obama lost ground among women — from 57 percent in February to 47 percent in April. Obama dropped 12 points among women under 45, 14 points among suburban women and 15 points among married women.

He also lost nine points or more among voters under 35, high-income households, whites, Catholics, independents, Southerners, people living in the Northeast and those with a high school education or less.

Although the race between Clinton and Obama remained unchanged, there were a few shifts in whom voters are choosing:

_ The gender gap has mostly disappeared, with Clinton losing her advantage among women. In February, 51 percent of Democratic women supported Clinton while 38 percent were for Obama. Now they're statistically tied at 44 percent for Clinton, 42 percent for Obama. That is partially offset by a decline in male support for Obama, down 7 points to 50 percent, while Clinton gained 10 points among men. She is now at 42 percent.

_ Obama and Clinton are now statistically about even among households earning under $50,000. In late February, Clinton led 54 percent to 37 percent, but now it is just 48 percent to 41 percent.

_ Obama now leads Clinton among self-described moderate Democrats, 51 percent to 35 percent. Previously they were 45 percent Clinton, 40 percent Obama.

The poll questioned 1,005 adults nationally. Included were interviews with 489 Democratic voters and people leaning Democratic, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.4 points; and 369 Republicans or GOP-leaning voters, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5.1 points.

___

Associated Press Director of Surveys Trevor Tompson contributed to this report.

Source: AP News

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 57.

#1. To: robin (#0)

This is so stupid. For weeks, all we hear is about how McCain would beat either Hillary or Obama by a lot. And now... Obama is losing his 10 point lead?

:)))))))))))))

Yes people, and Big Brother just increased the choco rations and reduced the length of Iraq tours. And... I forgot... the price of oil dropped SHARPLY to only $110 per bushel.

a vast rightwing conspirator  posted on  2008-04-10   20:30:27 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: a vast rightwing conspirator, robin (#1)

People said they would vote for him until they learned about him. The Republicans have not even begun ads on his views on abortion.

Obama voted twice as a state senator to make it legal to incinerate a baby if it is born mistakenly during a partial birth abortion.

Horse  posted on  2008-04-10   21:22:48 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: Horse (#13)

Funny thing, the more I see the Obama, the clearer it is that I am going to support him and that he MUST stop the 2 freaks also in the run.

Whom do you wish to see in the White House? A senile McCain, played like a string puppet by a bunch of Israelite neocons? Or maybe you want to see the Clinton back, only this one burning with desire to avenge all the humiliations they had to endure since the early 90's and this time with the extra extraordinary powers the stupid party's (GOP) controlled congress gave the Prez to abuse?

Sorry friend. Obama may not be Christ 2 but, believe you me, he's decent enough for US Prez and, when compared with the 2 disgusting creatures competing with him for the job he IS Christ-like.

a vast rightwing conspirator  posted on  2008-04-10   21:32:01 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#17. To: a vast rightwing conspirator (#15)

I had no idea you were a gun grabbing, Marxist-Globalist.

_______  posted on  2008-04-10   21:35:20 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#19. To: _______ (#17) (Edited)

My friend, a Marxist-leninist government declared me persona non grata while still a citizen of the country they had control over - it didn't last long because I gave up that stupid citizenship because I never in my life felt like chattel. As for guns, we can debate what the second amendment is worth any time you feel mentally agile enough. And, yes... I happened to spend a couple of hours TODAY plinking with my kids.

So, you missed by about 10 miles on both counts.

And, yes, I did quit the GOP party when it became clear that a creep like the W Bush was going to successfully claim the GOP nomination.

a vast rightwing conspirator  posted on  2008-04-10   21:41:27 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#20. To: a vast rightwing conspirator (#19)

So, you're just supporting a gun-grabbing, Globalist Order, tax and spend, Marxist but you aren't one.

Makes perfect sense. I don't know what I was thinking wondering why you surrendered to the cabal.

_______  posted on  2008-04-10   21:43:57 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#21. To: _______ (#20) (Edited)

Sorry, friend. It just don't work. Again, you think a bit about the rights your second amendment grants you and what you are actually ALLOWED today, under your precious W leader.

Think about it for a second or 2 and name ONE weapon that you own or you could procure that would inconvenience your local, state or federal government in any significant way. Then name the politician who would remove restrictions on full-auto, silencers, the length of the barrel, machine guns, armor-piercing ammo. Just to name a few modest improvements in the current restrictions. And I'm not discussing missiles, battle robots or combat lasers. Remember, your precious second amendment was meant not to ensure your protection fro cat burglars - that was a given - but to make the g-men think twice before messing up with you. But all you can think of is your little pea shooters that you call 'arms'.

And don't expect any top gov't man to be on your side on this issue. You take your rights. No one will 'give' them to you.

a vast rightwing conspirator  posted on  2008-04-10   21:59:29 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#52. To: a vast rightwing conspirator (#21)

Think about it for a second or 2 and name ONE weapon that you own or you could procure that would inconvenience your local, state or federal government in any significant way.

The AR-15.

The Iraqis are doing a nice job of tying our mighty military down like Gulliver w/the simple AK.

Jethro Tull  posted on  2008-04-12   17:54:56 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#54. To: Jethro Tull (#52)

Think about it for a second or 2 and name ONE weapon that you own or you could procure that would inconvenience your local, state or federal government in any significant way.

The AR-15.

The Iraqis are doing a nice job of tying our mighty military down like Gulliver w/the simple AK.

Their AKs are on full automatic.

a vast rightwing conspirator  posted on  2008-04-12   19:25:47 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#55. To: a vast rightwing conspirator (#54)

I understand; some say a tweak here and there works.

A case can also be made for semi-auto over full auto in house to house (Iraqi) conditions.

Jethro Tull  posted on  2008-04-12   19:30:27 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#56. To: Jethro Tull (#55)

What I stated was that the current interpretation of the 2d amendment is that you may legally bear arms that do not threaten or inconvenience the gov't. Sure, if you break the law, you can convert your AK to full auto but that does not invalidate my theory.

a vast rightwing conspirator  posted on  2008-04-12   19:39:47 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#57. To: a vast rightwing conspirator (#56)

I thought you were asking how, if it became necessary, could some 70 odd million armed Americans (less at least some willing military) take the mofo back from the scum.

Jethro Tull  posted on  2008-04-12   19:43:51 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 57.

#58. To: Jethro Tull (#57)

Sorry, friend. It just don't work. Again, you think a bit about the rights your second amendment grants you and what you are actually ALLOWED today, under your precious W leader.

Think about it for a second or 2 and name ONE weapon that you own or you could procure that would inconvenience your local, state or federal government in any significant way. Then name the politician who would remove restrictions on full-auto, silencers, the length of the barrel, machine guns, armor-piercing ammo. Just to name a few modest improvements in the current restrictions. And I'm not discussing missiles, battle robots or combat lasers. Remember, your precious second amendment was meant not to ensure your protection fro cat burglars - that was a given - but to make the g-men think twice before messing up with you. But all you can think of is your little pea shooters that you call 'arms'.

And don't expect any top gov't man to be on your side on this issue. You take your rights. No one will 'give' them to you.

The complete quote is above.

a vast rightwing conspirator  posted on  2008-04-12 20:01:51 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 57.

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