http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_042108.pdf FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
April 21, 2008
Final Pennsylvania Poll Shows Tight Race
Raleigh, N.C. – Public Policy Polling’s final survey in Pennsylvania continues to show an extremely tight race. Barack Obama has a 49-46 lead over Hillary Clinton in the state.
This is the fourth week in a row PPP has shown the race within three points. Obama had a three point edge last week, Clinton had the three point advantage two weeks ago, and Obama was up two three weeks ago.
“With such a close race, the winner of the Pennsylvania primary is going to come down to turnout,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Obama leads 58-32 in the metro Philadelphia area. If there is huge turnout there he has a chance.”
When people were initially asked who they supported in the poll Obama showed a 47-43 advantage. Undecided respondents were asked if they were leaning toward one of the candidates and the 49-46 lead comes with those factored in.
Obama’s small lead comes from his standard coalition of men, black and younger voters. He leads 55-34 with men and 81-12 with African Americans. He has a 50-39 edge with voters ages 18-29 and 49-41 with those between 30-45.