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Title: (Hillary) TOO LITTLE, TOO LATE
Source:
NY Post
URL Source: http://www.nypost.com/seven/0423200 ... oo_little__too_late_107751.htm
Published: Apr 23, 2008
Author: Dick Morris
Post Date: 2008-04-23 11:53:36 by Jethro Tull
Keywords: None
Views: 1098
Comments: 45
April 23, 2008 -- =" " href="/news/p/clinton_hillary/clinton_hillary.htm">Hillary Clinton Problem is, it doesn't mean anything. Because of the Democratic Party's arcane proportional-representation rules, her win stands to give her a net gain of 10 to 15 delegates when all is counted. That means that Barack Obama will fall from a lead of 161 in elected delegates to about 145 or so. Big deal. The primaries coming up in the next two weeks - Indiana and North Carolina - are likely to give Obama back a goodly portion of those delegates. By the time all the primaries have been held, after June 3, there is no doubt that Obama will lead by more than 100 elected delegates, and likely 150. From there, it will be an easy route to the nomination. The Democratic superdelegates aren't about to risk a massive and sanguinary civil war by taking the nomination away from the candidate who won more elected delegates. If they ever tried it, we'd see a repeat of the demonstrations that smashed the 1968 Chicago convention and ruined Hubert Humphrey's chances of victory. Clinton won Pennsylvania for two key reasons: Only Democrats could vote in the primary, and the Keystone State electorate is dominated by the elderly, who are staunchly for Clinton. Despite her claims of electability, Hillary has never done well among independent voters. And Obama usually loses the Democrats. Pennsylvania's closed-primary rules gave her a key advantage. Older voters are flocking to Clinton as fears mount of what Obama might do as president mount. But those under 45 - less focused, perhaps, on race - are moving toward Obama. Here, that split helped her. Of the 50 states, only Florida has a higher over-65 proportion of its population. But there's a key difference: Florida's elderly moved there - Pennsylvania's are the folks that are left after the young people moved away. Pennsylvania Democrats, in other words, suffer from future shock. They welcome old, established ways and embrace dynasties happily because they are so familiar. (Look at the Bob Caseys - dad was governor, the son is senator.) But don't expect the open primaries of Indiana and North Carolina to behave like Pennsylvania's geriatrics. Both states are younger, especially North Carolina, and independents can vote in each primary. (North Carolina is where a lot of the young people who fled Pennsylvania winters and job losses ended up). Over the next two weeks, we'll be treated to much hoopla about how the Democratic race is once again up for grabs. Then, on May 5, Hillary's hopes will be dashed once more. And then? After the votes are counted in all the primaries, look for the Gang of Four - Al Gore, Nancy Pelosi, Howard Dean and John Edwards - to join together and issue a challenge to the superdelegates: Make up your minds. Together, they'll probably demand that these appointed delegates commit to one candidate or the other by mid June. And since the primaries will have lifted Obama over 1,900 delegates (elected and super), he'll only need about 100 more, out of about 300 uncommitted superdelegates. Their hands forced, enough superdelegates will go to Obama to put him over the top - he'll be the candidate. That's all, folks.
Poster Comment: This is an accurate take on the D selection process. The fun will be how the femiNazis & other groups supporting Hillary will take the Obama selection. He can't win a national selection, and they know it (and have openly said it). How delightful it is to watch open civil war within the Democrat party.
TOO LITTLE, TOO LATE
HILLARY'S PENNSYLVANIA WIN
By DICK MORRIS & EILEEN MCGANN
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#4. To: Jethro Tull (#0)
That's all, folks. That's why the party is angry with Hillary, they've seen this coming and so has she but she prefers double-drownings.
Hillary is a crypto-Jewess and is an authentic Israeli warmonger. Her top priority is not that the Democrats win, but that the never-ending war continues.
#7. To: Sam Houston, Cynicom, Jethro Tull, *Obama 2008* (#5)
It does look that way, and she has given no time table to get us out. Did you catch her attack on the anti-war activists? For some reason MSM largely ignored it. www.cbsnews.com/stories/2.../animal/main4029167.shtml In comments below, John B. and Cleek both want to know why I haven't commented on Hillary Clinton's dissing of MoveOn. So just for the record, here it is. ---------------------------------------- Clinton Slams Democratic Activists At Private Fundraiser At a small closed-door fundraiser after Super Tuesday, Sen. Hillary Clinton blamed what she called the "activist base" of the Democratic Party -- and MoveOn.org in particular -- for many of her electoral defeats, saying activists had "flooded" state caucuses and "intimidated" her supporters, according to an audio recording of the event obtained by The Huffington Post. "Moveon.org endorsed [Sen. Barack Obama] -- which is like a gusher of money that never seems to slow down," Clinton said to a meeting of donors. "We have been less successful in caucuses because it brings out the activist base of the Democratic Party So if the activists of her own party don't support her and she slams them, what are her chances in Nov? ZILCH! But MSM types say her comments are "no big deal". The most ridiculous part is her charge of intimidation. In NH, it was reported that Obama and Ron Paul observers were chased out of the voting places by Hillary goons who demanded to see their papers! The Obama and RP supporters were just young college types and had no idea they needed papers (they did not!).
The same can be said of McCain, which is why the so-called conservative pundits, for example Joe Scarbrough, Pat Buchanan, Tim Russet, traitors whom I call suck-poop goys, are trashing Obama on the Electric Jew while praising Hillary. They are lower than whale shit.
Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/LatestTheir hands forced, enough superdelegates will go to Obama to put him over the top - he'll be the candidate.
#5. To: robin (#4)
Replies to Comment # 5.
You can read her comment here. Basically, I don't think it's a big deal. The activist base of the party has opposed Clinton, so it's no big surprise that she's not very happy with them.
#9. To: Sam Houston (#5)
Hillary is a crypto-Jewess and is an authentic Israeli warmonger.
End Trace Mode for Comment # 5.